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Do you want to discuss boring politics? (14 Viewers)

  • Thread starter mrtrench
  • Start date Jun 14, 2020
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B

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 19, 2024
  • #38,326
Mucca Mad Boys said:
Likewise with Welsh Labour too. Which is my logic when I say anyone expecting big changes from an incoming Labour government will be disappointed by the next election.

Totally agree that the Tories absolutely deserve to kicked out of government, the alternative just isn’t going to be much better in my view.
Click to expand...
Nobody is expecting big changes which is why they are already disappointed. Except for shmmeee and PVA of course
 
Reactions: Sick Boy and clint van damme
P

PVA

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 19, 2024
  • #38,327
Brighton Sky Blue said:
Nobody is expecting big changes which is why they are already disappointed. Except for shmmeee and PVA of course
Click to expand...

I'm not expecting any particular individual seismic changes, but I'm expecting improvements on virtually every metric which combined will make a big difference and make everyone's lives better than under a Tory government.
 
Reactions: San Francisco, Deleted member 9744, torchomatic and 2 others
B

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 19, 2024
  • #38,328
PVA said:
I'm not expecting any particular individual seismic changes, but I'm expecting improvements on virtually every metric which combined will make a big difference and make everyone's lives better than under a Tory government.
Click to expand...
Bookmarked
 
Reactions: Mucca Mad Boys and Sick Boy

torchomatic

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 19, 2024
  • #38,329
Brighton Sky Blue said:
Bookmarked
Click to expand...
It's almost like people want Labour to fail just because of Starmer.
 
Reactions: Brighton Sky Blue, nicksar, Deleted member 5849 and 1 other person
P

PVA

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 19, 2024
  • #38,330
Brighton Sky Blue said:
Bookmarked
Click to expand...

You don't think things will improve under Labour?
 

Sick Boy

Super Moderator
  • Jun 19, 2024
  • #38,331
PVA said:
You don't think things will improve under Tory-lite?
Click to expand...
It’ll be pretty much a continuation of the same state of affairs but with less dodgy deals going on.
 
Reactions: nicksar

Ian1779

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 19, 2024
  • #38,332
PVA said:
I'm not expecting any particular individual seismic changes, but I'm expecting improvements on virtually every metric which combined will make a big difference and make everyone's lives better than under a Tory government.
Click to expand...
#improvingmetrics

Blessed be the people
 
Reactions: Grendel and Sick Boy
P

PVA

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 19, 2024
  • #38,333
torchomatic said:
It's almost like people want Labour to fail just because of Starmer.
Click to expand...

It's like when some people seem to want City to lose so they can moan about Robins/King/Kasey Palmer.

Some people have spent so long bashing Starmer that they have to hope he fails just to save face.
 
Reactions: torchomatic
P

PVA

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 19, 2024
  • #38,334
Ian1779 said:
#improvingmetrics

Blessed be the people
Click to expand...

Cool let's just improve vibes then and hand the Tories another 80 seat majority
 
Reactions: torchomatic

clint van damme

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 19, 2024
  • #38,335
PVA said:
It's like when some people seem to want City to lose so they can moan about Robins/King/Kasey Palmer.

Some people have spent so long bashing Starmer that they have to hope he fails just to save face.
Click to expand...

Failures subjective.
What you consider to be success, which is small improvements, (and you're quite within your rights to do so), I'd consider a failure given how far the country's deteriorated.
I'd be happy if he brought about the level of improvement I considered successful, but nothing he or his shadow cabinet have said indicates he'll do it.
 
Reactions: Sick Boy and nicksar

Sky_Blue_Dreamer

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 19, 2024
  • #38,336
Philosoraptor said:
Cant forget Labour crashing the economy and trying to blame everyone else for their failure, by not putting in controls on the economy.

And then the huge gaping whole in the UK finances that was formed by the complete failure to actually do anything about it.

The violent deaths of over 150,000 civilians in and around Iraq.

How can you possibly support this sack of shit, Shmmeee?

One could argue your faith in Labour is extreme as any religious fundamentalist.
Click to expand...
The global banking industry crashed the economy. As for controls have you missed the right-wing that basically want to remove all regulation from that particular industry for 'growth'? In fact it's what a lot of Tories voted for Brexit for.

And crashing the economy, did you miss the huge fuck-up made by Tory Liz Truss little more than a year ago? And that was entirely down to the government.

