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Do you want to discuss boring politics? (29 Viewers)

  • Thread starter mrtrench
  • Start date Jun 14, 2020
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Grendel

Well-Known Member
  • Aug 2, 2022
  • #19,811
Deleted member 5849 said:
I dunno. He actually does OK in PMQs... but then he has been against Johnson. He also did well in the Brexit debates, tied them up in that, even though nobody listened.

The key will be as he can't necessarily go for the 'not Boris Johnson' shtick anymore, and how much such a thing would fly with Truss. Although she's thoroughly inept, she doesn't do the appalling joking etc, and I'd be fairly sure she wouldn't end up in a party mess etc, so if we assume she's 'serious' the not Liz Truss would probably fly a bit, but not enough.

So then we're down to policy and presentation... which I do think will come, come an election but... we'll see, won't we!
Click to expand...

Starmer is hopelessly inept as a politician it’s May style of robotics. He will be hopeless at an election - he’s just not a PM
 

David O'Day

Well-Known Member
  • Aug 2, 2022
  • #19,812
Ian1779 said:
It wasn’t selective - just the latest one on their account. Yesterdays had a 4pt Labour lead
Click to expand...
Yeah with about a 4 point MoE

It is selective if you were posting the polls that were on there in last few days that give Labour a double digit lead.

It's textbook confirmation bias.
 

David O'Day

Well-Known Member
  • Aug 2, 2022
  • #19,813
Grendel said:
Where’s those 14 points gone? Is Kevin Keegan in charge?
Click to expand...

Different poll, are you trying to mislead people again?
 

David O'Day

Well-Known Member
  • Aug 2, 2022
  • #19,814
Ian1779 said:
View attachment 25617
Click to expand...

Different poll fella
 

David O'Day

Well-Known Member
  • Aug 2, 2022
  • #19,815
Grendel said:
well seemingly not

Labour facing ‘breakdown in discipline’ as Nandy visits picket line

Shadow ministers say Keir Starmer’s ban on visiting picket lines has ‘effectively broken down’ as frontbencher visits CWU members
amp.theguardian.com
Click to expand...

That is an out of date and wrong article.
 

Grendel

Well-Known Member
  • Aug 2, 2022
  • #19,816
David O'Day said:
Different poll, are you trying to mislead people again?
Click to expand...

PVA and you refer to a 14 point poll lead. When was that taken?
 

Grendel

Well-Known Member
  • Aug 2, 2022
  • #19,817
David O'Day said:
That is an out of date and wrong article.
Click to expand...

It was yesterday
 
P

PVA

Well-Known Member
  • Aug 2, 2022
  • #19,818
David O'Day said:
Different poll, are you trying to mislead people again?
Click to expand...

Do people think there is one poll or something?
 
Reactions: Grendel

David O'Day

Well-Known Member
  • Aug 2, 2022
  • #19,819
Grendel said:
PVA and you refer to a 14 point poll lead. When was that taken?
Click to expand...
That has absolutely nothing to do with the point i am making, can you kindly stop changing the point of the conversation.

The point I have made is you are pretending labour have lost a 14 point lead in that poll when they have not.

Anyway polling on both polls closed within 1 day of each other.
 
Reactions: Grendel

David O'Day

Well-Known Member
  • Aug 2, 2022
  • #19,820
PVA said:
Do people think there is one poll or something?
Click to expand...
He knows there are multiple polls run by differing polling companies. He's just being him
 

Ian1779

Well-Known Member
  • Aug 2, 2022
  • #19,821
David O'Day said:
Different poll fella
Click to expand...
I know
 
Reactions: Grendel and PVA

Grendel

Well-Known Member
  • Aug 2, 2022
  • #19,822
David O'Day said:
That has absolutely nothing to do with the point i am making, can you kindly stop changing the point of the conversation.

The point I have made is you are pretending labour have lost a 14 point lead in that poll when they have not.

Anyway polling on both polls closed within 1 day of each other.
Click to expand...

I’m not pretending anything but it seems an incredibly extreme variation - where was the poll with the huge lead from?
 

David O'Day

Well-Known Member
  • Aug 2, 2022
  • #19,823
Ian1779 said:
I know
Click to expand...
So why act like it is?
 
Reactions: Grendel

Grendel

Well-Known Member
  • Aug 2, 2022
  • #19,824
David O'Day said:
He knows there are multiple polls run by differing polling companies. He's just being him
Click to expand...

Was this the Ipsos Poll?
 

David O'Day

Well-Known Member
  • Aug 2, 2022
  • #19,825
Grendel said:
I’m not pretending anything but it seems an incredibly extreme variation - where was the poll with the huge lead from?
Click to expand...
The 27th, and the other poll is from the 27th to 28th.

The difference will be methodology so let's keep this truthful.

Comparing movement against different polls run by different polls is disingenuous at best
 

Grendel

Well-Known Member
  • Aug 2, 2022
  • #19,826
PVA said:
Do people think there is one poll or something?
Click to expand...

Was the 14 point variation the Ipsos poll?
 

David O'Day

Well-Known Member
  • Aug 2, 2022
  • #19,827
Grendel said:
Was the 14 point variation the Ipsos poll?
Click to expand...
Yes and you are trying to compare it to a yougov poll

The dates mean fuck all to fair and as I said to say otherwise is disingenuous
 

Ian1779

Well-Known Member
  • Aug 2, 2022
  • #19,828
David O'Day said:
Yeah with about a 4 point MoE

It is selective if you were posting the polls that were on there in last few days that give Labour a double digit lead.

