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Are you starting to really believe? (1 Viewer)

  • Thread starter suffolkblue
  • Start date Nov 7, 2025
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Mucca Mad Boys

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 9, 2025
  • #176
Saddlebrains said:
Thing is, we will be top after 16 games regardless

Dunno how that will affect the above, but I'm sure the stats look better on teams top after 16 games not 15
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@shmmeee did something on this. A team top after 20 games has a c. 85% chance of getting promoted automatically. The number after 15 games is still 65% or thereabouts.

A lot can happen but we’ve played a lot of teams who are currently in the top half (6/12, 3/5 top 6) and have beaten teams like Watford, Blackburn, QPR who are underperforming the xG table.

The hype is real and there’s no doubting it. I’m convinced nothing can stop us if we’re top after Blues away.
 
Reactions: Gynnsthetonic and Saddlebrains

shmmeee

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 9, 2025
  • #177
Mucca Mad Boys said:
@shmmeee did something on this. A team top after 20 games has a c. 85% chance of getting promoted automatically. The number after 15 games is still 65% or thereabouts.

A lot can happen but we’ve played a lot of teams who are currently in the top half (6/12, 3/5 top 6) and have beaten teams like Watford, Blackburn, QPR who are underperforming the xG table.

The hype is real and there’s no doubting it. I’m convinced nothing can stop us if we’re top after Blues away.
Click to expand...

I said a while ago it’s all downhill fixture wise after Feb too. Our “easy” start is mirrored by an “easy” finish.

The fact is the next ten games are some of the biggest in the clubs history. We could easily be unreachable or dragged back into the mire of teams stretching down to the bottom half. Lots of six pointers and well have a massive target on our back.
 
Reactions: EalingSB and Sky_Blue_Dreamer
S

SBT

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 9, 2025
  • #178
Evo1883 said:
Prem package ST holders if we go upView attachment 47086
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Has anyone ever laughed at the Premier League Packages? It’s always been a ridiculously good deal imo.
 

Mucca Mad Boys

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 9, 2025
  • #179
shmmeee said:
I said a while ago it’s all downhill fixture wise after Feb too. Our “easy” start is mirrored by an “easy” finish.

The fact is the next ten games are some of the biggest in the clubs history. We could easily be unreachable or dragged back into the mire of teams stretching down to the bottom half. Lots of six pointers and well have a massive target on our back.
Click to expand...
The best thing for us this season is a good FA Cup draw v a big Prem team and bow out quickly.

I’m optimistic about Feb, 3 home games against teams we have good records against and unless WBA and Sheff U turn things around, we should get points from.

Thinking ahead to rounding off Nov, we have a great opportunity to beat WBA at home and follow it up with a win against a (hopefully) manager-less Boro.
 

CCFC96

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 9, 2025
  • #180
skybluecam said:
last 5 games we’ve not been performing at autos level
Click to expand...
Gamestate matters so much with these stats and are rarely taken into account.

Blackburn - probably our second worst performance this season - they pressed us very well and we looked rusty post break but eventually our quality got us the win and after the first goal it was never really in doubt.

Watford - Game was won after 8 minutes. Then 3-0 and vs 10-men we just took the foot off the gas completely. Yes they created a few openings but understandable given the state of the game (we’re not overcommitting and they’re throwing everything

Wrexham - missing 5 starters, Lampard didn’t adapt tactically at HT despite admitting he could see issues. Worst performance of the season (never need to see Jake Bidwell play for us again)

Sheffield United - Came for a point, time wasting from the 11th minute. Nick a goal from a set piece. Frank learns from Wrexham, tweaks the formation and we immediately get on top and go 2-1 up. Not a massively convincing final 15 but managed to hold on for the win.

Stoke - They set up for a point at home. Think we shaded the game overall though and xG supports that. Some smarter linkup play early doors and could’ve been a different game.

Overall, based on the balance of play I’d say the last 5 results have been justified. So you can’t really say you’ve played 5 games, deserved to win 4/5 and you’re not playing at autos level. Especially in a division with some much mediocrity as the champ has this year.
 
Reactions: torchomatic, skybluelee and bulko

CCFC96

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 9, 2025
  • #181
TomRad85 said:
Well we beat Blackburn despite not being at our best, Blackburn then went on a winning run including beating Leicester away.
Watford the game was over after 10 minutes whatever the stats say, they have been unbeaten since, including a creaming of Boro and draw away at Ipswich who everyone are still fretting over.
Wrexham we had half the team missing which unsurprisingly gave us our only defeat of the season.
Slaughtered the Blunts second half.
Won away at second in a game a lot of people thought we would lose and looked in control for all of it despite Robins' sour grapes.

