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Could Ipswich pip us? (30 Viewers)

  • Thread starter Ccfcisparks
  • Start date Today at 11:57 AM
Forums New posts

Will we win the title?

  • Yes

    Votes: 67 63.2%
  • no

    Votes: 39 36.8%

  • Total voters
    106
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skybluecb

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 1:05 PM
  • #36
Ipswich still have some difficult games including 3 away games in 6 days, so it's asking a lot. I really can't see them winning all 6 of their remaining games and us not picking up at least 2 more wins.
 
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skybluecam

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 1:06 PM
  • #37
Ccfcisparks said:
seen quite a few people concerned ipswich could pip us to the title. Asked AI all the scenarios in which this was possible. this is what it said

Understandable nerves! As a Sky Blue, seeing Ipswich keep winning—especially after that 2-0 derby win at Norwich yesterday—is enough to make anyone check the table twice. However, even with the "Tractor Boys" on a tear, the math still heavily favors Coventry.

Here is the current state of play after the results on April 11, 2026:

TeamPlayedPointsGDMax Possible Points
1. Coventry City4285+4297
2. Ipswich Town4075+3193


Scenarios: How Ipswich "Pips" Coventry​

For Ipswich to take the title, they must bridge a 10-point gap in their final 6 games while you have 4 games remaining.

Scenario 1: The "Perfect Pursuit"​

  • Ipswich Requirement: Win all 6 remaining games (reaches 93 pts).
  • Coventry Collapse: You earn 7 points or fewer from your final 4 games (max 92 pts).
  • Probability: Low (~5%). While Ipswich are in great form, winning six in a row in the Championship is historically difficult, and Coventry dropping points in 3 out of 4 games (given your current form) is unlikely.

Scenario 2: The "Slips and Stumbles"​

  • Ipswich Requirement: Win 5, Draw 1 (reaches 91 pts).
  • Coventry Collapse: You earn 5 points or fewer from your final 4 games (max 90 pts).
  • Probability: Very Low (~2%). This requires Coventry to essentially forget how to win for the rest of April.

Scenario 3: Goal Difference Heartbreak​

  • Ipswich Requirement: Win enough to tie Coventry on points (e.g., Ipswich get 10 points, Coventry get 0).
  • The GD Factor: Coventry currently has a +11 Goal Difference advantage. For Ipswich to "pip" you on GD, they would need a massive swing in scores.
  • Probability: Negligible (<1%).

The Mathematical "Magic Number"​

As a Coventry fan, you should focus on 9 points.


Coventry’s Final Four:​

  1. Apr 17: Blackburn (Away)
  2. Apr 21: Portsmouth (Home)
  3. Apr 26: Wrexham (Home)
  4. May 2: Watford (Away)

Summary: Is it likely?​

In short: No. While Ipswich's games in hand make the gap look smaller than it is, Coventry are in the "driver's seat of a luxury car." You only need three wins from games against bottom-half or mid-table sides (Blackburn, Portsmouth, Wrexham, Watford) to guarantee the trophy. Ipswich has a much harder run-in, including games against 3rd-place Middlesbrough and 6th-place Southampton.

You should feel very confident; the title is Coventry's to lose, and it would take a historic, multi-game collapse from Frank Lampard's men for Ipswich to even get close. Play up, Sky Blues!
Click to expand...
What AI are you using for these? Most of them crap themselves when presented with this kind of logical task.
 
Reactions: Sick Boy

Ccfcisparks

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 1:06 PM
  • #38
skybluecam said:
What AI are you using for these? Most of them crap themselves when presented with this kind of logical task.
Click to expand...
Gemini. I find its the best out them all
 
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Calista

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 1:08 PM
  • #39
Stafford_SkBlue said:
I voted the wrong way accidentally, I was voting to the thread title LOL
Suspect I'm not the only one.
Click to expand...
Yeah the thread title should have been the same as the poll question. It's anybody's guess whether people have voted the way they actually intended, and it's a bit late now

It doesn't matter what our predictions are. Let's wait and see.
 
Reactions: wingy
G

Graham64

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 1:09 PM
  • #40
It's in our hands. The only thing that stops us is the players wanting it enough. Blackburn a tough game but we have enough to win then Pompey again enough to win. Then one point from the last two and it's done
 

CCFC_Irish

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 1:10 PM
  • #41
Coventry should go confirm the title and then play weakened teams for the rest of the league to avoid injury.
 

skybluecam

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 1:11 PM
  • #42
junglej13 said:
Unfortunately I fear the game in hand they have against Southampton in the final week could prevent us lifting the trophy against Wrexham.

We would need to be 7 points clear after the Wrexham game by my reckoning.
Click to expand...
Even if they win their game on Tuesday we'd only need to match their other results to lift it at the end of the Wrexham game.

Ipswich's max is 93, 3 wins takes us to 94. If they drop any points from those 4 we'll have a margin for error too.
 
S

sotvtoday

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 1:16 PM
  • #43
In the last 6 games they have 12 points to our 11. They're not winning all their games.
 

Ccfcisparks

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 1:18 PM
  • #44
sotvtoday said:
In the last 6 games they have 12 points to our 11. They're not winning all their games.
Click to expand...
If they replicate that in there last 6 then we need 1 win, 3 draws or 2 draws and a better goal difference.
 
S

sc1940

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 1:20 PM
  • #45
I think Ipswich will lose to Southampton and draw with Boro. The rest I think they will win. so 5 points will be fine I think.
 

