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Do you want to discuss boring politics? (30 Viewers)

  • Thread starter mrtrench
  • Start date Jun 14, 2020
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clint van damme

Well-Known Member
  • Oct 8, 2023
  • #31,396
Grendel said:
Starmers the new Liz Truss - growth growth growth
Click to expand...

Bit unfair on Liz
 
Reactions: Grendel

Grendel

Well-Known Member
  • Oct 8, 2023
  • #31,397
“We need to control our borders”
 

shmmeee

Well-Known Member
  • Oct 8, 2023
  • #31,398
Grendel said:
Starmers the new Liz Truss - growth growth growth
Click to expand...

I mean it’s the one thing Truss got right. I suspect the policy solutions will differ slightly though.
 

fernandopartridge

Well-Known Member
  • Oct 8, 2023
  • #31,399
shmmeee said:
I mean it’s the one thing Truss got right. I suspect the policy solutions will differ slightly though.
Click to expand...
We've had economic growth for most of the last 13 years apart from the COVID years. In the meantime people have become worse off. Why is it suddenly going to be the magical solution?

Sent from my Pixel 7 using Tapatalk
 
Reactions: Sky_Blue_Dreamer

shmmeee

Well-Known Member
  • Oct 8, 2023
  • #31,400
fernandopartridge said:
We've had economic growth for most of the last 13 years apart from the COVID years. In the meantime people have become worse off. Why is it suddenly going to be the magical solution?

Sent from my Pixel 7 using Tapatalk
Click to expand...

Even if you want to borrow you need growth. If you want wages up you need growth. Specifically you need productivity but they’re essentially the same thing.

The Tories have squandered any growth post 2010, the growth 1997-2010 resulted in improved public services, which most lefties are quite a fan of.
 

clint van damme

Well-Known Member
  • Oct 8, 2023
  • #31,401
Fuck me!

 

Grendel

Well-Known Member
  • Oct 8, 2023
  • #31,402
clint van damme said:
Fuck me!

Click to expand...

I have to be honest I just when I see Michael Fabricant get disturbing images of him and Andy Street engaging in sexual activity - it’s genuinely traumatising
 
Reactions: Terry Gibson's perm, Sick Boy and clint van damme

clint van damme

Well-Known Member
  • Oct 8, 2023
  • #31,403
Grendel said:
I have to be honest I just when I see Michael Fabricant get disturbing images of him and Andy Street engaging in sexual activity - it’s genuinely traumatising
Click to expand...

If I was the raider I'd be giving him his marching orders after that video
 

Grendel

Well-Known Member
  • Oct 8, 2023
  • #31,404
Lee Anderson obviously knows his political income is going to be gone very soon. He has a bit to go though before his Wheel Tapper and shunters social club act is perfected - the northern comedy act is a tough place to survive - he should have asked Michael if he keeps his wig on when his giving Andy a BJ - that’s the thing to get a laugh
 

Ian1779

Well-Known Member
  • Oct 8, 2023
  • #31,405
Grendel said:
Lee Anderson obviously knows his political income is going to be gone very soon. He has a bit to go though before his Wheel Tapper and shunters social club act is perfected - the northern comedy act is a tough place to survive - he should have asked Michael if he keeps his wig on when his giving Andy a BJ - that’s the thing to get a laugh
Click to expand...
He’s the kind of parody act you’d see at the end of a Phoenix Nights episode.
 
Reactions: AOM

fernandopartridge

Well-Known Member
  • Oct 8, 2023
  • #31,406
This is exciting if you're some sort of FBPE bore


Sent from my Pixel 7 using Tapatalk
 

Sky_Blue_Dreamer

Well-Known Member
  • Oct 9, 2023
  • #31,407
shmmeee said:
I mean it’s the one thing Truss got right. I suspect the policy solutions will differ slightly though.
Click to expand...
Well, not really.

As has been pointed out we've had growth for a lot of the Tories being in power. What matters is WHERE the growth is. If it's all at the top then it's arguably worse than no growth at all, unless like Liz you believe in the bullshit that is trickle down.

