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Disappointing, but still in our hands (2 Viewers)

  • Thread starter rupert_bear
  • Start date Jan 17, 2016
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Londonccfcfan

Well-Known Member
  • Jan 17, 2016
  • #106
covcity4life said:
Gut feeling right now

Draw
Win
Win
Draw
Draw
Win

12 pts from 18

Would keep us in it for sure
Click to expand...

What was your predictions or anyone's predictions of the last 10? I'm sure no one predicted just 2 wins.

Anythings possible. Pointless trying to predict the unpredictable. Otherwise we would all be very Rich.
 

SkyBlue_Bear83

Well-Known Member
  • Jan 17, 2016
  • #107
Liquid Gold said:
Not 100% of the time, as there is a possibility that Burton and Walsall can win all (but one) of their games. That is obviously extremely unlikely (as is us winning all of ours) but that would take a small fraction away from the 100 meaning if we win all of our games 99.9% we will get promoted, that 0.1% means its not in our hands.
Click to expand...

I'm saying thats impossible, that would mean 3 teams would finish on 105 points or more. Theoretically and statistically its possible but when you consider all the other variables in a football match over a 19 game period its impossible in the real world.
 

Ian1779

Well-Known Member
  • Jan 17, 2016
  • #108
Skyblueweeman said:
How do you figure that out? Fleck could well go and the others are as likely to let their players go as we are of letting Maddison go. We're totally in the same position as the other clubs...if they or we get a good offer for one of our better players, then they'll be sold.

Just because we're Coventry City doesn't mean we won't lose players whilst others do. Strange thing to say unless I've misunderstood?

Sorry to hear about your family bereavement as well.


Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk
Click to expand...

Thanks - much appreciated WM.

My point was that Mowbray has gone a long way to secure our players till end of season. Cole, Armstrong, Murphy, Bigi all secured till end of season. I take point about Fleck and Maddison but I also wonder how Gills/Walsall will keep their stars. It's not that we are 'CCFC' - it's just I feel TM has been very proactive.
 

SkyBlue_Bear83

Well-Known Member
  • Jan 17, 2016
  • #109
Samo said:
Yes I know what he means and agree. The phrase is simply not correct though and he keeps insisting that it is. Sorry for being a pedant but it got up me hooter!
Click to expand...
Don't think anyone was misusing the phrase, just using it in a different way. You are saying its theoretically out of our hands as if we win all our games we could still not be promoted which is theoretically correct.

I'm saying realistically it is in our own hands still, as if we reach 95 points (which is a points total that is within our own destiny to make happen) we will be promoted.

Don't see what got you so riled up.
 

letsallsingtogether

Well-Known Member
  • Jan 17, 2016
  • #110
Liquid Gold said:
Not 100% of the time, as there is a possibility that Burton and Walsall can win all (but one) of their games. That is obviously extremely unlikely (as is us winning all of ours) but that would take a small fraction away from the 100 meaning if we win all of our games 99.9% we will get promoted, that 0.1% means its not in our hands.
Click to expand...

Burton can afford to lose 4 games and Walsall 3 before we can even catch them that is the point I am making at the same time we need to win ours.
It is a big ask but I hope we do.☺
 

covcity4life

Well-Known Member
  • Jan 17, 2016
  • #111
Londonccfcfan said:
What was your predictions or anyone's predictions of the last 10? I'm sure no one predicted just 2 wins.

Anythings possible. Pointless trying to predict the unpredictable. Otherwise we would all be very Rich.
Click to expand...

Well I got told off for being too negative at 1 point!
 

Otis

Well-Known Member
  • Jan 17, 2016
  • #112
I think the next 6 games give us a good opportunity. Not saying we will win them all or have a run of good results, but it's a fair series of games where we can pick up points.

We know in practice it could prove tough of course, but Southend, Scunthorpe, Port Vale, Bury, Shrewsbury, Fleetwood are the next 6.

