Big Sunday Predictions (1 Viewer)

Astute · Apr 30, 2015

phildownunder said:
That is simply not true for the reasons already outlined by Otis.

What is needed is a win for Crawley, win for Notts County and Crewe not to lose to send us down. Doesn't sound that hard to happen. But how about the stats?

We have only lost 9 out of 22 away from home Whilst Crawley have only won 9 out of 22 at home.

Notts County have only won 7 out of 22 away from home whilst Gillingham have only lost 6 out of 22 games at home.

Crewe have a decent chance of getting a point at home to Bradford, but as we all know the nerves can get to players. Bradford are not 8th for no reason.

Odds of games

Crawley 19/10 us 13/8 so nearly 2/1 on a Crawley win.

Gillingham 9/5 Notts County 13/8. Same odds as us. My bet of the day for decent odds is a Gillingham win.

Or put another way a £10 win on a Crawley and Notts county win would pay over £76. That is without the Crewe result. Add a Crewe win and it would pay you £182.70. Add Crewe to draw would be £274.05. So over 17/1 for us to go down with Crewe winning and over 26/1 with Crewe drawing.

As I say I fancy our chances.

Otis · Apr 30, 2015

phildownunder said:
That is simply not true for the reasons already outlined by Otis.

If we lose, Crewe draw and Notts County win, then the table will look like this ....

Crewe Notts County	53 53
Crawley	53
Coventry	52
Colchester
Orient
Yeovil

Otis · Apr 30, 2015

Astute said:
What is needed is a win for Crawley, win for Notts County and Crewe not to lose to send us down. Doesn't sound that hard to happen. But how about the stats?

We have only lost 9 out of 22 away from home Whilst Crawley have only won 9 out of 22 at home.

Notts County have only won 7 out of 22 away from home whilst Gillingham have only lost 6 out of 22 games at home.

Crewe have a decent chance of getting a point at home to Bradford, but as we all know the nerves can get to players. Bradford are not 8th for no reason.

Odds of games

Crawley 19/10 us 13/8 so nearly 2/1 on a Crawley win.

Gillingham 9/5 Notts County 13/8. Same odds as us. My bet of the day for decent odds is a Gillingham win.

Or put another way a £10 win on a Crawley and Notts county win would pay over £76. That is without the Crewe result. Add a Crewe win and it would pay you £182.70. Add Crewe to draw would be £274.05. So over 17/1 for us to go down with Crewe winning and over 26/1 with Crewe drawing.

As I say I fancy our chances.

I think it will be Crewe who will fail myself. Sometimes it can be very dangerous only needing a draw, as you are not quite sure how to approach the game and on their day, Bradford are a very decent team.

As long as Bradford turn up, I think they will beat Crewe.

Hobo · Apr 30, 2015

Astute said:
What is needed is a win for Crawley, win for Notts County and Crewe not to lose to send us down. Doesn't sound that hard to happen. But how about the stats?

We have only lost 9 out of 22 away from home Whilst Crawley have only won 9 out of 22 at home.

Notts County have only won 7 out of 22 away from home whilst Gillingham have only lost 6 out of 22 games at home.

Crewe have a decent chance of getting a point at home to Bradford, but as we all know the nerves can get to players. Bradford are not 8th for no reason.

Odds of games

Crawley 19/10 us 13/8 so nearly 2/1 on a Crawley win.

Gillingham 9/5 Notts County 13/8. Same odds as us. My bet of the day for decent odds is a Gillingham win.

Or put another way a £10 win on a Crawley and Notts county win would pay over £76. That is without the Crewe result. Add a Crewe win and it would pay you £182.70. Add Crewe to draw would be £274.05. So over 17/1 for us to go down with Crewe winning and over 26/1 with Crewe drawing.

As I say I fancy our chances.

and form often goes out of the window the last games of the season.

Otis · Apr 30, 2015

Hobo said:
and form often goes out of the window the last games of the season.

It does. Don't think we need to look too deeply into how good Gillingham are at home, we need to look to who wants it most on the day.

It's the last day and there will be surprises and twists and turns too.