Why one of the first things I'd do in power is publish median and modal wages alongside the mean. If the mean is going up but the other two aren't, or even going down, then that's a massive problem.
 

shmmeee

Well-Known Member
  • Oct 9, 2023
  • #31,408
Decent speech from Reeves so far. Hitting the right notes IMO. Starting to draw some clear lines.
 
Reactions: Sky Blue Pete

jimmyhillsfanclub

Well-Known Member
  • Oct 9, 2023
  • #31,409
It'll be interesting to see how the vote goes for Unites motion of re-nationalisation.

I'm guessing it'll be the same as last time. The people want it. The Nowhere Man Starmer doesn't. Prick.
 

shmmeee

Well-Known Member
  • Oct 9, 2023
  • #31,410
jimmyhillsfanclub said:
It'll be interesting to see how the vote goes for Unites motion of re-nationalisation.

I'm guessing it'll be the same as last time. The people want it. The Nowhere Man Starmer doesn't. Prick.
Click to expand...

As always I’m in the middle on this. Rail, water and energy yes please. I think you can do some of that over time with investment like GB Energy if done properly. I’m not convinced Starmer is doing it properly mind.
 
Reactions: Sky_Blue_Dreamer

fernandopartridge

Well-Known Member
  • Oct 9, 2023
  • #31,411
shmmeee said:
Decent speech from Reeves so far. Hitting the right notes IMO. Starting to draw some clear lines.
Click to expand...
They're in very faint ink.

Sent from my Pixel 7 using Tapatalk
 
Reactions: duffer

shmmeee

Well-Known Member
  • Oct 9, 2023
  • #31,412
fernandopartridge said:
They're in very faint ink.

Sent from my Pixel 7 using Tapatalk
Click to expand...

Yeah but what do you want? It was never going to be McDonnell 2.0. I think planning reform is the right focus, proper living wage (I’ll wait until I see the details), workers rights from day one, improved sick pay, no ZHC all good things.

Most importantly if I was politically neutral there’s an element of hope there that despite Sunak constantly saying that’s what he was doing, was distinctly lacking from Tory Conference last week.
 

fernandopartridge

Well-Known Member
  • Oct 9, 2023
  • #31,413
shmmeee said:
Yeah but what do you want? It was never going to be McDonnell 2.0. I think planning reform is the right focus, proper living wage (I’ll wait until I see the details), workers rights from day one, improved sick pay, no ZHC all good things.

Most importantly if I was politically neutral there’s an element of hope there that despite Sunak constantly saying that’s what he was doing, was distinctly lacking from Tory Conference last week.
Click to expand...

I haven't seen the whole thing, just saw the stuff about how she'd borrow when public debt was falling overall. Seemed a weird and unnecessary condition. The planning stuff is good as is the day 1 rights.
 

shmmeee

Well-Known Member
  • Oct 9, 2023
  • #31,414
fernandopartridge said:
I haven't seen the whole thing, just saw the stuff about how she'd borrow when public debt was falling overall. Seemed a weird and unnecessary condition. The planning stuff is good as is the day 1 rights.
Click to expand...

I think you’ve got to accept that’s the economic model they’re going with to reduce attacks from the Tories. Blair came in promising no new spending as well IIRC. Sadly I think it may be a prerequisite to getting elected in the UK for now.
 

shmmeee

Well-Known Member
  • Oct 9, 2023
  • #31,415
And of course “Labour spending” still ends up being the story…

 

clint van damme

Well-Known Member
  • Oct 9, 2023
  • #31,416
shmmeee said:
I think you’ve got to accept that’s the economic model they’re going with to reduce attacks from the Tories. Blair came in promising no new spending as well IIRC. Sadly I think it may be a prerequisite to getting elected in the UK for now.
Click to expand...

The problem is, for example, I heard Wes Streeting being interviewed yesterday and he was laying out what he planned to do, and it sounded fine, and at the end the interviewer said you won't be able to do that under the restraints imposed by Rachael Reeves and he just started mumbling and stuttering.
 
Reactions: duffer

shmmeee

Well-Known Member
  • Oct 9, 2023
  • #31,417
clint van damme said:
The problem is, for example, I heard Wes Streeting being interviewed yesterday and he was laying out what he planned to do, and it sounded fine, and at the end the interviewer said you won't be able to do that under the restraints imposed by Rachael Reeves and he just started mumbling and stuttering.
Click to expand...

