Non AMP
Sky Blues Talk
  • Home
  • Forums
  • General Discussion
  • Off Topic Chat
This is a mobile optimized page that loads fast, if you want to load the real page, click this text.

Do you want to discuss boring politics? (42 Viewers)

  • Thread starter mrtrench
  • Start date Jun 14, 2020
Forums New posts
Prev
  • 1
  • …
  • 1232
  • 1233
  • 1234
  • 1235
  • 1236
  • …
  • 1495
Next
First Prev 1234 of 1495 Next Last

shmmeee

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 8, 2024
  • #43,156
SBAndy said:
Edit: I’ll also add, you’ve just won a 5 year term. This bit is meant to be about you, not what the opposition did. No one cares this far out.
Click to expand...

The argument here is the Tories did this successfully and framed Labour as over spenders for the next two decades.
 

shmmeee

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 8, 2024
  • #43,157
Sky_Blue_Dreamer said:
Of course I know you're not a low/zero tax approach person. That's why I mentioned that the logical conclusion of your argument is exactly that, and I know you think that's a ridiculous proposition.

I do get the argument for it, but I think there are better ways to go about it. Having people earn a minimum wage they can actually live off for a start and then probably putting the tax free income at the value of rent, food + energy.
Click to expand...

The right thing to do if they wanted to blow all their political capital up front as seems to be the case was to do a full tax review. More wealth and local taxes, reduce tax elsewhere, etc. Say the Tories left a mess so we’re going to fix it once and for all. Lots of people would have been unhappy, but lots of people are unhappy anyway.
 
Reactions: fernandopartridge, torchomatic and Sky_Blue_Dreamer
S

Skybluekyle

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 8, 2024
  • #43,158
Sky_Blue_Dreamer said:
I don't get having high levels of income tax allied to high levels of sales tax as that's just double taxation. One or the other can be fine.

Probably arguing for the sake of it here but one reason is people have a tendency to buy shit they don't need. We're also using up raw materials and energy at an ever increasing rate to produce a lot of shit. We moan about the levels of pollution and gases China makes. The reason it does that is because it's producing the shit we buy. So maybe we could do with having people being a bit more discerning about what they buy.

And as I said I'd consider adding bands in so high cost items incur a higher tax level than lower ones. That would make it a bit more progressive.
Click to expand...
This I completely agree on. The UK is probably the greenest major economy, but it counts for none since we import a huge amount of products from countries with some of the worst economies for the environment.
 
Reactions: Sky_Blue_Dreamer

SBAndy

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 8, 2024
  • #43,159
shmmeee said:
The argument here is the Tories did this successfully and framed Labour as over spenders for the next two decades.
Click to expand...

I get it, and in politics terms it was a brilliant set-piece. This clearly hasn’t cut through in the same way and they’ve made themselves look fools.
 

MalcSB

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 8, 2024
  • #43,160
wingy said:
No you're hoping here!
Click to expand...
Not hoping, predicting.
 

MalcSB

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 8, 2024
  • #43,161
fernandopartridge said:
We haven't got a huge hole in the public finances, fucking hell.
Click to expand...
As Trevor Philips showed, the alleged black hole is 2% of public expenditure which caught that intellectual midget Streeting on the hop. Of course you would show that there is no such thing in the first place ( I will read that paper, honest!).
 
Reactions: fernandopartridge

MalcSB

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 8, 2024
  • #43,162
SBAndy said:
The argument of “the Conservatives were playing fast and loose with the country’s finances” is only half the story. The ‘spend’ was on nothing of value. If, for example, there was a plethora of infrastructure projects underway then the deficit doesn’t really matter (at less than 2% of total government spending; I’m not advocating for endless expenditure before anyone tries that). Fact is, the tax cuts given haven’t boosted economic performance so they were dead duck policies.

As Steve said earlier in the thread, there was a massive opportunity to use their short-term to make meaningful and positive change. They’ve blown their goodwill already which is staggeringly incompetent.