Very hard to predict the City game, but I just feel we lack the grit and determination and will to get what we need from it. Battle of wills and spirit. Can City match Crawley's?

Otis · Apr 30, 2015

Here the CT have compiled some info on our rivals;

[h=3]Crewe Alexandra[/h]Cock-a-hoop after putting the Sky Blues to the sword, The Alex remain a place behind City on the same points (52) but with a -31 goal difference which means they need three points against Bradford at Gresty Road to guarantee their status.
And confident boss Steve Davis says he’s “excited” by the prospect of Sunday’s game, insisting he’ll pick his team based on the desire and character his players show in training.
“They are all different characters and people with different temperaments, they react to situations differently and you have to look at that and pick up on their body language in the week,” he said.
Crewe Alexandra manager Steve Davis“You have to know their coping mechanisms in training leading up to the game and that could reflect the team come Sunday. Some might be finding it difficult and some might be enjoying the situation. I want them all to enjoy this week and having every bit of concentration on Sunday and what’s required.
“Some will say it’s not exciting because of what’s at stake but for me it is exciting. Obviously we’d like to be safe but you take the difficult days and good days in your stride and it makes you a better, stronger person and character and that’s what I want the young players coming through to be.”
[h=3]Notts County[/h]The Magpies have 50 points and are sitting one place outside the drop zone. They need to beat Gillingham away to guarantee their safety and not rely on others slipping up below them.
Former Sky Blues full-back Blair Adams on a buoyant County camp after their weekend victory over Doncaster Rovers, said: “The effort from the team was incredible, each player chased down every ball giving that extra yard both defensively and offensively to make sure we got the three points on the board.
“It was a superb result in front of an electric atmosphere for the final home game. But it is only half the job done and we’re working on a game plan to enable us to complete the season on a high.”
Jim O'Brien and Notts County's Blair Adams challenge for the ballAdams sees Sunday as an opportunity to make club history and gave an insight into Coventry’s last day opponents’ strengths.
“There is no doubt the final game of the season is massive and I am sure it will be the biggest game of many of the players’ careers to date,” he said, “but that’s something to thrive on.
“It is a fantastic opportunity to be part of another dramatic finale in Notts County’s history.”
He added: “It is crucial that we learn from our mistakes against Crawley in our last away game. We didn’t start the game full of energy and resilience and leaked two goals from set-pieces early in the first half which allowed Crawley to sit back and protect their lead and we struggled to break it down.
“We had a ruthlessness in front of goal against Doncaster so if we can replicate that on Sunday and get another early goal it will hopefully fire us to another victory. One last monumental effort from all involved at Notts County should be enough.”
[h=3]Crawley Town[/h]City’s opponents also have 50 points but sit just inside the bottom four by virtue of their goal difference and need to take three points to guarantee they remain in League One.
Manager Dean Saunders is drawing on people power, urging the whole town to get behind the Reds and asked fans to send in motivational messages for the team, which will be displayed on the changing room walls, insisting: “it could make all the difference.”
Saunders said: “We need to go out there and win. I’m not talking about anything else with the players apart from winning.
“There might be a scenario where both teams could get away with a draw, but unless it’s late on and we are drawing, I won’t be looking at the other results.”
Crawley Town manager Dean SaundersHe added: “We haven’t got tens of thousands of supporters but we have got good, hardcore supporters.
“We need the whole town to rally together. We all need to jump in the boat and row in the same direction. The fans have definitely got us some results at home already this season with their hostile atmosphere. Our fans can make the difference.”
[h=3]Colchester United[/h]The U’s – third from bottom on 49 points – have to win and manager Tony Humes appears to be feeling the pressure as he prepares his side to face Preston who travel to Essex with all guns blazing to secure automatic promotion to the Championship.
“I’ve never been through anything like this before, even as a player,” he said.
“It’s difficult and it’s tough but we have to keep going. If you look at the experiences that a young player like Alex Gilbey has been through over the last three years, you’d expect him to be stronger as a player and a person.
Colchester United manager Tony Humes“It’s the same for the likes of Sammie Szmodics and Tom Lapslie, who have come through this year. It’s been very difficult for them so you’d like to think that next season, they’ll be a lot better off for it.”
[h=3]Leyton Orient[/h]Second bottom Orient (48 points), who have to go to high flying Swindon and win and rely on the three sides directly above them to slip up, are the April fools who are virtually resigned to relegation after believing they’d got the job done with a 1-0 victory at the Ricoh on the first of the month.
Manager Fabio Liverani believes his team subconsciously felt they had achieved safety after the win at Coventry, since when they have failed to win in six matches.
The Italian boss has taken responsibility for allowing his players to think the job was done, saying: “I think one of the things I could have done better and I take all the responsibility for this is maybe I haven’t transmitted to the players the fact we haven’t achieved safety after reaching 45 points after being Coventry.
Leyton Orient manager Fabio Liverani“Nothing was done yet. We were not safe and maybe we lost our guard a bit. In the last few games we couldn’t manage to make points that would have kept us in a better position in the league.
“Maybe subconsciously we thought we had achieved the final goal of the season. But goals have to be achieved first before to be celebrated.
“We still have a chance but it’s not in our hands anymore.”