I sure hope we have more shit runs of form like this.
Click to expand...
Ok Tom had already said what I posted above in a much more concise way. But nice to see someone agrees
 
S

sc1940

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 9, 2025
  • #182
TomRad85 said:
Well we beat Blackburn despite not being at our best, Blackburn then went on a winning run including beating Leicester away.
Watford the game was over after 10 minutes whatever the stats say, they have been unbeaten since, including a creaming of Boro and draw away at Ipswich who everyone are still fretting over.
Wrexham we had half the team missing which unsurprisingly gave us our only defeat of the season.
Slaughtered the Blunts second half.
Won away at second in a game a lot of people thought we would lose and looked in control for all of it despite Robins' sour grapes.

I sure hope we have more shit runs of form like this.
Click to expand...
Wrexham have only lost once in the last 10 games and that was by 1 goal to Stoke. They have taken 17 points from those games including from Leicester, Middlesbro, Birmingham, Charlton, and us. I'm convinced we wouldn't have lost that with our first choice defence.
 

rob9872

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 10, 2025
  • #183
Danceswithhorses said:
erm....80 points surely (34+(15*3)) + say 1 draw
Click to expand...
As Phil Collins would say when referring to BODMAS or PEMDAS (in yet another one of my up to date music references), no brackets required.
 
Reactions: Brylowes and Danceswithhorses

Danceswithhorses

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 10, 2025
  • #184
rob9872 said:
As Phil Collins would say when referring to BODMAS or PEMDAS (in yet another one of my up to date music references), no brackets required.
Click to expand...
You're right of course, but i was trying to simplify it as much as possible, because we're living in a land of confusion (ok that's Genesis !)
 
Reactions: rob9872 and wingy
W

wingy

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 10, 2025
  • #185
rob9872 said:
As Phil Collins would say when referring to BODMAS or PEMDAS (in yet another one of my up to date music references), no brackets required.
Click to expand...
Not sure what this means?
 

rob9872

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 10, 2025
  • #186
wingy said:
Not sure what this means?
Click to expand...
BODMAS - basically the rule for how to solve a written down mathematical question. You read left to right, but unless something is in brackets, then the multiplication or division gas precedent over the addition or subtraction:

Brackets
Orders
Division or Multiplication
Addition or Subtraction


Or if you knew that and meant my Phil Collins 'pun' then it was a play on the name of an album 'No Jacket Required'
 
Reactions: wingy

Danceswithhorses

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 10, 2025
  • #187
wingy said:
Not sure what this means?
Click to expand...
BODMAS -brackets, order, division, multiplication, addition, subtraction - order of mathematical operations
Phil Collins album - No Jacket required...humorously altered to bracket(s)
 
W

wingy

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 10, 2025
  • #188
rob9872 said:
BODMAS - basically the rule for how to solve a written down mathematical question. You read left to right, but unless something is in brackets, then the multiplication or division gas precedent over the addition or subtraction:

Brackets
Orders
Division or Multiplication
Addition or Subtraction


Or if you knew that and meant my Phil Collins 'pun' then it was a play on the name of an album 'No Jacket Required'
Click to expand...
Sorry get it now use to love a bit of integration differentiation back in the 80's.
 

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 10, 2025
  • #189
rob9872 said:
I'm pleased you taught science and not maths
Click to expand...

Danceswithhorses said:
erm....that's 80 points surely (34+(15*3)) + say 1 draw
Click to expand...
Sweet Jesus
 
Reactions: Danceswithhorses and rob9872

Otis

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 10, 2025
  • #190
SKYBLUES90 said:
I think the only thing that derails us now is injuries, Grimes being the no 1.

Lampard has completely changed the mentality of the group, losing in the play offs last year was possibly a blessing, that as well as keeping the same core group of players who have played together for three seasons now has made us a force.

Add a couple in January and we could really run away with it.

I still can’t quite believe this is where we are but Lampard may well go down in Coventry City history for getting us back to the dizzy heights.

Future England manager if he does and keeps us up aswell! (We can dream)
Click to expand...
First England team.......

---------------- Rushworth
Reece James Bobby Thomas Liam Kitching Spence

----- Saka Rice Grimes Eccles Gordon

----------------- Kane Simms
 
Reactions: Sky Blue Pete

shmmeee

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 10, 2025
  • #191
steve cooper said:
Wrexham have only lost once in the last 10 games and that was by 1 goal to Stoke. They have taken 17 points from those games including from Leicester, Middlesbro, Birmingham, Charlton, and us. I'm convinced we wouldn't have lost that with our first choice defence.
Click to expand...

