A guess at the budget figures this season (1 Viewer)

oldskyblue58

CCFC Finance Director
Was asked by skyblueman to take a stab at where we were going forward. So here is my guess at the budgets going forward. I am not going to exclude things like interest to ARVO etc because those costs are relevant to viability and a legal debt. Player sales will be budgeted for by TF

Turnover. In a recent CWR interview TF said that the budget was based on a turnover of £5m so if thats what he says I will go with that. It is going to depend very much on how the team does on the pitch, but I also think will include player sales.

Player Wage Costs. In league 1 this is capped at 65% of Turnover. Costs includes wages medical bills, PAYE, agents fees etc. It excludes in the calculation youth players on a professional contract (must be under 20 at start of season). TF said in same interview that this season they would use the rules to full advantage so player wages costs £3.25m (excluding youth players). Given the players coming in they must be using that budget to the full.

Youth Players Includes Wilson, Ruffels, Daniels, Roberts, Phillips,Thomas, Henderson, Willis, Burge. Am taking what I would call a conservative guess and estimate an annual cost (wages/PAYE/Agents/medical etc) at £250k

Non Playing Staff This would include the likes of Thorne, Shaw, Carsley, Waggott, Ogrizovic etc. Would £500k for the lot be unreasonable ?

Academy We have just been told we are spending £500k on the Academy to get a similar amount as a grant (total spend £1m net spend £500k). Personally I think it is playing around with figures and allocating costs elsewhere to here but lets go with what we are told

Direct Costs These usually work out at around 8% of turnover (from previous accounts) so call that £400k

Rent As it stands the rent is £1.2m. It may change but it wont be zero

Other overheads Apparently a lot of cost savings made. Lets be very optimistic and say that these costs have been reduced to £1.5m (i think they will be more possibly even £1m more))

Interest in the 2011 accounts this was over £700k and will have included that years interest paid to RR. Since then we have interest to ARVO to pay. Lets estimate the total at £500k

Result That easily leaves losses at £3.1m before any player contract amortisation charge.

Just comments
- even a rent of £0 still leaves us making losses - ie living beyond our means as a club
- SISU will need either to sell players January, cut costs further or to put more money in this coming year to fund the loss
- some of the costs above i think are probably a bit light (other overheads in particular) If things do not go well on the pitch then the situation could be worse.
- If you were ACL, Council, Charity would this look like a viable business to you given that SISU apparently do not want to put more in? Would you say yes we take a big hit on our income but it is ok for CCFC not to be viable? Would you say we accept the risk and fore go income not just this year but for years to come ?
- There have been additional costs built in to the budget by TF to cover people like Waggott but also to cover the finance specialists they have brought in plus the interest to ARVO. Will only add to the other overheads etc and make loss bigger
- Have seen comments about buying the Stadium. Would you lend to CCFC the money to do it on the basis of these figures? Could SISU find another £10m for half the shares based on this ?

But there you go ...... I reckon that the club is budgeting for a £3m + loss this year coming and it will be close to that even after selling Bigi and Keogh. Is it viable on its own ? .....no not yet.

As ever it is only a guess. Thoughts?
 

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Danceswithhorses

Well-Known Member
So a conservative estimate is for a £3m loss, even after selling Bigi and Keogh ?
Wow..that's scary stuff.
Despite all the obvious excitement and crazy optimism for the new season in Div 1, this should be a post that everyone reads....welcome to reality folks !
 
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oldskyblue58

CCFC Finance Director
Looking at the budget for wages, the number of players and the cap at 65% I wonder how much room is left to be able to pay for Jennings or any more players without other players leaving ?
 

lordsummerisle

Well-Known Member
If I win the Euromillions tonight I'll "loan" it all to the club, won't do us any good but I'll make shed loads in interest!
 

oldskyblue58

CCFC Finance Director
If I win the Euromillions tonight I'll "loan" it all to the club, won't do us any good but I'll make shed loads in interest!

ah but will they pay it ....... or claim it is too expensive for a club in League 1 LS :whistle:
 

oldskyblue58

CCFC Finance Director
think these figures prove one thing above all else, and it isnt anything to do with the rent ......

success on the pitch is absolutely vital this season .... we are not far off saying promotion is essential for the club to survive.

No pressure there then for AT and the players !
 

BurbageSkyBlues

New Member
interesting turnover figure of £5m. We can't accurately predict earnings through ticket sales,other than base it on last season's figures, I guess.

So, 23 home matches with an average of (est) 12500 attendance, at an average price of say £15 would give £4.31M.

What other income do we have - sponsorship, retail sales, cup runs, hospitality, TV/football league deals, etc.