Astute · Apr 30, 2015

At least we can rely on the CET to keep our hopes up and give us their backing

Otis · Apr 30, 2015

Astute said:
At least we can rely on the CET to keep our hopes up and give us their backing

Hope in some ways that the City don't ask for motivational messages from their own faithful.

Think we would get a lot of 'Pull your finger out of your arses, you clowns!'

Think there could be a few negative ones too though as well, mind.

Astute · Apr 30, 2015

As in 'Get out there and show your next club that you know what a football is'?

Otis · Apr 30, 2015

And 'Stop strolling round the park like a bunch of Nancy's, not wanting to get your shorts dirty, you Muppets!'

LB87ccfc · Apr 30, 2015

Otis said:
Here the CT have compiled some info on our rivals;

Crewe Alexandra

Cock-a-hoop after putting the Sky Blues to the sword, The Alex remain a place behind City on the same points (52) but with a -31 goal difference which means they need three points against Bradford at Gresty Road to guarantee their status.
And confident boss Steve Davis says he’s “excited” by the prospect of Sunday’s game, insisting he’ll pick his team based on the desire and character his players show in training.
“They are all different characters and people with different temperaments, they react to situations differently and you have to look at that and pick up on their body language in the week,” he said.
Crewe Alexandra manager Steve Davis“You have to know their coping mechanisms in training leading up to the game and that could reflect the team come Sunday. Some might be finding it difficult and some might be enjoying the situation. I want them all to enjoy this week and having every bit of concentration on Sunday and what’s required.
“Some will say it’s not exciting because of what’s at stake but for me it is exciting. Obviously we’d like to be safe but you take the difficult days and good days in your stride and it makes you a better, stronger person and character and that’s what I want the young players coming through to be.”
Notts County

The Magpies have 50 points and are sitting one place outside the drop zone. They need to beat Gillingham away to guarantee their safety and not rely on others slipping up below them.
Former Sky Blues full-back Blair Adams on a buoyant County camp after their weekend victory over Doncaster Rovers, said: “The effort from the team was incredible, each player chased down every ball giving that extra yard both defensively and offensively to make sure we got the three points on the board.
“It was a superb result in front of an electric atmosphere for the final home game. But it is only half the job done and we’re working on a game plan to enable us to complete the season on a high.”
Jim O'Brien and Notts County's Blair Adams challenge for the ballAdams sees Sunday as an opportunity to make club history and gave an insight into Coventry’s last day opponents’ strengths.
“There is no doubt the final game of the season is massive and I am sure it will be the biggest game of many of the players’ careers to date,” he said, “but that’s something to thrive on.
“It is a fantastic opportunity to be part of another dramatic finale in Notts County’s history.”
He added: “It is crucial that we learn from our mistakes against Crawley in our last away game. We didn’t start the game full of energy and resilience and leaked two goals from set-pieces early in the first half which allowed Crawley to sit back and protect their lead and we struggled to break it down.
“We had a ruthlessness in front of goal against Doncaster so if we can replicate that on Sunday and get another early goal it will hopefully fire us to another victory. One last monumental effort from all involved at Notts County should be enough.”
Crawley Town