Edit: I’ll also add, you’ve just won a 5 year term. This bit is meant to be about you, not what the opposition did. No one cares this far out.
Click to expand...
They have got to make it about what the opposition did so they can set the bar really low for their own performance to be measured. I don’t see a second term for Labour.
 

MalcSB

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 8, 2024
  • #43,163
SBAndy said:
I get it, and in politics terms it was a brilliant set-piece. This clearly hasn’t cut through in the same way and they’ve made themselves look fools.
Click to expand...
They’ve made themselves look fools because all the published figures has shown that the economy was doing better than the rest of the G7 (according to the measures used) and people can see those figures. It may not have filtered through to the man in the street In terms of a feel good factor - but it doesn’t sound like that is going to happen any time soon anyway.
 
S

Skybluekyle

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 8, 2024
  • #43,164
MalcSB said:
As Trevor Philips showed, the alleged black hole is 2% of public expenditure which caught that intellectual midget Streeting on the hop. Of course you would show that there is no such thing in the first place ( I will read that paper, honest!).
Click to expand...
Good to see he's going into politics after robbing banks and patching things up with Michael!
 

MalcSB

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 8, 2024
  • #43,165
Skybluekyle said:
Good to see he's going into politics after robbing banks and patching things up with Michael!
Click to expand...
What a difference an l makes!
 

shmmeee

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 8, 2024
  • #43,166
MalcSB said:
They’ve made themselves look fools because all the published figures has shown that the economy was doing better than the rest of the G7 (according to the measures used) and people can see those figures. It may not have filtered through to the man in the street In terms of a feel good factor - but it doesn’t sound like that is going to happen any time soon anyway.
Click to expand...

You’re still taking one quarter as some evidence of a great economy. Small growth from a low base doesn’t mean shit when it’s been preceded by 16 years of stagnation. It’s just fundamentally unserious to point to a momentary uptick and claim all is good. Is hasn’t “filtered down” because it’s an imperceptible rise from absolute shite.

The challenge for Labour is doing better.
 
Reactions: Brighton Sky Blue

MalcSB

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 8, 2024
  • #43,167
shmmeee said:
You’re still taking one quarter as some evidence of a great economy. Small growth from a low base doesn’t mean shit when it’s been preceded by 16 years of stagnation. It’s just fundamentally unserious to point to a momentary uptick and claim all is good. Is hasn’t “filtered down” because it’s an imperceptible rise from absolute shite.

The challenge for Labour is doing better.
Click to expand...
Doesn't this show greater growth for the UK since the Covid low point? So not just one quarter.


The challenge for Labour is to do better. They are already breaking promises and shelving others.
 

shmmeee

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 9, 2024
  • #43,168
MalcSB said:
Doesn't this show greater growth for the UK since the Covid low point? So not just one quarter.
View attachment 38357

The challenge for Labour is to do better. They are already breaking promises and shelving others.
Click to expand...

We’re still below pre Covid levels! No growth for four years.

You realise this is the first time in history a UK government has failed to raise living standards during its term?

Honestly give this up you’re looking sillier by the day. We get it “grr Labour” but keep it realistic.
 
Reactions: Northants Sky Blue and Brighton Sky Blue

Philosoraptor

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 9, 2024
  • #43,169
Not much into my economics but the US and Europe are using different strategies to boost their economies out of the Covid downturn.

The US could be in real trouble with their low exchange rates and debt if unemployment goes up, and the German economy is meant to be set for a real dodgy patch too.

Other emerging markets like China doesn't seem to be taking off at all.
 
Reactions: wingy
C

CCFCSteve

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 9, 2024
  • #43,170
shmmeee said:
You’re still taking one quarter as some evidence of a great economy. Small growth from a low base doesn’t mean shit when it’s been preceded by 16 years of stagnation. It’s just fundamentally unserious to point to a momentary uptick and claim all is good. Is hasn’t “filtered down” because it’s an imperceptible rise from absolute shite.