We are definitely capable of winning 4 or 5 of these. We do need to change things though and shake it all up and bring in new players to the first team (that includes Hunt, Rose and Lorentzson).

Can't look at 6 games on masse, cos like I say you never know and we have thought the likes of Oldham at home should have brought 3 points, but if we win 2 on the bounce then that breeds confidence and that can soon develop into 3, 4 or 5.

I would be happy with a draw at Southend as it stands, but after a couple of games where we have dropped 5 points we really could do with the win.
 
W

wingy

Well-Known Member
  • Jan 17, 2016
  • #113
Otis said:
I think the next 6 games give us a good opportunity. Not saying we will win them all or have a run of good results, but it's a fair series of games where we can pick up points.

We know in practice it could prove tough of course, but Southend, Scunthorpe, Port Vale, Bury, Shrewsbury, Fleetwood are the next 6.

We are definitely capable of winning 4 or 5 of these. We do need to change things though and shake it all up and bring in new players to the first team (that includes Hunt, Rose and Lorentzson).

Can't look at 6 games on masse, cos like I say you never know and we have thought the likes of Oldham at home should have brought 3 points, but if we win 2 on the bounce then that breeds confidence and that can soon develop into 3, 4 or 5.

I would be happy with a draw at Southend as it stands, but after a couple of games where we have dropped 5 points we really could do with the win.
Click to expand...
They were one of our harder home games early on.
 

Londonccfcfan

Well-Known Member
  • Jan 17, 2016
  • #114
Otis said:
I think the next 6 games give us a good opportunity. Not saying we will win them all or have a run of good results, but it's a fair series of games where we can pick up points.

We know in practice it could prove tough of course, but Southend, Scunthorpe, Port Vale, Bury, Shrewsbury, Fleetwood are the next 6.

We are definitely capable of winning 4 or 5 of these. We do need to change things though and shake it all up and bring in new players to the first team (that includes Hunt, Rose and Lorentzson).

Can't look at 6 games on masse, cos like I say you never know and we have thought the likes of Oldham at home should have brought 3 points, but if we win 2 on the bounce then that breeds confidence and that can soon develop into 3, 4 or 5.

I would be happy with a draw at Southend as it stands, but after a couple of games where we have dropped 5 points we really could do with the win.
Click to expand...

Happy with a draw at Southend????I'd only be happy with a win fullstop. We need to arrest this alarming slide. And judging by Southends form we should win. And should be going all out for 3 points.

We need 10 points from this month. 6 vs Southend and Scunthorpe.
 

Nick

Administrator
  • Jan 17, 2016
  • #115
Southend were decent at home
 

chiefdave

Well-Known Member
  • Jan 17, 2016
  • #116
These are the remaining top 6 v top 6 games. Burton and Walsall have to play each other, Wigan and Gills have to play both of them and PBoro play Burton. We don't have to play either of the top 2 again.

BURTON
Walsall (H)
Gills (H)
Wigan (H)
PBoro (A)

WALSALL
Wigan (H)
Burton (A)
Gills (A)

GILLS
Cov (H)
Walsall (H)
Burton (A)
Pboro (A)

COV
Gills (A)
Wigan (A)
Pboro (A)

WIGAN
Cov (H)
Burton (A)
Walsall (A)
PBoro (H)

PBORO
Burton (H)
Cov (H)
Gills (A)
Wigan (A)
 

chiefdave

Well-Known Member
  • Jan 17, 2016
  • #117
Otis said:
I think the next 6 games give us a good opportunity. Not saying we will win them all or have a run of good results, but it's a fair series of games where we can pick up points.
Click to expand...

Exactly, if we're dropping points all over the place in those games we will struggle to make the play offs. However go on a run of 6 unbeaten with lets say 4 wins and there's a good chance we'll be back in the top 2.
 

