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Do you want to discuss boring politics? (44 Viewers)

  • Thread starter mrtrench
  • Start date Jun 14, 2020
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fernandopartridge

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 21, 2025
  • #49,631
shmmeee said:
Government budgets have gone up, that’s not austerity. I agree people will need to see change. I don’t agree that because this government isn’t deficit spending like there’s no tomorrow they’re “right wing” words mean things. Nationalised infrastructure and workers rights are by definition left wing. Blair privatised health and education, Starmer is renationalising them and undoing the Tory reforms. These are just facts and repeating far right talking points and scouring far right websites for rebuttals like FP does doesn’t convince me that a fear of the far right is what drives the criticism.
Click to expand...

I said I'd stop posting on this thread and I will, but I have to take task with lies. Which far right websites do I scan for rebuttals? Please provide evidence.
 

Mucca Mad Boys

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 21, 2025
  • #49,632
The ONS is reporting that the treasury has borrowed £63bn more than forecasted before Labour came into government and £20.4bn than the OBR projected (the ever reliable OBR).

Growth projections have been halved, the £ is down 0.2% on the dollar… this government is utterly clueless.

Cheer up everyone, we’ve got until 2029 till the next election!
 
Reactions: Captain Dart
B

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 21, 2025
  • #49,633
Mucca Mad Boys said:
The ONS is reporting that the treasury has borrowed £63bn more than forecasted before Labour came into government and £20.4bn than the OBR projected (the ever reliable OBR).

Growth projections have been halved, the £ is down 0.2% on the dollar… this government is utterly clueless.

Cheer up everyone, we’ve got until 2029 till the next election!
Click to expand...
Even if I wanted to vote I’ve no idea who it would even be for, it’s a total shitshow.
 
Reactions: fatso, Sky_Blue_Dreamer, Marty and 4 others

fernandopartridge

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 21, 2025
  • #49,634
Mucca Mad Boys said:
Your assumption is faulty because it assumes that if inflation goes up, the entire operating costs must go up in line that. Which ignores things like long term contracts and so. Ironically, this is actually an argument for a monetarist fiscal policy which prioritises inflation as the most important thing for the government.

In its current format, the existing model of the welfare state is unlikely to survive the dual population trap of an aging society and mass migration.
Click to expand...
Operating costs are also not necessarily constrained to the broad measure of inflation either, it works both ways. Some types of organisation are more heavily exposed to inflation because of their spend profile and the extent to which they spend money externally.

I have just looked at the accounts for a large NHS Trust, its costs went up by 9.5% y-o-y. The annualised CPI rate at the end of that accounting period was 3.4%.

Long term contracts have indexation provisions in them. Employment contracts are uplifted by a 'cost of living' payment, and in the case of the NHS and local authorities, spinal payments to move people up pay bands.
 
Reactions: Sky_Blue_Dreamer and Mucca Mad Boys

shmmeee

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 21, 2025
  • #49,635
fernandopartridge said:
I said I'd stop posting on this thread and I will, but I have to take task with lies. Which far right websites do I scan for rebuttals? Please provide evidence.
Click to expand...

x.com
 
Reactions: Sick Boy, fatso, Captain Dart and 1 other person

Sky Blue Pete

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 21, 2025
  • #49,636
Sky_Blue_Dreamer said:
You end up spending that and more later on anyway just to paper over the cracks because you let things get into such a state not funding it in the first place, as you pointed out re: the NHS. So what do you think the cost will be to get it up to scratch in another 10-20 years time when we haven't bothered yet again now?

Or the other option is just to let society disintegrate and let in turn into a free-for-all where everyone grabs what they can for themselves while everything around them crumbles.
Click to expand...
That’s what’s happening
 

fernandopartridge

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 21, 2025
  • #49,637
shmmeee said:
x.com
Click to expand...
I have shared some tweets from Keir Starmer and for that I apologise profusely.
 
Reactions: Sick Boy, Brighton Sky Blue, Captain Dart and 1 other person

Mucca Mad Boys

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 21, 2025
  • #49,638
Brighton Sky Blue said:
Even if I wanted to vote I’ve no idea who it would even be for, it’s a total shitshow.
Click to expand...

I’m the same. I do not trust the tories and do not find Reform to be credible at all. If an election was held tomorrow, spoil your ballot.

