skybluebolland
New Member
I don't need to remind anyone how crucial the next month is going to be. After another unfortunate loss last night, we are now 7 points away from safety. However, our fixtures throughout February are kind, and although it involves a couple of away trips, our home matches are most certainly winnable. It starts with Ipswich on Saturday. This game is a must win. If we lose this, and go ten points off safety, then I will finally concede that we will be relageted. Until that distance emerges, I still fully believe that these boys will pull us out of it, have faith. Although Ipswich managed an emphatic win yesterday, it will certainly not be repeated, and I think such a win was in no way expected or planned for. It is within our grasp to take 3 points form this game, and, if results go our way, would only be 4 points from safety. Doncaster and Millwall both have tricky games. Furthermore, Pompey could soon be facing administration, and loosing 10 points, which would make the already circled 47 point safety mark, look a lot more like 43 or 44. If Pompey get deducted 10 points, and although I agree we should not leave our fate in others hands, we could be only a few points from safety, with Doncaster just emerginging from the drop zone. Then, all of a sudden, we will be close enough to smell safety, and, if we win the majority of our winnable games, such as Doncaster, Millwall, and Ipswich, amongst others, I feel that we are not out of this yet, not by a long chalk.
After reviewing our remaining fixtures, and those of our relegation rivals, I feel that we would need about 47 points to survive, not taking into account the likely situation of Portsmouth going into admin. As I stated earlier, if they were to do so, the survival mark would be a lot less, as Donacster would be pushed out of the relegation zone, meaning Millwalls points to ours is irrelevant. 47 points collaborates with the historic number of 'magic' number of survival, but recent seasons suggest that this could actually be a lot less this season. Our penultimate games are against Doncaster and Millwall, where hopefully we will can pick up 3 points each, in which are undoubtedly 6 pointers.
However, our season run in starts on Saturday, and with 18 games left of the season, and on 22 points, I feel that we can double that tally, as we have shown in our recent games, most notably Boro and Bristol City. Just imagine, if we win on Saturday, then life is looking a whole lot better than it does now.
Finally, after guessing the results of our remaining games, I had last nights game as a 2-0 loss, and have still managed to provide enough points for us to stay up, even if we can't win away. We have got most of the toughest games out of the way, so although we have Southampton away, on judgment day, the majority of our games if not winnable, are most certainly eligible for point taking, at least.
Jonty
After reviewing our remaining fixtures, and those of our relegation rivals, I feel that we would need about 47 points to survive, not taking into account the likely situation of Portsmouth going into admin. As I stated earlier, if they were to do so, the survival mark would be a lot less, as Donacster would be pushed out of the relegation zone, meaning Millwalls points to ours is irrelevant. 47 points collaborates with the historic number of 'magic' number of survival, but recent seasons suggest that this could actually be a lot less this season. Our penultimate games are against Doncaster and Millwall, where hopefully we will can pick up 3 points each, in which are undoubtedly 6 pointers.
However, our season run in starts on Saturday, and with 18 games left of the season, and on 22 points, I feel that we can double that tally, as we have shown in our recent games, most notably Boro and Bristol City. Just imagine, if we win on Saturday, then life is looking a whole lot better than it does now.
Finally, after guessing the results of our remaining games, I had last nights game as a 2-0 loss, and have still managed to provide enough points for us to stay up, even if we can't win away. We have got most of the toughest games out of the way, so although we have Southampton away, on judgment day, the majority of our games if not winnable, are most certainly eligible for point taking, at least.
Jonty