The challenge for Labour is doing better.
Click to expand...

Don’t want to be pedantic (again ), but it’s two quarters and this current one is looking ok based on the PMI readings (not wholly accurate)

The problem the government will have is if/when it slows, which it undoubtedly will anyway, then the finger will be pointed at them for negative chat and any ‘non growth’ policy actions

ps MalcSB chart is out of date. Not pretty but we are above pre pandemic levels…think most major nations are now, apart from maybe Germany that is borderline. We’re on course for growing a bit more than most others this year which should close gap a little
 
B

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 9, 2024
  • #43,171
CCFCSteve said:
Don’t want to be pedantic (again ), but it’s two quarters and this current one is looking ok based on the PMI readings (not wholly accurate)

The problem the government will have is if/when it slows, which it undoubtedly will anyway, then the finger will be pointed at them for negative chat and any ‘non growth’ policy actions

ps MalcSB chart is out of date. Not pretty but we are above pre pandemic levels…think most major nations are now, apart from maybe Germany that is borderline. We’re on course for growing a bit more than most others this year which should close gap a littleView attachment 38359
Click to expand...
Hasn’t the GDP increase mostly been down to high immigration?
 
C

CCFCSteve

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 9, 2024
  • #43,172
Brighton Sky Blue said:
Hasn’t the GDP increase mostly been down to high immigration?
Click to expand...

It would’ve helped but our PMIs have been stronger recently inc manufacturing which indicates some proper growth. As I’ve mentioned people/businesses were buying into a new government coming in, some long overdue stability and hopefully some growth policies (like the planning stuff, infrastructure etc). Just hope it’s not wasted. But we should all just wait and see what’s in the budget really

Edit - gdp per capita hasn’t been pretty for a while, it’s probably been the wrong type of immigration in some respects recently added to higher economic inactivity numbers
 
Last edited: Sep 9, 2024
Reactions: Brighton Sky Blue

MalcSB

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 9, 2024
  • #43,173
CCFCSteve said:
Don’t want to be pedantic (again ), but it’s two quarters and this current one is looking ok based on the PMI readings (not wholly accurate)

The problem the government will have is if/when it slows, which it undoubtedly will anyway, then the finger will be pointed at them for negative chat and any ‘non growth’ policy actions

ps MalcSB chart is out of date. Not pretty but we are above pre pandemic levels…think most major nations are now, apart from maybe Germany that is borderline. We’re on course for growing a bit more than most others this year which should close gap a littleView attachment 38359
Click to expand...
It was shmmee’s chart.
It is being reported that wealth creators are divesting themselves of investments and looking to relocate. There are reports that companies are delaying hiring decisions, Does not bode well.
 
Reactions: CCFCSteve

MalcSB

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 9, 2024
  • #43,174
CCFCSteve said:
It would’ve helped but our PMIs have been stronger recently inc manufacturing which indicates some proper growth. As I’ve mentioned people/businesses were buying into a new government coming in, some long overdue stability and hopefully some growth policies (like the planning stuff, infrastructure etc). Just hope it’s not wasted. But we should all just wait and see what’s in the budget really

Edit - gdp per capita hasn’t been pretty for a while, it’s probably been the wrong type of immigration in some respects recently added to higher economic inactivity numbers
Click to expand...
What is the wrong type of immigration?
 
C

CCFCSteve

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 9, 2024
  • #43,175
MalcSB said:
What is the wrong type of immigration?
Click to expand...

People who aren’t filling the job roles we need/are available (or doing the jobs that U.K. economically inactive would do/could with right training - less likely but possible), dependents of students and lower paid workers etc

ps thought I’d seen that chart before !
 

fernandopartridge

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 9, 2024
  • #43,176
MalcSB said:
Doesn't this show greater growth for the UK since the Covid low point? So not just one quarter.
View attachment 38357

The challenge for Labour is to do better. They are already breaking promises and shelving others.
Click to expand...