We’re coming to the end of the ‘Blairite’ consensus, that’s for sure.
 

chiefdave

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 21, 2025
  • #49,639
Sky_Blue_Dreamer said:
You end up spending that and more later on anyway just to paper over the cracks because you let things get into such a state not funding it in the first place, as you pointed out re: the NHS. So what do you think the cost will be to get it up to scratch in another 10-20 years time when we haven't bothered yet again now?
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Seeing it now. Huge cuts in the last 15 years to mental health services. Now we have the government scratching their heads about why there's so many people unable to work because of mental health issues.

But rather than fix the problem they're going to try forcing them back to work by cutting any benefit payments they get which I'm sure will be a massive boost to their mental health.
 
Reactions: Sky_Blue_Dreamer and Sky Blue Pete
B

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 21, 2025
  • #49,640
Mucca Mad Boys said:
I’m the same. I do not trust the tories and do not find Reform to be credible at all. If an election was held tomorrow, spoil your ballot.

We’re coming to the end of the ‘Blairite’ consensus, that’s for sure.
Click to expand...
I think much like Stoke City, perhaps the country needs to be relegated to just sort itself out, rebuild and come back stronger. Labour was given a free hand in Parliament, and a fair bit of goodwill from a public sick of the Tories. They could have used it to deliver bold and transformative change for the country which would have seen off the Reform threat and easily secured another term.

Instead, they have targeted the most vulnerable in society, embraced attacks on the civil service, and are doing just as bad a job on the economy as their predecessors. As a result I see us sleepwalking into a Reform government, either absolutely or in coalition.
 
Reactions: Sky_Blue_Dreamer, Ian1779, mmttww and 2 others

Captain Dart

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 21, 2025
  • #49,641
fernandopartridge said:
I have shared some tweets from Keir Starmer and for that I apologise profusely.
Click to expand...
Be sure to steer clear of mad Ed.
 
B

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 21, 2025
  • #49,642
fernandopartridge said:
I have shared some tweets from Keir Starmer and for that I apologise profusely.
Click to expand...
They really help with my insomnia so please keep them coming
 

Sky Blue Pete

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 21, 2025
  • #49,643
Brighton Sky Blue said:
I think much like Stoke City, perhaps the country needs to be relegated to just sort itself out, rebuild and come back stronger. Labour was given a free hand in Parliament, and a fair bit of goodwill from a public sick of the Tories. They could have used it to deliver bold and transformative change for the country which would have seen off the Reform threat and easily secured another term.

Instead, they have targeted the most vulnerable in society, embraced attacks on the civil service, and are doing just as bad a job on the economy as their predecessors. As a result I see us sleepwalking into a Reform government, either absolutely or in coalition.
Click to expand...
Reform shit show not government
 

Mucca Mad Boys

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 21, 2025
  • #49,644
Brighton Sky Blue said:
I think much like Stoke City, perhaps the country needs to be relegated to just sort itself out, rebuild and come back stronger. Labour was given a free hand in Parliament, and a fair bit of goodwill from a public sick of the Tories. They could have used it to deliver bold and transformative change for the country which would have seen off the Reform threat and easily secured another term.

Instead, they have targeted the most vulnerable in society, embraced attacks on the civil service, and are doing just as bad a job on the economy as their predecessors. As a result I see us sleepwalking into a Reform government, either absolutely or in coalition.
Click to expand...

This cracked me up man!

Electing an activist solicitor to lead the Labour Party was a huge mistake. I felt that Starmer in particular is very poorly equipped to govern the country in this moment. His biggest weakness is on immigration and that’s the biggest source of discontent in this country.

There have been polls circulating that Reform are ahead of Labour and the Tories. A lot could change in the next 4 years but it’s not looking good for Labour or the Tories. On a personal note, I fundamentally do not trust Farage or Reform.
 
Reactions: Brighton Sky Blue
B

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 21, 2025
  • #49,645
Mucca Mad Boys said:
This cracked me up man!

Electing an activist solicitor to lead the Labour Party was a huge mistake. I felt that Starmer in particular is very poorly equipped to govern the country in this moment. His biggest weakness is on immigration and that’s the biggest source of discontent in this country.

There have been polls circulating that Reform are ahead of Labour and the Tories. A lot could change in the next 4 years but it’s not looking good for Labour or the Tories. On a personal note, I fundamentally do not trust Farage or Reform.
Click to expand...
Christ knows what league we’re in
 

Sky_Blue_Dreamer

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 21, 2025
  • #49,646
Mucca Mad Boys said:
The ONS is reporting that the treasury has borrowed £63bn more than forecasted before Labour came into government and £20.4bn than the OBR projected (the ever reliable OBR).

Growth projections have been halved, the £ is down 0.2% on the dollar… this government is utterly clueless.