Well that’s where the rubber meets the road. If she can’t get growth the whole thing falls apart but I think she’s going about it the right way so far.
 

fernandopartridge

Well-Known Member
  • Oct 9, 2023
  • #31,418
shmmeee said:
Well that’s where the rubber meets the road. If she can’t get growth the whole thing falls apart but I think she’s going about it the right way so far.
Click to expand...
It's frustrating that the implication is that government spending doesn't benefit the economy

Sent from my Pixel 7 using Tapatalk
 
Reactions: Sky_Blue_Dreamer

shmmeee

Well-Known Member
  • Oct 9, 2023
  • #31,419
fernandopartridge said:
It's frustrating that the implication is that government spending doesn't benefit the economy

Sent from my Pixel 7 using Tapatalk
Click to expand...

I think it’s more chicken and egg “well spend on stuff that will benefit the economy once we’ve got an economy that allows us to spend on stuff”
 

Sky_Blue_Dreamer

Well-Known Member
  • Oct 9, 2023
  • #31,420
shmmeee said:
I think it’s more chicken and egg “well spend on stuff that will benefit the economy once we’ve got an economy that allows us to spend on stuff”
Click to expand...
Well that shouldn't be the case. That just exacerbates problems.

Govt should almost be doing the opposite of the private sector - spending during a downturn to kickstart the economy and recouping a bit when times are good - in order to flatten the line. It's the closest you're ever going to get to ending boom and bust.
 
Reactions: duffer, shmmeee and Sky Blue Pete

shmmeee

Well-Known Member
  • Oct 9, 2023
  • #31,421
Sky_Blue_Dreamer said:
Well that shouldn't be the case. That just exacerbates problems.

Govt should almost be doing the opposite of the private sector - spending during a downturn to kickstart the economy and recouping a bit when times are good - in order to flatten the line. It's the closest you're ever going to get to ending boom and bust.
Click to expand...

I agree. I just think it’s a hard sell in the current UK climate. Hopefully less so than it was, but “Labour spend too much” is still the number one complaint I hear.
 
Reactions: Sky_Blue_Dreamer

duffer

Well-Known Member
  • Oct 10, 2023
  • #31,422
shmmeee said:
Everything with a positive cost benefit. Yes. Countries aren’t humans. The same economic rules don’t apply. The numbers you are talking about for a national infrastructure project that will last decades if not centuries are absolute peanuts and will only get more expensive thanks to inflation.
Click to expand...

The positive cost benefit of HS2 is *exactly* where it all falls down. That's precisely where I came in.

Have you read the any of the dissenting opinions. This one is well researched and clearly stated, and from someone with access to the data and no axe to grind...

It's a little odd how you can support Reeves, the 'iron chancellor', who sounds like Maggie, acts like Maggie, and has shown herself entirely happy to go along with Tory austerity plans both now and in the future, whilst simultaneously demanding the taps stay open for HS2 no matter the cost.

Hopefully, this link works...

Review of High Speed 2 - Dissenting Report - About Tony Berkeley

https://tonyberkeley.co.uk/index_htm_files/rh200105%20Dissenting%20report.pdf
 
Reactions: dutchman

fernandopartridge

Well-Known Member
  • Oct 10, 2023
  • #31,423
duffer said:
The positive cost benefit of HS2 is *exactly* where it all falls down. That's precisely where I came in.

Have you read the any of the dissenting opinions. This one is well researched and clearly stated, and from someone with access to the data and no axe to grind...

It's a little odd how you can support Reeves, the 'iron chancellor', who sounds like Maggie, acts like Maggie, and has shown herself entirely happy to go along with Tory austerity plans both now and in the future, whilst simultaneously demanding the taps stay open for HS2 no matter the cost.

Hopefully, this link works...

Review of High Speed 2 - Dissenting Report - About Tony Berkeley

https://tonyberkeley.co.uk/index_htm_files/rh200105%20Dissenting%20report.pdf
Click to expand...