And the Labour party is exactly the same one as voted to go to war in Iraq.
 
Reactions: torchomatic

Sky_Blue_Dreamer

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 19, 2024
  • #38,337
It’sabatch87 said:
Maybe yes, Corbyn is to left wing for middle England and the so called red wall, blue Labour
Click to expand...
Starmer would have got annihilated by Johnson.
 
Reactions: Sick Boy

shmmeee

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 19, 2024
  • #38,338
Nick said:
Yeah, and it's do-able with both parents grafting for it living a very modest life otherwise.
Click to expand...

21k a year disposable income makes you rich mate. The average household income after tax and benefits is £38k. So an average household sending one kid to private would have to spend almost two third on that alone leaving £17k for three people including housing.
Nick said:
Using the 60k example, guessing it's take home of about £3.8k a month.

Mortgage is £680, School about £1325. Leaves about £1.8k for other bills / living.

With a bursary then the school cost would go down. A lower than average mortgage then again it goes down.

Like I said, not everybody who chooses it is "rich" or "from money". There are a lot of normal people who just graft and go without themselves.
Click to expand...

Mortgage is £680!! Where they living??
 

shmmeee

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 19, 2024
  • #38,339
Sky_Blue_Dreamer said:
Starmer would have got annihilated by Johnson.
Click to expand...

Why do you think that? Johnson and the Tories weren’t particularly popular. Starmer is around the same level now.
 

shmmeee

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 19, 2024
  • #38,340
Nick said:
Using the 60k example, guessing it's take home of about £3.8k a month.

Mortgage is £680, School about £1325. Leaves about £1.8k for other bills / living.

With a bursary then the school cost would go down. A lower than average mortgage then again it goes down.

Like I said, not everybody who chooses it is "rich" or "from money". There are a lot of normal people who just graft and go without themselves.
Click to expand...

There are absolutely not “a lot of normal people” there’s a few outliers but we have the data and the vast vast majority are very rich.

And most people have two or more kids. Which instantly blows your calculations apart. Maybe a double income family with an only child living somewhere cheap like a one bed flat in Rugby can manage it. I wouldn’t want to be their kid come holiday time mind.
 

Sky_Blue_Dreamer

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 19, 2024
  • #38,341
Mucca Mad Boys said:
My preference for FPTP is more technical.

Bearing in mind the rarity that a party will reach 51% of the popular vote, coalition governments become the norm. Which, imo, isn’t what the electorate votes for (in most cases). Let’s use this election to make a hypothetical example:

Labour is currently polling at 45-46% so would need either the Lib Dems or Greens to form a coalition. Why should a junior party have the power to force through policies the electorate didn’t give a mandate for?

Continuing with the this election as an example, I believe the party with the most votes should form the government. Labour polling on 45%, hypothetically could be thwarted by a coalition of the other parties. This happened in Spain this year where a centre-right party ‘won’ the election but the centre-left party formed the government. In the Netherlands, Geert Wilders ‘won’ the election but will not be the next PM.

PR systems tend to be more fragmented to parties rarely poll above 40% so tend to need ‘rainbow coalitions’ (multiple parties) and governments can be brought down by these junior parties.

Take Brexit for example, at 52:48, if we had a PR electoral system, we wouldn’t have had a decisive conclusion to that issue. FPTP delivered a government with a large majority to push through their agenda, likewise with this upcoming election where Labour. The term ‘elective dictatorship’ is apt and actually, a perk of our system.

As for 16-17 year old votes, there’s a reason most countries only enfranchise them for local/municipal elections rather than national elections.
Click to expand...
The only reason I like FPTP is because we have constituencies and so you are voting for an actual individual to represent you. That should be the person who gets the most votes, so I don't like things like STV for that. I agree that coalitions can lead to stalemate and not a lot being done, but at the same time I don't like the idea of a party getting the votes of around 25% of the population having the ability to pass whatever laws it feels like due to a huge majority.

However, that does lead to a result that is not representative of the vote at a national scale and is unfair. Hence why I think the single vote should be used to elect two houses - the first on FPTP so we have local representatives and the second on PV to reflect the overall trend.
 
Reactions: CCFCSteve and Mucca Mad Boys

Mucca Mad Boys

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 19, 2024
  • #38,342
Brighton Sky Blue said:
Nobody is expecting big changes which is why they are already disappointed. Except for shmmeee and PVA of course
Click to expand...