Cheer up everyone, we’ve got until 2029 till the next election!
Click to expand...
Well at least we've proved conclusively that right wing economic policy of cuts is a busted flush. Both the Tories and Labour have had a crack at it with pretty similar results so I think we can safely say that the issue is with the policy rather than those implementing it.

Not that the country will learn and I fear there's a real chance we could just end up supersizing the policy under Farage and Reform.
 

Sky_Blue_Dreamer

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 21, 2025
  • #49,647
Sky Blue Pete said:
That’s what’s happening
Click to expand...
I know it is. That's why I put it as the alternative.
 
Reactions: Sky Blue Pete

chiefdave

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 21, 2025
  • #49,648
Sky_Blue_Dreamer said:
Well at least we've proved conclusively that right wing economic policy of cuts is a busted flush. Both the Tories and Labour have had a crack at it with pretty similar results so I think we can safely say that the issue is with the policy rather than those implementing it.
Click to expand...
You've made the mistake of thinking the desired result is for services to improve rather than for more money to flow to those at the top.
 
Reactions: Sky_Blue_Dreamer

Mcbean

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 22, 2025
  • #49,649
The biggest Labour joker for me is Milliband - in charge of the net zero target the man is a complete imbecile - he is in charge of the biggest budget but I wouldn’t let him run a school tuck shop - he spouts verbal diarrhoea and has no idea what it costs to put air or ground source heating into older properties
 
Reactions: Captain Dart and Mucca Mad Boys

Ian1779

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 22, 2025
  • #49,650
Change
 
Reactions: Sick Boy

Sick Boy

Super Moderator
  • Mar 23, 2025
  • #49,651
Interestingly, some of Starmer’s biggest supporters who claimed he would lurch to the left once in power seem to be very quiet on here these days.
 
Reactions: Earlsdon_Skyblue1 and Captain Dart
B

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 23, 2025
  • #49,652
Sick Boy said:
Interestingly, some of Starmer’s biggest supporters who claimed he would lurch to the left once in power seem to be very quiet on here these days.
Click to expand...
The new line is that he’s just front loading all the unpopular stuff now, the good stuff will come later.
 
Reactions: Captain Dart and Sick Boy

SBAndy

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 23, 2025
  • #49,653
Brighton Sky Blue said:
The new line is that he’s just front loading all the unpopular stuff now, the good stuff will come later.
Click to expand...

So that was my initial thoughts as to what was going on. But they’ve (knowingly) pinned themselves into a corner regarding fiscal policy, only for external factors to blow a hole in their plans. The fact they’re making further cuts already says they’ve made an error and will compound this by dogmatically sticking to their ‘fiscal rules’.
 
Reactions: PVA, Sky_Blue_Dreamer, shmmeee and 2 others

Mcbean

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 23, 2025
  • #49,654
When will Rachel from accounts fall on her sword or will it be the Truss move from Starmergeddon where she sacked Kwasi to save her soul and failed
 
C

CCFCSteve

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 23, 2025
  • #49,655
SBAndy said:
So that was my initial thoughts as to what was going on. But they’ve (knowingly) pinned themselves into a corner regarding fiscal policy, only for external factors to blow a hole in their plans. The fact they’re making further cuts already says they’ve made an error and will compound this by dogmatically sticking to their ‘fiscal rules’.
Click to expand...

Fiscal rules are required to at least try to maintain control over borrowing costs. I respect FPs alternative view on this but I (and pretty much every country in the world) just see it as totally unworkable and/or likely to crash financial system if they tried it

Ultimately though Reeves already changed debt/fiscal rules to free up £50bn-£60bn for additional investment and extra tax which should generate £36bn per year - this is often ignored by many. I have no issue with either of these and actually think theyre well needed. It was how it’s spent and how much wriggle room Reeves left/didn’t leave which has boxed her in.

I still think the biggest mistake was ruling out certain tax generators during the election campaign which has left her with the employers NIC increases which will negatively impact growth and probably wages as well - which might both then make it harder to meet fiscal rules . The fact is unless public sector productivity improves and the additional spending has some positive impact on GDP growth, and quickly, this situation will get worse

I do feel a bit of sympathy for Reeves/the government as borrowing costs are going through the roof which then eats away at available cash to spend. What many don’t seem to want to accept is if the government followed their ‘money no object’ policies this would probably get even worse
 

Sbarcher

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 23, 2025
  • #49,656
Labour out-Torying the Tory party.
 