Well no, it shows the UK still hasn't recovered even to its pre-covid piss poor performance.

Why did it see a much greater economic decline during Covid than the EU or US? Who was in charge at that point?
 

Earlsdon_Skyblue1

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 9, 2024
  • #43,177
We are living in a clown world.

 
Reactions: MalcSB

MalcSB

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 9, 2024
  • #43,178
fernandopartridge said:
Well no, it shows the UK still hasn't recovered even to its pre-covid piss poor performance.

Why did it see a much greater economic decline during Covid than the EU or US? Who was in charge at that point?
Click to expand...
That is the big question. Did the UK take actions which other countries didn't - I don't know, like furlough schemes etc that had a bigger impact.
It will be very interesting to see
a) How everyone is feeling by Christmas 2024
b) What the economic markers are by August 2025
c) How much Miliband has reduced my energy bill by August 2025
d) How many new homes have been built by August 2025
e) How many people have drowned mid channel as the gangs are broken by August 2025
 
W

wingy

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 9, 2024
  • #43,179
Philosoraptor said:
Not much into my economics but the US and Europe are using different strategies to boost their economies out of the Covid downturn.

The US could be in real trouble with their low exchange rates and debt if unemployment goes up, and the German economy is meant to be set for a real dodgy patch too.

Other emerging markets like China doesn't seem to be taking off at all.
Click to expand...
Better reinstate the trading conditions that make the world tick then?
 

fernandopartridge

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 9, 2024
  • #43,180
Philosoraptor said:
Not much into my economics but the US and Europe are using different strategies to boost their economies out of the Covid downturn.

The US could be in real trouble with their low exchange rates and debt if unemployment goes up, and the German economy is meant to be set for a real dodgy patch too.

Other emerging markets like China doesn't seem to be taking off at all.
Click to expand...

The US are not going to be in any trouble with its debt. They can pay any debt in USD at any time as the issuer of USD. This is exactly the same as UK government debt in £.

The only trouble comes from the respective politicians at best ignorance of this point, or at worst, understanding that any debt in £ can be easily repaid but continued intention to mislead the public on it.
 
Reactions: duffer and wingy
W

wingy

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 9, 2024
  • #43,181
fernandopartridge said:
The US are not going to be in any trouble with its debt. They can pay any debt in USD at any time as the issuer of USD. This is exactly the same as UK government debt in £.

The only trouble comes from the respective politicians at best ignorance of this point, or at worst, understanding that any debt in £ can be easily repaid but continued intention to mislead the public on it.
Click to expand...
Although it is weak ATM, behind the euro by around 10 cents, the pound meanwhile is overvalued due to Boe policy, get your act together!!
 
B

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 10, 2024
  • #43,182
The ‘optics’ of this just keep getting worse. Is it really worth burning up all your goodwill for £1 billion?

Rachel Reeves urges Labour MPs to back winter fuel payment cut

Some Labour MPs are uneasy over the move to scrap winter fuel payments for millions of pensioners.
www.bbc.co.uk
 

shmmeee

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 10, 2024
  • #43,183
Brighton Sky Blue said:
The ‘optics’ of this just keep getting worse. Is it really worth burning up all your goodwill for £1 billion?

Rachel Reeves urges Labour MPs to back winter fuel payment cut

Some Labour MPs are uneasy over the move to scrap winter fuel payments for millions of pensioners.
www.bbc.co.uk
Click to expand...

Its just bollocks isn’t it. “Oh blame the tories”. The Tories didn’t make you refuse to raise any taxes or follow batshit economic theory of cutting for prosperity.
 
Reactions: Sky_Blue_Dreamer

shmmeee

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 10, 2024
  • #43,184
Though this is also bollocks. By definition it’s not the poorest pensioners is it Diane you lemon?



As bad as the moron that said pensioners need money cos they fought in the war.
 
