Ooh I long for the good old days of the mystery tour.Computer hackers will have a fun day. Take over the vehicle and God knows where you will end up.
I know it's not going to be widespread. 2021 is just going to be the first introduction.
I think your timescales will be out if they prove to be a success and of course you are not at all allowing for movement of advances in technology. I think it will be way before 2030 if all goes well.
But you are talking across the board. No-one is suggesting we are all going to have driverless cars just like that. It will be introduced gradually and could well start with buses and taxis etc.It won’t be. The technology required needs to be introduced across all the industry including suppliers, retailers as well as production.
It even costs almost a billion for minor MY introductions.
But you are talking across the board. No-one is suggesting we are all going to have driverless cars just like that. It will be introduced gradually and could well start with buses and taxis etc.
Definitely happening and the technology will obviously get better.
Not suggesting for a second that we will all have driverless cars by 2030. They will be a significant aspect of traffic on roads by then though I am sure.
Like I say, likely to be buses and taxis and suchlike first. No-one is expecting driverless cars all over our roads just like that. Going to be a slow process, but they are already working on flying cars too.Technology estimates per car are £10,000 at 2030 and that includes assumptions for technology advancements.
This is projected to halve by 2045
Again you are missing one major point - retailer servicing. Retailers are already having to invest in electric technology which will cost thousands.
Also accident and insurance implications.
I can assure you the ability to manage this and electrification at the same time will be practically impossible for normal manufacturers.
I hate to be the bearer of bad news but the actual introduction of these cars will be a lot later.
We are realistically looking at the first cars possible around 2030 and with buying cycles there will still be non driverless until around 2050
The combination of this and electrification will cause major issues in retail networks which likely will delay further.
From a personal perspective I’m glad I’m missing it. I don’t like the driverless functions cars have now - CC, VA and AB especially AB - I have them on most cars I have and never use them.
The challenges the industry faces already with electrification makes this a very long term project in reality.
Did some of them crash recently during testing? My father decided to test out CC on a ring road in France when I was a teenager, we were lucky escape unharmed
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