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Do you want to discuss boring politics? (20 Viewers)

  • Thread starter mrtrench
  • Start date Jun 14, 2020
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Earlsdon_Skyblue1

Well-Known Member
  • Jul 7, 2024
  • #41,126
skybluetony176 said:
You mean aside from a bunch of cunts?

Whatever they are you’re ridiculous if you think that they were centre right.
Click to expand...

Most of us think they're a bunch of cunts. Still, doesn't answer my question. If they aren't centre right, what are they?
 
Reactions: Deleted member 5849

Sky Blue Pete

Well-Known Member
  • Jul 7, 2024
  • #41,127
Sky_Blue_Dreamer said:
Because prisons aren't shown to be much of a deterrent and leads to a high percentage of reoffending. In some cases prisons are basically seen as criminal gang recruitment centres.

People who get drawn further and further into that world for what started out as minor offences. Things like drugs, swift changes in circumstances (especially economic like job loss), family/socio-economic problems. People that can be helped but end up in a much worse position because they've been sent to prison.

Meanwhile other countries in Scandinavia concentrate almost wholly on rehabilitation with a tiny prison population and all the indicators are that it's far more successful. In fact they say the biggest problem is people like you moaning why criminals aren't being punished.

For me prison should be there purely for those who pose a physical threat to people, and would happily say for some of them to even be considered for release after extensive rehabilitation they have to wear a tag for the rest of their lives.

So ask yourself are you interesting in solving the amount of crime and the reasons for it, or just punishment?
Click to expand...
That’s what me Timpson is saying
 
Reactions: Sky_Blue_Dreamer

SBAndy

Well-Known Member
  • Jul 7, 2024
  • #41,128
Well, exit polls suggesting the National Rally in France now languishing in 3rd place after the 2nd round of voting.
 
Reactions: Deleted member 9744 and Sick Boy

chiefdave

Well-Known Member
  • Jul 7, 2024
  • #41,129
SBAndy said:
Well, exit polls suggesting the National Rally in France now languishing in 3rd place after the 2nd round of voting.
Click to expand...
not really been following this past the headlines as there was so much going on here. is this a case where the far right voters vote far right but as you move through the process nobody else has them as their second ballot?
 

David O'Day

Well-Known Member
  • Jul 7, 2024
  • #41,130
That exit poll/projection can't be right? The left winning and the fash in 3rd?
 

skybluetony176

Well-Known Member
  • Jul 7, 2024
  • #41,131
Earlsdon_Skyblue1 said:
Most of us think they're a bunch of cunts. Still, doesn't answer my question. If they aren't centre right, what are they?
Click to expand...
You see this is what they do. They shift the line so that can claim to not be far right implicating that they must be centre right while claiming moronic things like the current Labour Party is the furthest left Labour Party in modern history when it’s centre left at best and not even the furthest left Labour Party of the last 5 years.


We’re back to the territory of just because they (the Tories) think you’re stupid doesn’t mean you have to indulge them.
 

Sick Boy

Super Moderator
  • Jul 7, 2024
  • #41,132
David O'Day said:
That exit poll/projection can't be right? The left winning and the fash in 3rd?
Click to expand...
I’d presume people holding their noses to keep them out.
 
Reactions: CCFCSteve and torchomatic

David O'Day

Well-Known Member
  • Jul 7, 2024
  • #41,133
Sick Boy said:
I’d presume people holding their noses to keep them out.
Click to expand...
Yeah but you'd think they'd vote Macrons centrists and not the left alliance
 

MalcSB

Well-Known Member
  • Jul 7, 2024
  • #41,134
SBAndy said:
Well, exit polls suggesting the National Rally in France now languishing in 3rd place after the 2nd round of voting.
Click to expand...
Have still probably increased their seats. Was 8 in 2017, 89 in 2022, predicted 125 to 150 in 2024.
 
Reactions: SIR ERNIE

MalcSB

Well-Known Member
  • Jul 7, 2024
  • #41,135
David O'Day said:
Yeah but you'd think they'd vote Macrons centrists and not the left alliance
Click to expand...
I think the French hate Macron and his party as much as you hate Tories.
 
P

PVA

Well-Known Member
  • Jul 7, 2024
  • #41,136
That can't be right, I thought the right were now the most popular party and Le Pen was going to be president

It's almost as though this has happened before.
 

David O'Day

Well-Known Member
  • Jul 7, 2024
  • #41,137
PVA said:
That can't be right, I thought the right were now the most popular party and Le Pen was going to be president

It's almost as though this has happened before.
Click to expand...
Almost like most French people aren't actually Le Pen supporters and will vote to keep her and her party out.
 