B

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 10, 2024
  • #43,185
shmmeee said:
Its just bollocks isn’t it. “Oh blame the tories”. The Tories didn’t make you refuse to raise any taxes or follow batshit economic theory of cutting for prosperity.
Click to expand...
As the Democrats are finding out, the public don’t care about economic indicators if their personal experience is unchanged or gets worse.
 
Reactions: Ian1779 and CCFCSteve

shmmeee

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 10, 2024
  • #43,186
What did make me laugh is one of the radical feminists I follow was blaming it all on Starmers masculinity and need to look tough and if we had a woman none of this would happen. I did remind her we have the first female chancellor.
 
Reactions: RegTheDonk and MalcSB

shmmeee

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 10, 2024
  • #43,187
Brighton Sky Blue said:
As the Democrats are finding out, the public don’t care about economic indicators if their personal experience is unchanged or gets worse.
Click to expand...

Im not sure US politics is applicable to anywhere else TBH. Country is cooked.
 
C

CCFCSteve

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 10, 2024
  • #43,188
fernandopartridge said:
The US are not going to be in any trouble with its debt. They can pay any debt in USD at any time as the issuer of USD. This is exactly the same as UK government debt in £.

The only trouble comes from the respective politicians at best ignorance of this point, or at worst, understanding that any debt in £ can be easily repaid but continued intention to mislead the public on it.
Click to expand...

But it still potentially leads to the problems discussed before. The less perceived control over the deficit the more the markets will charge on the debt, to pay the interest on the debt you need to print more $/£ (as you’re running a deficit), if you print more $/£ you debase the currency ie people get less for their $/£.

all this happens with assets increasing in value in $/£ terms, the rich get richer as they own the assets and the poor getting poorer as they can’t afford the buy the appreciating assets and most of their income goes on the inflated prices (in $/£ terms) just to live

I agree with the fundamental point that the USA cant run out of cash, it’s just that over time that $ is just worth less
 
B

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 10, 2024
  • #43,189
shmmeee said:
Im not sure US politics is applicable to anywhere else TBH. Country is cooked.
Click to expand...
I think it is in this specific case. ‘Look, I’ve reduced the deficit by 0.5%!’ ‘So?’
 

shmmeee

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 10, 2024
  • #43,190
Brighton Sky Blue said:
I think it is in this specific case. ‘Look, I’ve reduced the deficit by 0.5%!’ ‘So?’
Click to expand...

But different though when you’ve got some of the best economic performance but an electorate too polarised to notice. Nothing to do with the deficit.

You’re right though no voter rewards you for a smaller deficit.
 
Reactions: Brighton Sky Blue
Prev
  • 1
  • …
  • 1232
  • 1233
  • 1234
  • 1235
  • 1236
  • …
  • 1495
Next
First Prev 1234 of 1495 Next Last
You must log in or register to reply here.

Users who are viewing this thread

  • chiefdave1 minute ago
  • shmmeee3 minutes ago
  • Ian177912 minutes ago
  • ... and 5 more.
  • Total: 38 (members: 8, guests: 30)
    Share:
    Facebook Twitter Reddit Pinterest Tumblr WhatsApp Email
    • Home
    • Forums
    • General Discussion
    • Off Topic Chat
    • Default Style
    • Contact us
    • Terms and rules
    • Privacy policy
    • Help
    • Home
    Community platform by XenForo® © 2010-2021 XenForo Ltd.
    Menu
    Log in

    Register

    • Home
    • Forums
      • New posts
      • Search forums
    • What's new
      • New posts
      • Latest activity
    • Members
      • Current visitors
    • Donate to the Season Ticket Fund
    X

    Privacy & Transparency

    We use cookies and similar technologies for the following purposes:

    • Personalized ads and content
    • Content measurement and audience insights

    Do you accept cookies and these technologies?

    X

    Privacy & Transparency

    We use cookies and similar technologies for the following purposes:

    • Personalized ads and content
    • Content measurement and audience insights

    Do you accept cookies and these technologies?