Samo

Well-Known Member
  • Jan 17, 2016
  • #118
CCFC said:
Don't think anyone was misusing the phrase, just using it in a different way. You are saying its theoretically out of our hands as if we win all our games we could still not be promoted which is theoretically correct.

I'm saying realistically it is in our own hands still, as if we reach 95 points (which is a points total that is within our own destiny to make happen) we will be promoted.

Don't see what got you so riled up.
Click to expand...

Well I tried to bury this but clearly you won't let this go. So back to basics...
A. ''In our own hands'' means that our destiny is NOT dependent on any other team/result.
B. ''Not in our own hands'' means that our destiny IS dependent on other teams/results.
Which of these applies to CCFC at the moment? There is only one answer.
Please, please try to understand.
 

Skyblueweeman

Well-Known Member
  • Jan 17, 2016
  • #119
Ian1779 said:
Thanks - much appreciated WM.

My point was that Mowbray has gone a long way to secure our players till end of season. Cole, Armstrong, Murphy, Bigi all secured till end of season. I take point about Fleck and Maddison but I also wonder how Gills/Walsall will keep their stars. It's not that we are 'CCFC' - it's just I feel TM has been very proactive.
Click to expand...

Fair points mate.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
 

SkyBlue_Bear83

Well-Known Member
  • Jan 17, 2016
  • #120
Samo said:
Well I tried to bury this but clearly you won't let this go. So back to basics...
A. ''In our hands'' means that our destiny is NOT dependent on any other team/result.
B. ''Not in our own hands'' means that our destiny IS dependent on other teams/results.
Which of these applies to CCFC at the moment? There is only one answer.
Please, please try to understand.
Click to expand...
Yes theoretically not in our hands, but realistically once you rule out the impossible set of results it is in our hands. Glad we cleared it up.

Don't get riled up again.
 
Last edited: Jan 17, 2016

Samo

Well-Known Member
  • Jan 17, 2016
  • #121
CCFC said:
Yes theoretically not in our hands, but realistically once you rule out the impossible set of results it is. Glad we cleared it up.
Click to expand...

I'll take that as an apology, thank you.
 

SkyBlue_Bear83

Well-Known Member
  • Jan 17, 2016
  • #122
Samo said:
I'll take that as an apology, thank you.
Click to expand...
It was only what I've been saying from the beginning, glad we've cleared up your confusion
 

Samo

Well-Known Member
  • Jan 17, 2016
  • #123
CCFC said:
It was only what I've been saying from the beginning, glad we've cleared up your confusion
Click to expand...

Me too, it takes a big man to apologize so credit to you for that.
 

SkyBlue_Bear83

Well-Known Member
  • Jan 17, 2016
  • #124
Samo said:
Me too, it takes a big man to apologize so credit to you for that.
Click to expand...
Cheers not sure what I've apologized for but I won't spoil it for you, take this as a lesson in learning to listen better to others and we could have avoided the last 3 hours.
 

Samo

Well-Known Member
  • Jan 17, 2016
  • #125
CCFC said:
Cheers, take this as a lesson in learning to listen better to others and we could have avoided the last 3 hours.
Click to expand...

We could, if only you had admitted you were wrong earlier. But you have now so no hard feelings.
 
D

Deleted member 5849

Guest
  • Jan 17, 2016
  • #126
Kill me now.
 

SkyBlue_Bear83

Well-Known Member
  • Jan 17, 2016
  • #127
Samo said:
We could, if only you had admitted you were wrong earlier. But you have now so no hard feelings.
Click to expand...
Where did I admit I was wrong, I've always recognised and understood your point that theoretically it is out of our hands but was saying that realistically in the real world it is still well within our own hands.

You'd have known that if you read it properly instead of jumping down my throat trying to prove how clever how you were.
 

Otis

Well-Known Member
  • Jan 17, 2016
  • #128
wingy said:
They were one of our harder home games early on.
Click to expand...
They were indeed and that's why I think a draw will be okay.
 