It's textbook confirmation bias.
Click to expand...
Not really….. we have had a lack of action from Labour in regards to the strikes and I merely posed the question.

From Britain Elects over the last 14 days we’ve had: +1 Lab, +4 Lab, +14 Lab, +7 Lab, +8 Lab, +6 Lab, +4 Lab
 

Grendel

Well-Known Member
  • Aug 2, 2022
  • #19,829
David O'Day said:
The 27th, and the other poll is from the 27th to 28th.

The difference will be methodology so let's keep this truthful.

Comparing movement against different polls run by different polls is disingenuous at best
Click to expand...

Was it the Ipsos poll? What did it say about Tory voters likely to say “don’t know” versus labour voters?

It may not be the Ipsos poll - which was it can you show me the source?
 

Grendel

Well-Known Member
  • Aug 2, 2022
  • #19,830
David O'Day said:
Yes and you are trying to compare it to a yougov poll

The dates mean fuck all to fair and as I said to say otherwise is disingenuous
Click to expand...

Why are you swearing and getting angry?
 
P

PVA

Well-Known Member
  • Aug 2, 2022
  • #19,831
There were two polls from two different companies that showed a 14 point lead (Ipsos) and a 13 point lead (Savanta) .

You can't say they've lost that 14 point lead until you see the next Ipsos poll.
 

David O'Day

Well-Known Member
  • Aug 2, 2022
  • #19,832
Before grenners posts his next nonsense post let be clarify

I have not called any polls accurate, I said it was disingenuous to compare to another and claim that is movement in the polls.
 
Reactions: PVA
B

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
  • Aug 2, 2022
  • #19,833
Grendel said:
Was the 14 point variation the Ipsos poll?
Click to expand...

Opinion polling for the next United Kingdom general election - Wikipedia

en.wikipedia.org
 
Reactions: Grendel

Ian1779

Well-Known Member
  • Aug 2, 2022
  • #19,834
David O'Day said:
So why act like it is?
Click to expand...
I didn’t - I spent 10 seconds of my life making a meme I thought was amusing.

Are you going to report me to the Labour compliance and discipline department for besmirching the chosen one?
 

Grendel

Well-Known Member
  • Aug 2, 2022
  • #19,835
Anyway we’ve got there @David O'Day . When asked in this poll who’d be the best prime minister - Sunak v Starmer who won?
 

David O'Day

Well-Known Member
  • Aug 2, 2022
  • #19,836
PVA said:
There were two polls from two different companies that showed a 14 point lead (Ipsos) and a 13 point lead (Savanta) .

You can't say they've lost that 14 point lead until you see the next Ipsos poll.
Click to expand...
This really, It's simply nonsense to take the result of a yougov poll and say it shows labour have lost a lead that another companies poll showed
 

Grendel

Well-Known Member
  • Aug 2, 2022
  • #19,837
Brighton Sky Blue said:

Opinion polling for the next United Kingdom general election - Wikipedia

en.wikipedia.org
Click to expand...

David has answered mate it’s the Ipsos poll
 

David O'Day

Well-Known Member
  • Aug 2, 2022
  • #19,838
Ian1779 said:
I didn’t - I spent 10 seconds of my life making a meme I thought was amusing.

Are you going to report me to the Labour compliance and discipline department for besmirching the chosen one?
Click to expand...

No, why the fuck would I do that?
 

Ian1779

Well-Known Member
  • Aug 2, 2022
  • #19,839
David O'Day said:
Before grenners posts his next nonsense post let be clarify

I have not called any polls accurate, I said it was disingenuous to compare to another and claim that is movement in the polls.
Click to expand...
And as I said - I posed the hypothesis that perhaps the movement could be down to a perceived lack of action in regards to strikes. If you don’t think it is then just say so.
 

Grendel

Well-Known Member
  • Aug 2, 2022
  • #19,840
David O'Day said:
No, why the fuck would I do that?
Click to expand...

sunak vs Starmer in the poll. Who won?
 

Ian1779

Well-Known Member
  • Aug 2, 2022
  • #19,841
David O'Day said:
No, why the fuck would I do that?
Click to expand...
Cheers - I am worried they won’t let me vote for Keith’s eventual replacement.
 

David O'Day

Well-Known Member
  • Aug 2, 2022
  • #19,842
Ian1779 said:
And as I said - I posed the hypothesis that perhaps the movement could be down to a perceived lack of action in regards to strikes. If you don’t think it is then just say so.
Click to expand...

what I am talking about is Grenners implying something that is incorrect.

I've already said the poll you were quoting seems to be bumping around with the MoE for that poll.
 

Grendel

Well-Known Member
  • Aug 2, 2022
  • #19,843
@PVA you laughed when I said truss was close to Starmer in a poll as when asked who’d be best PM. Why?
 

Grendel

Well-Known Member
  • Aug 2, 2022
  • #19,844
David O'Day said:
what I am talking about is Grenners implying something that is incorrect.

I've already said the poll you were quoting seems to be bumping around with the MoE for that poll.
Click to expand...

why do you get angry when asked to sensibly debate?
 
P

PVA

Well-Known Member
  • Aug 2, 2022
  • #19,845
Grendel said:
@PVA you laughed when I said truss was close to Starmer in a poll as when asked who’d be best PM. Why?
Click to expand...

Because his hair is much nicer than hers.
 
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