RegiswasGod

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 1:33 PM
  • #46
Read the title of the post and voted based on that. So I voted no instead of yes
 
Last edited: Today at 2:07 PM
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Sky Blue Harry H

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 1:42 PM
  • #47
sc1940 said:
I think Ipswich will lose to Southampton and draw with Boro. The rest I think they will win. so 5 points will be fine I think.
Click to expand...
Southampton may ( unfortunately) rest players by then, ready for play offs. We are probably relying on Portsmouth kicking the sh#t out of them, and Boro remembering where the net is. That said, if Wrexham are out of reach of play offs by the time we play them, that could be an 'easier' game than it might have been.
 
Reactions: sc1940

Paxman II

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 2:03 PM
  • #48
Millwall have all winable games left while Ipswich have some very tricky fixtures, facing Southampton away, Middlesborough at home (must not lose Boro'),West Brom away, and pompey away. Those are not all winable. I said before Millwall had the best run in, their last game loss will galvanise them. Ipswich will fall apart under enormous pressure, especially if Boro' fighting for their last chance avoid defeat at Ipswich. yep still fancy Millwall.
 
C

covboy9

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 2:37 PM
  • #49
Play like yesterday and we won’t win another point
 
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torchomatic

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 3:02 PM
  • #50
RegiswasGod said:
Read the title of the post and voted based on that. So I voted no instead of yes
Click to expand...

Same here.
 
Q

quinn1971

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 3:04 PM
  • #51
So We’ve got to be 7 points clear of Ipswich after the Wrexham game to do it then ?
 

Ccfcisparks

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 3:06 PM
  • #52
quinn1971 said:
So We’ve got to be 7 points clear of Ipswich after the Wrexham game to do it then ?
Click to expand...
If we are 7 points clear by the Wrexham game we can win it that day
 

TomRad85

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 3:08 PM
  • #53
They could but they won't.
 

Calista

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 3:08 PM
  • #54
RegiswasGod said:
Read the title of the post and voted based on that. So I voted no instead of yes
Click to expand...
It's clear that the poll results are meaningless because of this. Not that the poll matters.
 

Ccfcisparks

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 3:09 PM
  • #55
Calista said:
It's clear that the poll results are meaningless because of this. Not that the poll matters.
Click to expand...
Well it shows those who are incapable of reading comprehension
 
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Q

quinn1971

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 3:10 PM
  • #56
Ccfcisparks said:
If we are 7 points clear by the Wrexham game we can win it that day
Click to expand...
Thought so, so beat blackburn and Portsmouth and it’s done, Wrexham game won’t matter,
 

Ccfcisparks

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 3:10 PM
  • #57
quinn1971 said:
Thought so, so beat blackburn and Portsmouth and it’s done, Wrexham game won’t matter,
Click to expand...
Not necessarily
 

TomRad85

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 3:11 PM
  • #58
This just feels like the next thing for people to get in a flap about, same as those convinced we'd get caught by 2 other teams and chucked out the top 2. We've done the hard and most important bit. I'd love the pot to top it off as I think we deserve it and I think we'll get it. We should play with more freedom now we are up and anyone thinking Ipswich will win 6 out of 6 is brain dead.
 
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Calista

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 3:15 PM
  • #59
Ccfcisparks said:
Well it shows those who are incapable of reading comprehension
Click to expand...
The question in the thread title is much larger than the poll question, and it's clear that several people haven't spotted that they are contradictory. Blame them though.
 
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Earlsdon_Skyblue1

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 3:16 PM
  • #60
I think it is unlikely given how far ahead we are, but I'm not sure how we will do in the remaining games. The players have been on the piss already as well I believe, so whilst we could play with a bit more freedom, there could be some scenarios we look a bit less bothered. We have a few players going to the world cup as well, so one eye could be on that.

Frankly, I don't really care. As long as we beat Wrexham and don't roll over. That alone might be enough to do it anyway.
 

Ccfcisparks

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 3:16 PM
  • #61
Calista said:
The question in the thread title is much larger than the poll question, and it's clear that several people haven't spotted that they are contradictory. Blame them though.
Click to expand...
Well you usually read a poll title. I suspect you may be slightly older so I will grant you grace.
 
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Q

quinn1971

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 3:17 PM
  • #62
Ccfcisparks said:
Not necessarily
Click to expand...
I reckon we’ll have to at least draw with Wrexham to confirm it then, anyway who cares, we’ll be up any
 

COVKIDSNEVERQUIT

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 3:18 PM
  • #63
Voted yes.

32 voted no, call yourself supporters.
 
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Samo

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 3:18 PM
  • #64
We've stopped scoring again so yes, it has to be a possibility.
 
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Ccfcisparks

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 3:20 PM
  • #65
Samo said:
We've stopped scoring again so yes, it has to be a possibility.
Click to expand...
lol
 

Calista

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 3:21 PM
  • #66
Ccfcisparks said:
Well you usually read a poll title. I suspect you may be slightly older so I will grant you grace.
Click to expand...
Thank you for your consideration. Being slightly older is very tough. I never bother answering these polls anyway, so the issue didn't even arise in my case LOL.
 
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S

sc1940

Well-Known Member
  • 2 minutes ago
  • #67
Sky Blue Harry H said:
Southampton may ( unfortunately) rest players by then, ready for play offs. We are probably relying on Portsmouth kicking the sh#t out of them, and Boro remembering where the net is. That said, if Wrexham are out of reach of play offs by the time we play them, that could be an 'easier' game than it might have been.
Click to expand...
Yes, a double edged sword with Wrexham, if they had won earlier they would have kept the pressure on, for now at least, but being out of contention does theoretically make our job easier.
 
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