I rewatched the highlights and just from that snippet you’d think we were on top. 1.56 xG divided by 22 amounts to 0.07 per shot which is not great, frankly.
Compare that to our 1.51 xG which was 0.19 per shot which is considered a ‘good chance’.
We went 1-0 up after 16 minutes and you could see we were happy to invite the extra pressure and defend. It shouldn’t be a surprise that Wednesday had a lot of shots as they were chasing the game.
That’s not at all how xG works
No, there’s game state to take into account which adds context to xG.
Our chances were better chances than Wednesday’s whichever way you look at it and after their equaliser, we created the two best chances of the half.
That 'Luton blueprint' has backfired a bit!
I also don't think we can match the spending of Ipswich to have the EFL pick of the league.
What Luton blueprint? Barely signed anyone with any pedigree.
Just off the top of my head I'd be looking to sign.
Sargent and Sainz at Norwich
Whittaker at Middlesbrough.
I really like that Ampadu at Leeds but doubt he would want to come. Struggling to think of any other top CBs of the top of my head.
What is it now about 130mill for a season in the prem? Spend 80 mill on a team that will go straight back up after relegation with some good prospects waiting in the wings and the rest towards increased wage budget and infrastructure/facilities.
I doubt 5th or 6th beats 3rd or 4th in the play offs over two legs anyway this season, the top 4 are just so much better than the rest.
They weren’t though. Look at the actual shot xGs and the big chances metric. You can’t just divide the total xG by shots and claim we had loads of good chances.
What Luton blueprint? Barely signed anyone with any pedigree.
WBA 4 games 4 points so far this month. Just 1 point from away to Plymouth and Millwall and home to Blackburn.Calm down folks. We still need WBA or Blackburn to slip up and us to carry on as we are. It's a tall order
Not surprised tbh, in the most part we have been more solid.Our xG has gone down during this run I believe.
I'd like to see Leeds and Burnley go up automatically. Leeds are just a level above the rest and Burnley don't let goals in. .I doubt 5th or 6th beats 3rd or 4th in the play offs over two legs anyway this season, the top 4 are just so much better than the rest.
Am I the only one who doesn't give a shit about xG and all the other stats, there is only one that matters every game and that is the score
How did we not have the best chances in the game?They weren’t though. Look at the actual shot xGs and the big chances metric. You can’t just divide the total xG by shots and claim we had loads of good chances.
We've recently played 4 of the 6 teams in the 'good teams' area. Lost to Leeds but beat the other 3. WBA also there and they're not doing well recently. Only won 3 games this year and that's supposed to be when the data for this is from. Drawn 3 and lost 3. 12 points from 9 league games.Came across this floating around.
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Which suggests since Jan we’ve been one of the lower half in terms of conceding chances and dropped a bit in terms of creating them.
Basically Lampard is ruining xG as a stat.
How did we not have the best chances in the game?
From the top of my head we had 2 goals, 1 chalked off when it shouldn’t have been, 1 saved off the line and Tats denied by a superb save.How did we not have the best chances in the game?
So Tats header saved superbly wasnt a massive chance? Dovin didn’t have to make a save that good. A lot of their shots were from distanceYou mean Simms chance then yes. I think the next two were there’s but not 100%
It's the current stick to beat players with, it used to be assists which is another meaningless statWe've recently played 4 of the 6 teams in the 'good teams' area. Lost to Leeds but beat the other 3. WBA also there and they're not doing well recently. Only won 3 games this year and that's supposed to be when the data for this is from. Drawn 3 and lost 3. 12 points from 9 league games.
We're 6 wins, a draw and 2 defeats in the same period. 19 points from 9 games yet not a good side? Just shows you can make stats say what you want them to.
When our xG was very high we kept losing. Now it's low we keep winning.Am I the only one who doesn't give a shit about xG and all the other stats, there is only one that matters every game and that is the score
How did we not have the best chances in the game?
So Tats header saved superbly wasnt a massive chance? Dovin didn’t have to make a save that good. A lot of their shots were from distance
Because he just wants to make out we should have lost every game, it's weird as fuck.
Dovin didn't have to pull off a save anywhere near as good as the one from Saka's header.
It's just weird. Even when we win.
From the highlights I can't remember Sheff Wed having a chance as good as Simms' 1st & Saka's header, they all seemed to be at an angle with defenders in between player shooting & DovinBecause he just wants to make out we should have lost every game, it's weird as fuck.
Dovin didn't have to pull off a save anywhere near as good as the one from Saka's header.
It's just weird. Even when we win.
They didn't but I'm sure he will find some shit stat he can obsess over and repeat 6000 times.From the highlights I can't remember Sheff Wed having a chance as good as Simms' 1st & Saka's header, they all seemed to be at an angle with defenders in between player shooting & Dovin
TBF it was higher than theirs from open play yesterday and overall fairly evenWhen our xG was very high we kept losing. Now it's low we keep winning.
They didn't but I'm sure he will find some shit stat he can obsess over and repeat 6000 times.
We scored all 3 and had a good goal wiped out. Their GK made the best save of the game as you said.So Tats header saved superbly wasnt a massive chance? Dovin didn’t have to make a save that good. A lot of their shots were from distance
TBF it was higher than theirs from open play yesterday and overall fairly even
That's my point. Close but they didn't have the clear chances we did.TBF it was higher than theirs from open play yesterday and overall fairly even
You’re so weird with your constant crying about me. Someone asked a question, I replied with the answer.
If you think Tatsus header wasn’t a better chance than all of those I have nothing to sayTatsus header was 0.08. Simms first was 0.13. They had a 0.39 a 0.16 a 0.15 and a 0.13.
Look I’m not Google go look yourself
Are we talking sunset here?Again this is because we had one 0.87 chance. You guys would argue the sky was pink if I said it was blue I swear.
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