Reactions: torchomatic

torchomatic

Well-Known Member
  • Jul 7, 2024
  • #41,138
Sick Boy said:
I’d presume people holding their noses to keep them out.
Click to expand...
Exactly this. A load of candidates withdrew so as not to dilute the vote. A lot of people also voted for Macron just to keep Le Pen out. Thank goodness.
 

David O'Day

Well-Known Member
  • Jul 7, 2024
  • #41,139
MalcSB said:
I think the French hate Macron and his party as much as you hate Tories.
Click to expand...
they still appear to have come 2nd
 

fatso

Well-Known Member
  • Jul 7, 2024
  • #41,140
Sky_Blue_Dreamer said:
Because prisons aren't shown to be much of a deterrent and leads to a high percentage of reoffending. In some cases prisons are basically seen as criminal gang recruitment centres.

People who get drawn further and further into that world for what started out as minor offences. Things like drugs, swift changes in circumstances (especially economic like job loss), family/socio-economic problems. People that can be helped but end up in a much worse position because they've been sent to prison.

Meanwhile other countries in Scandinavia concentrate almost wholly on rehabilitation with a tiny prison population and all the indicators are that it's far more successful. In fact they say the biggest problem is people like you moaning why criminals aren't being punished.

For me prison should be there purely for those who pose a physical threat to people, and would happily say for some of them to even be considered for release after extensive rehabilitation they have to wear a tag for the rest of their lives.

So ask yourself are you interesting in solving the amount of crime and the reasons for it, or just punishment?
Click to expand...
The problem is without any deterant there's no reason not to commit crime.
Rehab although a crucial part in preventing re offending isn't the only solution.
We've had rehab for donkeys years without stopping reoffending. Go and ask any shop owners if shoplifting has increased or decreased since police stopped bothering with it.
Weak ass woolly do gooders like you would see a massive rise in crime once the punishment was reduced.
So in short punishment AND rehab is the way to go imo.
 
Reactions: MalcSB

robbiekeane

Well-Known Member
  • Jul 7, 2024
  • #41,141
skybluetony176 said:
You see this is what they do. They shift the line so that can claim to not be far right implicating that they must be centre right while claiming moronic things like the current Labour Party is the furthest left Labour Party in modern history when it’s centre left at best and not even the furthest left Labour Party of the last 5 years.


We’re back to the territory of just because they (the Tories) think you’re stupid doesn’t mean you have to indulge them.
Click to expand...
What are you on about? The political spectrum is exactly that - a theoretical relative spectrum so obviously shifts.

Most would probably agree though that the Conservative Party that just got booted out was centre right - what do you disagree with about that?

The relativity is important thought, for example they are definitely still left of the US Democratic Party
 
Reactions: Earlsdon_Skyblue1, TomRad85 and skybluetony176

MalcSB

Well-Known Member
  • Jul 7, 2024
  • #41,142
David O'Day said:
they still appear to have come 2nd
Click to expand...
As did the Tories.
 

Evo1883

Well-Known Member
  • Jul 7, 2024
  • #41,143
The worrying thing for France is that around 30% plus of the electorate are voting far right parties and if I was a betting man , I reckon that figure could rise further over the next 4 years .

200 MPs had to step down in certain areas to ensure that this happened through tactical voting.. that's a worry
 
Reactions: SIR ERNIE

MalcSB

Well-Known Member
  • Jul 7, 2024
  • #41,144
David O'Day said:
Almost like most French people aren't actually Le Pen supporters and will vote to keep her and her party out.
Click to expand...
What, like most British people aren’t actually Labour supporters? Yet they are now in power,
 

Sick Boy

Super Moderator
  • Jul 7, 2024
  • #41,145
How far to the left are the parties in France?
 

SBAndy

Well-Known Member
  • Jul 7, 2024
  • #41,146
Evo1883 said:
The worrying thing for France is that around 30% plus of the electorate are voting far right parties and if I was a betting man , I reckon that figure could rise further over the next 4 years .

200 MPs had to step down in certain areas to ensure that this happened through tactical voting.. that's a worry
Click to expand...

Although the increased turnout in the 2nd round suggests to me there’s a general apathy but a more fervent rejection of far right politics. Basically more have been energised after the result of the first round of voting.
 
Reactions: Sky Blue Pete and Evo1883

Evo1883

Well-Known Member
  • Jul 7, 2024
  • #41,147
SBAndy said:
Although the increased turnout in the 2nd round suggests to me there’s a general apathy but a more fervent rejection of far right politics. Basically more have been energised after the result of the first round of voting.
Click to expand...