Otis

Well-Known Member
  • Jan 17, 2016
  • #129
Londonccfcfan said:
Happy with a draw at Southend????I'd only be happy with a win fullstop. We need to arrest this alarming slide. And judging by Southends form we should win. And should be going all out for 3 points.

We need 10 points from this month. 6 vs Southend and Scunthorpe.
Click to expand...
As has been said, Southend were quite impressive here. Very well organised and disciplined.

A draw would be okay, even though we need a win.
 

Samo

Well-Known Member
  • Jan 17, 2016
  • #130
CCFC said:
Where did I admit I was wrong, I've always recognised and understood your point that theoretically it is out of our hands but was saying that realistically in the real world it is still well within our own hands.

You'd have known that if you read it properly instead of jumping down my throat trying to prove how clever how you were.
Click to expand...

There is nothing theoretical about it... it is actually, factually and mathematically out of our hands. I think you meant how clever you are.
 

Otis

Well-Known Member
  • Jan 17, 2016
  • #131
Deleted member 5849 said:
Kill me now.
Click to expand...
And save some bullets for everyone else.
 

Samo

Well-Known Member
  • Jan 17, 2016
  • #132
And Otis... stop fence sitting when you know I'm right!
 

Otis

Well-Known Member
  • Jan 17, 2016
  • #133
Samo said:
And Otis... stop fence sitting when you know I'm right!
Click to expand...
As I said, you are both right.

Apologies if that gives me splinters in the bum.
 

SkyBlue_Bear83

Well-Known Member
  • Jan 17, 2016
  • #134
Samo said:
There is nothing theoretical about it... it is actually, factually and mathematically out of our hands. I think you meant how clever you are.
Click to expand...

Its only out of our hands if you believe 2 teams have a chance of getting more than 105 points, mathematically could happen but realistically has 0% chance of happening. So realistically automatic promotion is still within our own hands.


And still at it I see, being a c**t is second nature to some.
 

Samo

Well-Known Member
  • Jan 17, 2016
  • #135
Otis said:
As I said, you are both right.

Apologies if that gives me splinters in the bum.
Click to expand...

So our destiny is actually, mathematically in our hands? Never mind if's n shit, is it or isn't it?
 

Samo

Well-Known Member
  • Jan 17, 2016
  • #136
CCFC said:
Its only out of our hands if you believe 2 teams have a chance of getting more than 105 points, mathematically could happen but realistically has 0% chance of happening. So realistically automatic promotion is still within our own hands.


And still at it I see, being a c**t is second nature to some.
Click to expand...

Oooh the C bomb! Must you get so wound up? You're wrong and you know it, you've pretty much admitted it so I will say good night.
 

Otis

Well-Known Member
  • Jan 17, 2016
  • #137
If this thread was a dog it would have been put down.

Actually, thinking about it, this thread is a bit of a dog isn't it.
 

SkyBlue_Bear83

Well-Known Member
  • Jan 17, 2016
  • #138
Mathematically not in our hands

Realistically yes in our hands

Football isn't played on a calculator

Don't see whats so controversial about that, that gets you so mad.

You're not wrong but neither was I, we were using the phrase it two different ways both of which were correct in the context we used them.
 

SkyBlue_Bear83

Well-Known Member
  • Jan 17, 2016
  • #139
Samo said:
Oooh the C bomb! Must you get so wound up? You're wrong and you know it, you've pretty much admitted it so I will say good night.
Click to expand...

lol ok all we've established is that you either never read properly or never understood my initial point.
 

SkyBlue_Bear83

Well-Known Member
  • Jan 17, 2016
  • #140
Samo said:
Oooh the C bomb! Must you get so wound up? You're wrong and you know it, you've pretty much admitted it so I will say good night.
Click to expand...
Not really that wound up, more bored with it now. We both wasted an evening arguing over it, what sad lives we must both live.
 
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