You’re in a feisty mood this morning!
Sky_Blue_Dreamer said:
The only reason I like FPTP is because we have constituencies and so you are voting for an actual individual to represent you. That should be the person who gets the most votes, so I don't like things like STV for that. I agree that coalitions can lead to stalemate and not a lot being done, but at the same time I don't like the idea of a party getting the votes of around 25% of the population having the ability to pass whatever laws it feels like due to a huge majority.

However, that does lead to a result that is not representative of the vote at a national scale and is unfair. Hence why I think the single vote should be used to elect two houses - the first on FPTP so we have local representatives and the second on PV to reflect the overall trend.
Click to expand...

Agreed on everything bar the elected 2nd chamber.

We don’t have separation of powers in the same way that the US does so had two elected chambers would cause problems. The reason the Commons can force legislation through against the Lords

That said, the Lords needs reforming. There’s no need to have 800+ members. If we wanted some form of PR, I don’t mind the idea of a ‘representative’ appointed chamber i.e. ‘x’ party gets ‘y’ % of the vote and gets ‘z’ seats to allocate. That way you get a form of PR but the Lords remains subordinate to the House of Commons.

As a principle, I’d rather a government get on with their policy programme with as few blockers as possible. I don’t fancy replicating the deadlocks we see in the US or even in France. The ultimate scrutiny is the ballot box at elections.
 

MalcSB

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 19, 2024
  • #38,343
Sky_Blue_Dreamer said:
The only reason I like FPTP is because we have constituencies and so you are voting for an actual individual to represent you. That should be the person who gets the most votes, so I don't like things like STV for that. I agree that coalitions can lead to stalemate and not a lot being done, but at the same time I don't like the idea of a party getting the votes of around 25% of the population having the ability to pass whatever laws it feels like due to a huge majority.

However, that does lead to a result that is not representative of the vote at a national scale and is unfair. Hence why I think the single vote should be used to elect two houses - the first on FPTP so we have local representatives and the second on PV to reflect the overall trend.
Click to expand...
Interesting idea, presumably sack the House of Lords?
 
Reactions: Sky_Blue_Dreamer
C

CCFCSteve

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 19, 2024
  • #38,344
Sky_Blue_Dreamer said:
The global banking industry crashed the economy. As for controls have you missed the right-wing that basically want to remove all regulation from that particular industry for 'growth'? In fact it's what a lot of Tories voted for Brexit for.

And crashing the economy, did you miss the huge fuck-up made by Tory Liz Truss little more than a year ago? And that was entirely down to the government.

And the Labour party is exactly the same one as voted to go to war in Iraq.
Click to expand...

Just to be clear, however shit Truss was…and she was shit…she didn’t ‘crash the economy’ SBD. She caused a spike in borrowing costs for a relatively short period of time. Sunak/Hunt, whilst hardly the most inspiring of combos, did settle this down
 
P

PVA

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 19, 2024
  • #38,345
clint van damme said:
Failures subjective.
What you consider to be success, which is small improvements, (and you're quite within your rights to do so), I'd consider a failure given how far the country's deteriorated.
I'd be happy if he brought about the level of improvement I considered successful, but nothing he or his shadow cabinet have said indicates he'll do it.
Click to expand...

Of course, a lot of it is subjective and I agree we're all entitled to have our own views on what we consider successful.

My point was that I think we'll see lots of little changes/improvements which will all add up to an overall significant improvement.

I don't think we're going to halve child poverty, homelessness, hospital waiting lists etc etc overnight. But I think we will see improvements in all of those things and more which, again, when added together will result in a better society.
 
Reactions: torchomatic

MalcSB

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 19, 2024
  • #38,346
clint van damme said:
For someone who mentions logical thinking and honesty so often in his posts you're not displaying much of either regarding this issue.
Click to expand...
Well, the Labour Party certainly aren’t .
 

SIR ERNIE

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 19, 2024
  • #38,347
PVA said:
You don't think things will improve under Labour?
Click to expand...

Which things?
 