Maybe TF has been cautious, not a bad thing? Any prolonged success, particularly towards the final third of the season, should grow that income considerably - one full Ricoh could gross nearly £0.5M, plus all the spinoffs.

A sustained run at the top is a must, if we are to survive.
 

oldskyblue58

CCFC Finance Director
At the moment the players that will count towards the salary cap budget are
1)Murphy
2)Dunn
3)Clarke
4)Hussey
5)Cameron
6)Malaga
7)Edjenguele
8)Christie
9)Wood
10)Brown (loan)
11)Bell
12)Baker
13)Fleck
14)Kilbane
15)Barton
16)McDonald
17)McSheffery
18)Elliott
19)Ball (loan)
20)Jeffers
21)O Donovan

How much do you think each would be on ?

the magic figure is £62500 pw total if turnover budget is £5m
 
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Sutty

Member
At the moment the players that will count towards the salary cap budget are
1)Murphy - 4,500
2)Dunn - 800
3)Clarke - 900
4)Hussey - 800
5)Cameron - 900
6)Malaga - 1500
7)Edjenguele - 1300
8)Christie - 700
9)Wood - 6000
10)Brown (loan) - 0
11)Bell - 5000
12)Baker - 3500
13)Fleck - 4000
14)Kilbane - 5000
15)Barton - 3500
16)McDonald - 4500
17)McSheffery - 5500
18)Elliott - 2500
19)Ball (loan) - 0
20)Jeffers - 900
21)O Donovan - 1500

How much do you think each would be on ?

the magic figure is £62500 pw total if turnover budget is £5m

I've had a guess at the weekly wages there, with the optimistic assumption that the loan players' wages are being paid by the parent club.

By my reckoning that leaves us about 9k per week short of the budget. Enough for a couple of first team players I would suggest.
 

Sky Blues

Active Member
If leaving the Championship cost us £4m a year (using earlier estimates suggested on here) then, if OSB is in the ball park with his estimate, are Sisu gambling on us going back up? If we do and keep the costs from rising could we break even (*whispers* or, dare I say it, be slightly profitable) next season? Of course, if we went up, there would be pressure on costs to rise... And if the gamble doesn't pay off and we don't go up, to meet the £3m shortfall might mean 3 to 6 player sales a year depending on the prices we can achieve, wouldn't it?
 

Wrenstreetcarpark

New Member
I reckon that OSB is pretty much on track, but I think he is being conservative. I hear that the Arvo interest is c£1m.So I reckon the gap, before rent, is around £4m. So rent is not the issue yet again, just another bit of Sisu Council bashing to distract from the fundemental problems anyone has running a football club. If Wisher and Faggot are still planning to lose around £4m, without rent, what sort of future is there?
 

wingy

Well-Known Member
If leaving the Championship cost us £4m a year (using earlier estimates suggested on here) then, if OSB is in the ball park with his estimate, are Sisu gambling on us going back up? If we do and keep the costs from rising could we break even (*whispers* or, dare I say it, be slightly profitable) next season? Of course, if we went up, there would be pressure on costs to rise... And if the gamble doesn't pay off and we don't go up, to meet the £3m shortfall might mean 3 to 6 player sales a year depending on the prices we can achieve, wouldn't it?

I reckon we were extremely close to break even last season so its fair to assume with wages shed we would be in a profit situation if we make it back up this season,had a stab at these numbers in the losses thread around a month back and came up with a figure based on projection from last two seasons ,rather than rely on words out of fishers mouth ,not too dissimilar so pleased OSB has done the excercise.Wrenstreet If you are correct ARVO looks like Sepallas vehicle for SISU ,not SISU funds
 

oldskyblue58

CCFC Finance Director
I've had a guess at the weekly wages there, with the optimistic assumption that the loan players' wages are being paid by the parent club.

By my reckoning that leaves us about 9k per week short of the budget. Enough for a couple of first team players I would suggest.

Not sure there is sutty. Am assuming that the figures you are estimating (i dont necessarily disagree with them either) are the gross wages for each player. That means there is 12% National Insurance employers contribution to add on together with the amounts paid to agents. All that is included in the wages budget as are any medical bills for the players (Cameron, Christie, Bell,Thomas etc) So I reckon we are not far off spent on the budget at the moment if turnover is £5m. Could be a reason why quick decisions are not being made on some players ?
 

wingy

Well-Known Member
Think sutty might be a little light on the Cameron/Clark fiures as i thought it was quoted on here as £2k.pw on here at the time .However could be something in this as believe it or not my daughter is convinced a certain Nathan Cameron installed her new Virgin package this week ,so convinced she googled him,Brummy as well as Brick Shithouse,moonlighting or more lucrative than playing for CCFC,would you believe it.:)
 

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