Nowt like a report that uses evidence from Michael Byng! The whole premise of it seems to be about increasing the number of seats available to travel to London? Is it deliberately missing the point?

Lots of the suggestions made in it sound optimistic at best - e.g. how's he going to 4 track the Rugby to Birmingham line through 7 miles of Coventry and at what cost? Loads of rough estimates of cost of alternatives with no obvious basis. No recognition that this cost brings you a tiny bit of extra capacity but in reality little material extra capacity or flexibility.

£128bn to upgrade existing lines vs £187bn his estimate for HS2. However, the upgrade will mean 2700 weekend possessions (i.e. part of the railway being unavailable for a weekend for 52 years) vs just 22 for HS2.
 

shmmeee

Well-Known Member
  • Oct 10, 2023
  • #31,424
duffer said:
The positive cost benefit of HS2 is *exactly* where it all falls down. That's precisely where I came in.

Have you read the any of the dissenting opinions. This one is well researched and clearly stated, and from someone with access to the data and no axe to grind...

It's a little odd how you can support Reeves, the 'iron chancellor', who sounds like Maggie, acts like Maggie, and has shown herself entirely happy to go along with Tory austerity plans both now and in the future, whilst simultaneously demanding the taps stay open for HS2 no matter the cost.

Hopefully, this link works...

Review of High Speed 2 - Dissenting Report - About Tony Berkeley

https://tonyberkeley.co.uk/index_htm_files/rh200105%20Dissenting%20report.pdf
Click to expand...

Ive read it. It’s the same argument you’re making. Lots of conjecture, lots of “I don’t believe the experts” lots of studiously avoiding your opponents points.

Are you seriously saying we don’t need a high speed connection on modern tracks between our major cities? That’s the question you keep avoiding, not to mention capacity on existing lines.
 

Grendel

Well-Known Member
  • Oct 10, 2023
  • #31,425
Byng was a weirdo who drank coffee in a hotel bar and his mate Labowitch I think had tomato juice - who has tomato juice?
 

shmmeee

Well-Known Member
  • Oct 10, 2023
  • #31,426
Grendel said:
Byng was a weirdo who drank coffee in a hotel bar and his mate Labowitch I think had tomato juice - who has tomato juice?
Click to expand...

Recovering alcoholics and you won’t convince me otherwise
 

Grendel

Well-Known Member
  • Oct 10, 2023
  • #31,427
shmmeee said:
Recovering alcoholics and you won’t convince me otherwise
Click to expand...

Id rather stick to being an alcoholic
 
Reactions: CCFCSteve

fernandopartridge

Well-Known Member
  • Oct 10, 2023
  • #31,428
shmmeee said:
Ive read it. It’s the same argument you’re making. Lots of conjecture, lots of “I don’t believe the experts” lots of studiously avoiding your opponents points.

Are you seriously saying we don’t need a high speed connection on modern tracks between our major cities? That’s the question you keep avoiding, not to mention capacity on existing lines.
Click to expand...
The other point to make is that Berkeley's own fag packet budgeting is even more vulnerable to cost pressures than the HS2 budget

Sent from my Pixel 7 using Tapatalk
 
C

CCFCSteve

Well-Known Member
  • Oct 10, 2023
  • #31,429
shmmeee said:
And of course “Labour spending” still ends up being the story…

Click to expand...

This is a sensible approach. As we saw with Truss, anything ‘unfunded’ for day to day stuff will, rightly or wrongly, be slaughtered by the markets.

The alternative is to start suggesting theyll spend more but that it will require higher taxes…unlikely to an election winner especially in the middle of a cost of living crisis

Their first job is to get into power and whether people like the approach or not, Starmer and Reeves have rebuilt labours credibility when it comes to the economy/public finances so the strategy does appear to be working. The problems will be if shadow ministers start suggesting they can deliver more than perceived to be affordable as Clint mentioned about streeting

Still waiting for the long term vision/plan from any party.
 

stay_up_skyblues

Well-Known Member
  • Oct 10, 2023
  • #31,430
Whilst he was lapping up the applause a protester rushed the stage and covered Starmer in water and glitter. Funny but one of these days it will be a blade.
 
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