Sky Blue Pete

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 19, 2024
  • #38,348

Day 6: Family Life​

Click here to listen to an audio recording of this reflection.​
Matthew 18.1-4

'Jesus said to his disciples, “Truly I tell you, unless you change and become like children you will never enter the kingdom of heaven.” ’
Love matters and families matter in our society. Family is where most people give and receive love and care. We find different kinds of families in the gospels as in today’s world: parents with children; households of siblings; multigenerational households and single people with wide support networks. Families are places of mutual care and learning: Jesus sets a child in the midst of the disciples as an example to be followed.

For Jesus, family was not merely defined by blood relationship. He declares (in Matthew 21.49-50) that his disciples – those who do God’s will – were part of his family, too. The idea of family is broadened to encompass a wider community where people find love and care. Families, in their different forms and shapes, are strong social units in a society.

Let us pray today for all families, and pray that our society may be a place of mutual care, learning and support for all.
​
Let all families know your joy.
Watch over children, guide the young,
and grant us your peace to all in turmoil.
Hear us, good Lord.
 

duffer

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 19, 2024
  • #38,349
MalcSB said:
On your revised argument, should 16 year olds be able to marry without parental permission, drive a car or a lorry, be regarded as an adult if arrested for a crime. Should child benefit and child maintenance stop at 16 as they are not children?

If it“s a question of maturity, then go the whole hog. It isn’t, it’s gerrymandering. If the majority of 16 year olds belonged to a right wing organisation - let’s say a Farage Youth - Labour would not be including this in their manifesto.
Click to expand...

On your revised argument, now that we've shot down your rationality and frontline service point of contention, are you now proposing that people who are unmarried or who don't drive shouldn't be able to vote?

You keep scratching around to find different reasons of why we shouldn't allow 16-18 year olds to vote, but ultimately you're only really concerned because they may not vote the way you want. Everything else, politely, is just noise.

A small aside: Gerrymandering, as I understand it, really relates to the redrawing of electoral boundaries rather than the enfranchisement of a specific cohort. It's interesting to note that both the recent redrawing of constituencies and the requirement for voter ID favour the Conservatives. Hmm.
 
Reactions: Sky_Blue_Dreamer and torchomatic

skybluetony176

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 19, 2024
  • #38,350
I don’t understand the opposition to a coalition government. The last time we had anything near to resembling a functioning government it was a coalition. Regardless of what you thought about the politics the one thing that they did do was get on with the business of Government without the distraction of in fighting. Ironically there was also less factions in the coalition government than there is in the current one party government.

Besides a blend of the current Labour and Green or Lib Dem for that matter manifesto don’t sound that bad. It would force Labour to be more radical.
 
Reactions: Sky_Blue_Dreamer and duffer

duffer

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 19, 2024
  • #38,351
CCFCSteve said:
Just to be clear, however shit Truss was…and she was shit…she didn’t ‘crash the economy’ SBD. She caused a spike in borrowing costs for a relatively short period of time. Sunak/Hunt, whilst hardly the most inspiring of combos, did settle this down
Click to expand...

The "spike" in borrowing costs caused by Truss's brainless right-wing wet dream of unfunded tax cuts is still very much ongoing. In fact, as more people fall off fixed rate deals, the impact on people's lives is actually still growing...
 
D

Deleted member 5849

Guest
  • Jun 19, 2024
  • #38,352
Mucca Mad Boys said:
That said, the Lords needs reforming. There’s no need to have 800+ members. If we wanted some form of PR, I don’t mind the idea of a ‘representative’ appointed chamber i.e. ‘x’ party gets ‘y’ % of the vote and gets ‘z’ seats to allocate. That way you get a form of PR but the Lords remains subordinate to the House of Commons.
Click to expand...
About the first thing I've agreed with you on
 
Reactions: Mucca Mad Boys

torchomatic

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 19, 2024
  • #38,353
P
CCFCSteve said:
Just to be clear, however shit Truss was…and she was shit…she didn’t ‘crash the economy’ SBD. She caused a spike in borrowing costs for a relatively short period of time. Sunak/Hunt, whilst hardly the most inspiring of combos, did settle this down
Click to expand...
It wasn't a short period of time. Look at the level of interest rates. People pay a hell of a lot more on a monthly basis and many more lost their homes because of Truss and her fucked up policies.
 
Reactions: Sky Blue Pete

Mucca Mad Boys

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 19, 2024
  • #38,354
Deleted member 5849 said:
About the first thing I've agreed with you on
Click to expand...

See, it’s always better to find common ground where we can.

We all care about our country and just want the best for it, even if we disagree on the ways and means.