France I reckon has a much bigger far right issue than the UK .. can't see it getting better either
 

David O'Day

Well-Known Member
  • Jul 7, 2024
  • #41,148
Sick Boy said:
How far to the left are the parties in France?
Click to expand...
it's the Popular Front alliance so it ranges from very left to centre left
 
Last edited: Jul 7, 2024
Reactions: torchomatic and Sick Boy

Evo1883

Well-Known Member
  • Jul 7, 2024
  • #41,149
Le pen results

2017

2nd round

8%

2022

17 %

2024

29/30 %


Projected to gain 44 seats in the French parliament
 

shmmeee

Well-Known Member
  • Jul 7, 2024
  • #41,150
30% is fascisms ceiling. Most people are decent. PR would put them in power when people are forced to pick one of two sides they don’t pick fascism. People need to be clear eyed about it. Reform and the like aren’t going to romp to 40% of the vote.
 
Reactions: CCFCSteve, torchomatic, Evo1883 and 1 other person
N

Northants Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
  • Jul 7, 2024
  • #41,151
Been a rough few days for Putin.

Now if only the Dems could pull a decent candidate out their arse thats a v.v.unlikely hat-trick
 
Last edited: Jul 7, 2024

stay_up_skyblues

Well-Known Member
  • Jul 7, 2024
  • #41,152
My 14 year old goes on a school trip to Paris Tuesday. Hopefully it’s all calmed down a bit by the time she gets there. All seems fairly celebratory on the news at the moment.
 
Reactions: torchomatic

David O'Day

Well-Known Member
  • Jul 7, 2024
  • #41,153
stay_up_skyblues said:
My 14 year old goes on a school trip to Paris Tuesday. Hopefully it’s all calmed down a bit by the time she gets there. All seems fairly celebratory on the news at the moment.
Click to expand...
Paris will be fine, the residents of the city proper will be loving this
 
Reactions: stay_up_skyblues

MalcSB

Well-Known Member
  • Jul 7, 2024
  • #41,154
Evo1883 said:
Le pen results

2017

2nd round

8%

2022

17 %

2024

29/30 %


Projected to gain 44 seats in the French parliament
Click to expand...
I saw it was projected to be 125 to 150 on the BBC. There’s over 550 seats in total I think
 

Earlsdon_Skyblue1

Well-Known Member
  • Jul 7, 2024
  • #41,155
skybluetony176 said:
You see this is what they do. They shift the line so that can claim to not be far right implicating that they must be centre right while claiming moronic things like the current Labour Party is the furthest left Labour Party in modern history when it’s centre left at best and not even the furthest left Labour Party of the last 5 years.


We’re back to the territory of just because they (the Tories) think you’re stupid doesn’t mean you have to indulge them.
Click to expand...

So you think the Conservatives were far right?

Fucking hell.
 
Reactions: SIR ERNIE

skybluetony176

Well-Known Member
  • Jul 7, 2024
  • #41,156
Earlsdon_Skyblue1 said:
So you think the Conservatives were far right?

Fucking hell.
Click to expand...
They’re a damn site nearer to the far right than they are the centre that’s for sure. They’ve spent the last 12 months especially trying to make immigration the biggest issue. Text book far right. But the truth is they’ve been flirting with it since May was Home Secretary.
 
Reactions: Earlsdon_Skyblue1, Deleted member 9744 and torchomatic

robbiekeane

Well-Known Member
  • Jul 7, 2024
  • #41,157
skybluetony176 said:
They’re a damn site nearer to the far right than they are the centre that’s for sure. They’ve spent the last 12 months especially trying to make immigration the biggest issue. Text book far right. But the truth is they’ve been flirting with it since May was Home Secretary.
Click to expand...
Jesus Christ, if you think they are far right I think you need to open a history book, or look at US politics
 

skybluetony176

Well-Known Member
  • Jul 7, 2024
  • #41,158
robbiekeane said:
Jesus Christ, if you think they are far right I think you need to open a history book, or look at US politics
Click to expand...
I think you need to open your eyes.
 

Grendel

Well-Known Member
  • Jul 7, 2024
  • #41,159
PVA said:
That can't be right, I thought the right were now the most popular party and Le Pen was going to be president

It's almost as though this has happened before.
Click to expand...

There was zero chance of them being the most popular party
 
N

nunchuckas

Well-Known Member
  • Jul 7, 2024
  • #41,160
Earlsdon_Skyblue1 said:
So you think the Conservatives were far right?

Fucking hell.
Click to expand...
It all comes down to the Overton window and it varies by country and perpetually shifts over time.

In the UK, the window has been tracking further right over recent years, and is considerably further right than most of Europe. Even though in Europe the window is also shifting right.

For example, Corbyn's policies under the UK Overton window were considered far left and deemed loony and communist. Whereas in Europe, every single policy except one was already in place in at least one country, and his manifesto would have been considered fairly central, and even right leaning in Scandinavia. And these are all capitalist countries.

There was an academic study recently that showed at one point under the outgoing Tory government we had overtaken the US as the most right wing country in the world, in terms of economic and fiscal policy, this was based on the policies that were in place at that time.
 
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