Reactions: mmttww, Sky_Blue_Dreamer, Sick Boy and 2 others
W

wingy

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 23, 2025
  • #49,657
Quite bizzare isn't it, one thing's for sure we're still under the yoke and it's gonna get messy, of course someone will end up winning but it won't be any of us small fry.
 

SBAndy

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 23, 2025
  • #49,658
I’ve just seen that Rachel Reeves has done a piece in the Mail on Sunday. Can’t really understand why they’re still courting the average Daily Mail reader - they’re in power now, they can lead the narrative.

Your average DM reader isn’t vehemently anti-tax and anti-government; they’ve largely been conditioned to feel that way. Have confidence in your approach and if people see/feel improvement then they’ll naturally come aboard.

Of course, this works on the assumption that they actually want to take a different approach.
 
Reactions: mmttww and Sick Boy

Sick Boy

Super Moderator
  • Mar 23, 2025
  • #49,659
SBAndy said:
I’ve just seen that Rachel Reeves has done a piece in the Mail on Sunday. Can’t really understand why they’re still courting the average Daily Mail reader - they’re in power now, they can lead the narrative.

Your average DM reader isn’t vehemently anti-tax and anti-government; they’ve largely been conditioned to feel that way. Have confidence in your approach and if people see/feel improvement then they’ll naturally come aboard.

Of course, this works on the assumption that they actually want to take a different approach.
Click to expand...
Their biggest supporters on here are natural Tory voters who have voted for them in the past, which says it all.
 
Reactions: fernandopartridge and PVA
C

CCFCSteve

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 23, 2025
  • #49,660
SBAndy said:
I’ve just seen that Rachel Reeves has done a piece in the Mail on Sunday. Can’t really understand why they’re still courting the average Daily Mail reader - they’re in power now, they can lead the narrative.

Your average DM reader isn’t vehemently anti-tax and anti-government; they’ve largely been conditioned to feel that way. Have confidence in your approach and if people see/feel improvement then they’ll naturally come aboard.

Of course, this works on the assumption that they actually want to take a different approach.
Click to expand...

I’d imagine it’s a concern about Reform.

Agree with this ‘Have confidence in your approach and if people see/feel improvement then they’ll naturally come aboard.’

There won’t be another GE for 4 years so just get on with implementing changes that will benefit the country
 
Reactions: SBAndy and Captain Dart
C

CCFCSteve

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 23, 2025
  • #49,661
CCFCSteve said:
Fiscal rules are required to at least try to maintain control over borrowing costs. I respect FPs alternative view on this but I (and pretty much every country in the world) just see it as totally unworkable and/or likely to crash financial system if they tried it

Ultimately though Reeves already changed debt/fiscal rules to free up £50bn-£60bn for additional investment and extra tax which should generate £36bn per year - this is often ignored by many. I have no issue with either of these and actually think theyre well needed. It was how it’s spent and how much wriggle room Reeves left/didn’t leave which has boxed her in.

I still think the biggest mistake was ruling out certain tax generators during the election campaign which has left her with the employers NIC increases which will negatively impact growth and probably wages as well - which might both then make it harder to meet fiscal rules . The fact is unless public sector productivity improves and the additional spending has some positive impact on GDP growth, and quickly, this situation will get worse

I do feel a bit of sympathy for Reeves/the government as borrowing costs are going through the roof which then eats away at available cash to spend. What many don’t seem to want to accept is if the government followed their ‘money no object’ policies this would probably get even worse
Click to expand...

I hadn’t seen this when i posted but interesting thread about the challenges for whoever is in government which covers similar points

 
W

wingy

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 23, 2025
  • #49,662
CCFCSteve said:
I hadn’t seen this when i posted but interesting thread about the challenges for whoever is in government which covers similar points

Click to expand...
So is this blame for the last guy's or this?
 

Mcbean

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 23, 2025
  • #49,663
wingy said:
So is this blame for the last guy's or this?
Click to expand...
It was the last guys but since the new guys its got worse and they bought more Ronald McDonald clowns with them
 
C

CCFCSteve

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 23, 2025
  • #49,664
wingy said:
So is this blame for the last guy's or this?
Click to expand...

Hard to blame current lot just a few months in but let’s see if they make it any better or worse over the course of the parliament
 
Reactions: wingy
W

wingy

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 23, 2025
  • #49,665
CCFCSteve said:
Hard to blame current lot just a few months in but let’s see if they make it any better or worse over the course of the parliament
Click to expand...
That NI contributions really irks me as it was a nobbling exercise and nothing to do with economics from my point of view.
 
Reactions: Mucca Mad Boys
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