Ive decided its a genius plot to always lose to Wrexham therefore guaranteeing us more coverage on Disney+ and more US fans.
 
Reactions: sc1940

rob9872

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 10, 2025
  • #192
Otis said:
First England team.......

---------------- Rushworth
Reece James Bobby Thomas Liam Kitching Spence

----- Saka Rice Grimes Eccles Gordon

----------------- Kane Simms
Click to expand...
James is often injured and I think Rudi could do a job on the left.
 
Reactions: Otis

Evo1883

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 10, 2025
  • #193
SBT said:
Has anyone ever laughed at the Premier League Packages? It’s always been a ridiculously good deal imo.
Click to expand...
 

bigfatronssba

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 10, 2025
  • #194
Since 1992, on only two occasions has a club had 34+ points at this stage and not got promoted.

That is Watford in 2000-01
And Watford again in 2007-08

If we were talking about anyone else we'd say it would be very unusual for them to not go up
 
Reactions: Gynnsthetonic and CovRes

clint van damme

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 10, 2025
  • #195
bigfatronssba said:
Since 1992, on only two occasions has a club had 34+ points at this stage and not got promoted.

That is Watford in 2000-01
And Watford again in 2007-08

If we were talking about anyone else we'd say it would be very unusual for them to not go up
Click to expand...

I think being City supporters makes us naturally expect the worse but I'm quietly confident.
Not as worried about Ipswich as others are either even though I do expect them to be in the mix.
 
Reactions: Brylowes, Gynnsthetonic, bigfatronssba and 1 other person

Ccfcisparks

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 10, 2025
  • #196
I think our start to the season has been too good not to be in and around the top 2 all season. I still think we will invest too in January.

Get a respectable points return before Christmas and I think it will be done.
 

clint van damme

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 10, 2025
  • #197
Ccfcisparks said:
I still think we will invest too in January.
Click to expand...
I'm sure Lampard said we will
 

Ccfcisparks

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 10, 2025
  • #198
clint van damme said:
I'm sure Lampard said we will
Click to expand...
Yep I can see us making at least 2 permanent signings of quality, with maybe another one either permo or loan.
 

pusbccfc

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 10, 2025
  • #199
Ccfcisparks said:
Yep I can see us making at least 2 permanent signings of quality, with maybe another one either permo or loan.
Click to expand...

Time to bell Gus
 

Ccfcisparks

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 10, 2025
  • #200
pusbccfc said:
Time to bell Gus
Click to expand...
We've moved on from him.
 
Reactions: North York’s Blue, Brylowes, Saddlebrains and 1 other person

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 10, 2025
  • #201
clint van damme said:
I'm sure Lampard said we will
Click to expand...
I wouldn’t be surprised if they’re here on Jan 1st
 

pusbccfc

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 10, 2025
  • #202
Ccfcisparks said:
We've moved on from him.
Click to expand...

Would be funny though
 

Ccfcisparks

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 10, 2025
  • #203
pusbccfc said:
Would be funny though
Click to expand...
It would boost the economy of Cov's night life
 

pusbccfc

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 10, 2025
  • #204
Ccfcisparks said:
It would boost the economy of Cov's night life
Click to expand...

The irony being everywhere at the SkyDome has closed since he left...
 

rob9872

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 10, 2025
  • #205
Brighton Sky Blue said:
I wouldn’t be surprised if they’re here on Jan 1st
Click to expand...
2nd or 3rd I reckon, be concentrating on the Charlton game
 

rob9872

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 10, 2025
  • #206
pusbccfc said:
The irony being everywhere at the SkyDome has closed since he left...
Click to expand...
The other irony being that he still lives down here
 
Reactions: pusbccfc

Terry_dactyl

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 10, 2025
  • #207
pusbccfc said:
Time to bell Gus
Click to expand...
I mean, we won’t go for him and I’m not sure we should but a player in his style is I think what we would want.
 

shmmeee

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 10, 2025
  • #208
Terry_dactyl said:
I mean, we won’t go for him and I’m not sure we should but a player in his style is I think what we would want.
Click to expand...

TBH I can learn to love again with this Louza lad from the sound of it.
 
Reactions: Sky Blue Pete and Terry_dactyl

Sky_Blue_Dreamer

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 10, 2025
  • #209
shmmeee said:
TBH I can learn to love again with this Louza lad from the sound of it.
Click to expand...
Do you believe in life after Gus?
 

rob9872

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 10, 2025
  • #210
Sky_Blue_Dreamer said:
Do you believe in life after Gus?
Click to expand...
I can feel something inside me say
I really don't think you're strong enough
 
Reactions: ExmouthNeil, Sky_Blue_Dreamer, clint van damme and 1 other person
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