 

MalcSB

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 19, 2024
  • #38,355
duffer said:
On your revised argument, now that we've shot down your rationality and frontline service point of contention, are you now proposing that people who are unmarried or who don't drive shouldn't be able to vote?

You keep scratching around to find different reasons of why we shouldn't allow 16-18 year olds to vote, but ultimately you're only really concerned because they may not vote the way you want. Everything else, politely, is just noise.

A small aside: Gerrymandering, as I understand it, really relates to the redrawing of electoral boundaries rather than the enfranchisement of a specific cohort. It's interesting to note that both the recent redrawing of constituencies and the requirement for voter ID favour the Conservatives. Hmm.
Click to expand...
Of Course I’m not proposing that the unmarried or those how can’t drive shouldn’t be allowed to vote.

And of course you are not giving an answer to the questions I asked - should 16 year olds be able to marry without parental permission, drive a car or a lorry, be regarded as an adult if arrested for a crime. Should child benefit and child maintenance stop at 16 as they are not children?
 

duffer

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 19, 2024
  • #38,356
skybluetony176 said:
I don’t understand the opposition to a coalition government. The last time we had anything near to resembling a functioning government it was a coalition. Regardless of what you thought about the politics the one thing that they did do was get on with the business of Government without the distraction of in fighting. Ironically there was also less factions in the coalition government than there is in the current one party government.

Besides a blend of the current Labour and Green or Lib Dem for that matter manifesto don’t sound that bad. It would force Labour to be more radical.
Click to expand...

Indeed, or it might mitigate the worst excesses of either Tory or Labour, if you're a committed centrist.

I'm not a committed centrist, obviously, but I absolutely believe that every vote should count.

At the moment we've got both main parties, and more than a few people here, saying that a vote for the Greens, or Reform for that matter, is wasted, and you have to vote for them for it to count. That is not democracy, imho.

There's an interesting idea in this (slightly aged) article, "small district PR", which retains local links but also results in fairer outcomes for those who don't just support Tories or Labour...

What would the election look like under PR? - British Politics and Policy at LSE

The further fragmentation of the UK’s party system in 2015 is likely to lead to the most disproportionate outcome of any election in the post-war era. In this post, Jack Blumenau and Simon Hix, along with the team from electionforecast.co.uk, ask what the House of Commons might look like if the...
blogs.lse.ac.uk
 
Reactions: Sick Boy

clint van damme

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 19, 2024
  • #38,357
MalcSB said:
Well, the Labour Party certainly aren’t .
Click to expand...

So it's just about partisan politics for you then clearly.
Fair enough.
 

duffer

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 19, 2024
  • #38,358
MalcSB said:
Of Course I’m not proposing that the unmarried or those how can’t drive shouldn’t be allowed to vote.

And of course you are not giving an answer to the questions I asked - should 16 year olds be able to marry without parental permission, drive a car or a lorry, be regarded as an adult if arrested for a crime. Should child benefit and child maintenance stop at 16 as they are not children?
Click to expand...

I haven't thought much about those questions, because it's a diversion.

We're talking about the right to vote here, you're scrambling around the edges to justify an opinion driven solely by a concern that they won't vote the "right" way.

Anyway, apologies, but I've got to crack on so I'll leave you to it. Bye for now...
 

MalcSB

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 19, 2024
  • #38,359
clint van damme said:
So it's just about partisan politics for you then clearly.
Fair enough.
Click to expand...
Not this issue. I just don’t think 16 and 17 year olds are mature enough or have enough experience of life to be given the vote. As I have said elsewhere, if they are mature enough then make the age of majority 16 and be done with it. That would include sending 16 year olds to be killed on the front line of any future armed conflict. (For avoidance of doubt, that is not what I am advocating).

I have voted for both Labour and Conservatives in the past. At the moment, I don't think either major party deserve my vote, Tories have been awful but I don’t trust Labour - and particularly Starmer, Rayner and Reeves. I think the Liberals are clowns and I don’t support Green Party policies. Reform are too far to the right.

So I may, as shmmeee would call it, be a coward and not vote at all, or be a “none of the above” responder.
 

Sky_Blue_Dreamer

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 19, 2024
  • #38,360
MalcSB said:
Interesting idea, presumably sack the House of Lords?
Click to expand...
Yes. PR chamber replaces it.
 
Reactions: MalcSB
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