City’s opponents also have 50 points but sit just inside the bottom four by virtue of their goal difference and need to take three points to guarantee they remain in League One.
Manager Dean Saunders is drawing on people power, urging the whole town to get behind the Reds and asked fans to send in motivational messages for the team, which will be displayed on the changing room walls, insisting: “it could make all the difference.”
Saunders said: “We need to go out there and win. I’m not talking about anything else with the players apart from winning.
“There might be a scenario where both teams could get away with a draw, but unless it’s late on and we are drawing, I won’t be looking at the other results.”
Crawley Town manager Dean SaundersHe added: “We haven’t got tens of thousands of supporters but we have got good, hardcore supporters.
“We need the whole town to rally together. We all need to jump in the boat and row in the same direction. The fans have definitely got us some results at home already this season with their hostile atmosphere. Our fans can make the difference.”
Colchester United

The U’s – third from bottom on 49 points – have to win and manager Tony Humes appears to be feeling the pressure as he prepares his side to face Preston who travel to Essex with all guns blazing to secure automatic promotion to the Championship.
“I’ve never been through anything like this before, even as a player,” he said.
“It’s difficult and it’s tough but we have to keep going. If you look at the experiences that a young player like Alex Gilbey has been through over the last three years, you’d expect him to be stronger as a player and a person.
Colchester United manager Tony Humes“It’s the same for the likes of Sammie Szmodics and Tom Lapslie, who have come through this year. It’s been very difficult for them so you’d like to think that next season, they’ll be a lot better off for it.”
Leyton Orient

Second bottom Orient (48 points), who have to go to high flying Swindon and win and rely on the three sides directly above them to slip up, are the April fools who are virtually resigned to relegation after believing they’d got the job done with a 1-0 victory at the Ricoh on the first of the month.
Manager Fabio Liverani believes his team subconsciously felt they had achieved safety after the win at Coventry, since when they have failed to win in six matches.
The Italian boss has taken responsibility for allowing his players to think the job was done, saying: “I think one of the things I could have done better and I take all the responsibility for this is maybe I haven’t transmitted to the players the fact we haven’t achieved safety after reaching 45 points after being Coventry.
Leyton Orient manager Fabio Liverani“Nothing was done yet. We were not safe and maybe we lost our guard a bit. In the last few games we couldn’t manage to make points that would have kept us in a better position in the league.
“Maybe subconsciously we thought we had achieved the final goal of the season. But goals have to be achieved first before to be celebrated.
“We still have a chance but it’s not in our hands anymore.”

Highlighted - Crawley ? Hostile? I have officially heard it all now!

LB87ccfc · Apr 30, 2015

skybluelee said:
The bookies also make us marginal favourites to win the game on Sunday. Make of that what you will.

That is because Astute has lumped £250 on half time full time, and Joy has lumped the Callum Wilson windfall on -1 handicap but has misread thinking she wins if we have 1 less handicapped player than Crawley, She did say she knows nothing about football after all.

Astute · Apr 30, 2015

LB87ccfc said:
That is because Astute has lumped £250 on half time full time, and Joy has lumped the Callum Wilson windfall on -1 handicap but has misread thinking she wins if we have 1 less handicapped player than Crawley, She did say she knows nothing about football after all.

Not me. Withdrew my money last week. Donated just over half of my kitty and paid for a holiday in Cornwall with the rest. I don't like betting at the end of the season. It is only worth going for long odds. Anything can happen in any game.

Sky Blue Dal · Apr 30, 2015

My prediction is for a City win 2-1. Under Mowbray we tend to come back stronger after losing the week before.

coop · Apr 30, 2015

City lose 3-0 going down gutless.Cody Mcdonald gets his 95th minute penalty saved then Blair Adams scores in the 96th minute for a 1-0 win to County.John Stead scores a 94th minute own goal to give Crewe a 2-1 win and the Sky Blues go down never to return.

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