fatso
Well-Known Member
Overly inflammatory imho
Overly inflammatory imhoThey weren’t far off saying that
Not sure of that, but thanks .... I thinkWas looking this morning, 6/4.
Lab/Lib coalition, 8/1.
Surely if its a hung parliament it will be a lab/lib coalition won't it?
@rob9872 you're the closest we've got to a gambling expert! What do you think?
Last time was as much abandoning a couple of key policies for a stab at power though, and they'd built their base under Kennedy in particular as being left of Labour on taxation etc, and targeted student areas for their votes too... who weren't pleased at the tuition fees policy being scrapped!!Not sure of that, but thanks .... I think
Tbh I think I'd go hung at smaller odds than coalition. I realise it's Labour this time but the last one did them so much damage and they're only just recovering. Personally I'd assume an agreement where a few concessions are made for regular voting alongside them than a formal coalition.
The danger could be that the anti tory vote gets split.Not sure of that, but thanks .... I think
Tbh I think I'd go hung at smaller odds than coalition. I realise it's Labour this time but the last one did them so much damage and they're only just recovering. Personally I'd assume an agreement where a few concessions are made for regular voting alongside them than a formal coalition.
yeah a hung parliment is a lab/lib coalitionWas looking this morning, 6/4.
Lab/Lib coalition, 8/1.
Surely if its a hung parliament it will be a lab/lib coalition won't it?
@rob9872 you're the closest we've got to a gambling expert! What do you think?
if the locals voting carries over they will have more than 20 seatsLast time was as much abandoning a couple of key policies for a stab at power though, and they'd built their base under Kennedy in particular as being left of Labour on taxation etc, and targeted student areas for their votes too... who weren't pleased at the tuition fees policy being scrapped!!
Last time, Labour and Lib Dem were a better match if there was going to be a coalition, but Brown and Clegg didn't get on. This time? Fuck knows what the Lib Dems stand for(!) but I couldn't see it being as disastrous for them if they went into a Labour coalition as their last effort was.
Ultimately depends how many seats they get too, even if a hung parliament it'd be hard to justify a coalition if they only had 9-10 seats. 20-ish+ and it's another matter.
Doesn't have to be a formal coalition though and I think the smaller price is a much safer bet.yeah a hung parliment is a lab/lib coalition
What odds on a Lab/Con coalition if Starmer gets to be the top guy?Doesn't have to be a formal coalition though and I think the smaller price is a much safer bet.
I'm sure he would and I assume with largest party he'd be pm regardless, its more whether the lib dems would risk it (imo)What odds on a Lab/Con coalition if Starmer gets to be the top guy?
Reckon he’d be all over it.
yeah a hung parliment is a lab/lib coalition
can't see labour/snp and the lib dem won't go in with the tories againI can't understand why there's such a disparity in odds,unless they're thinking of someone else being part of the coalition but that would then be shoeter odds.
I was never a royalist but wasn't a republican. I just thought it was a load of bollocks that I had no interest in.
But between Andrews noncing, the queen's funeral and today I think I've been converted into a full on abolitionist!
What odds on a Lab/Con coalition if Starmer gets to be the top guy?
Reckon he’d be all over it.
Seems its not just potential protesters being randomly arrested.
There's a good piece from the guy you used to run yougov explaining how you you can maybe a 10% to the labour vote if it is a GEBut I thought Labour was rejected at the ballot box yesterday with that piss poor performance?
This is interesting, gives some numbers to my feeling that Labour is generally just winning back seats it has recently held anyway
Yes let's ignore the actual general election polling and instead look at the results of a totally different poll.
Yes let’s look at PVA above one of the most respected analysts in this field
It wasn’t a poll by the way it was an election
Yeah because LD and Greens are going to get like 40% of the GE vote. Great extrapolation.
It shows the Tories are utterly fucked. That's about the only conclusion you can draw from it. It's totally different to a general election vote.
And he also said this, the same as what I'm saying, but that doesn't fit with your agenda:
You’ve drawn a conclusion it’s a labour landslide
That was a very short interview
peter kellner said the sameAs short as the interview you posted.
He also said you can't draw too much from the vote share because people are far more likely to vote Green or LD in a local election.
But again, that doesn't fit your agenda.
Those Lib Dem gains of council seats in the Tory heartlands like Maidstone, they're going Labour at the GE yeah?peter kellner said the same
still what do they know compared to a an internet troll from coventry
peter kellner said the same
still what do they know compared to a an internet troll from coventry
Yes I wonder why he didn't post this one
The local picture is good for Keir Starmer – the national predictions look even better | Peter Kellner
Evidence of a tactical pincer movement to defeat the Tories shows how worried they should be about the general election, says former YouGov president Peter Kellnerwww.theguardian.com
The prospects of Sunak remaining prime minister after the next election look as bleak as ever. But it remains an open question whether Keir Starmer will enjoy an overall majority in the next parliament or end up leading a minority government, and having to prepare for a second election within a year to 18 months, as Harold Wilson did after Labour’s narrow victories in 1964 and 1974.
Not sure of that, but thanks .... I think
Tbh I think I'd go hung at smaller odds than coalition. I realise it's Labour this time but the last one did them so much damage and they're only just recovering. Personally I'd assume an agreement where a few concessions are made for regular voting alongside them than a formal coalition.
just smile and laugh at him, he's a sad lonely manYes I wonder why he didn't post this one
The local picture is good for Keir Starmer – the national predictions look even better | Peter Kellner
Evidence of a tactical pincer movement to defeat the Tories shows how worried they should be about the general election, says former YouGov president Peter Kellnerwww.theguardian.com
just smile and laugh at him, he's a sad lonely man
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