Sky Blues
Active Member
I've been looking at the bottom of the table and the bottom 6 teams have 7 games against each other. We have 3, Pompey have 3, and the others a pair each. That suggests us and Pompey have the most to gain/lose from these fixtures.
Let's assume, for the sake of argument, the home team wins each of these fixtures then Forest can get still - potentially - get 18 of 18 points. Us, Donny and Bristol can get 15 of 18 and Pompey 12. I'm sure there's a more mathematical way of working the implications of 6 pointers, but I'm not a statistician.
While the results may not turn out like that, what it suggests to me is today's results mean Forest with their 2 home 6 pointers are looking good to escape and Millwall with their 2 away 6 pointers (us and Pompey) are catchable. It would be great to drag another team into the business end of this fight.
The round of fixtures after the next ones look crucial. We've got Bristol away, Millwall goes to Pompey and Forest go to Peterborough, who are probably safe but we could potentially catch them if us and Forest both beat them as their last 4 are Leeds, Soton, Watford and Derby.
Final 6 games for the bottom 6:
Millwall: Hull, Pompey, Leicester, Coventry, Ipswich, Blackpool
Forest: Bristol, Posh, Blackpool, Reading, Hull, Pompey
Sky Blues: Posh, Bristol, Burnley, Millwall, Donny, Soton
Bristol: Forest, Coventry, Brum, Hammers, Barnsley, Burnley
Portsmouth: Soton, Millwall, Donny, Palace, Derby, Forest
Doncaster: Leicester, Burnley, Pompey, Boro, Coventry, Ipswich
Let's assume, for the sake of argument, the home team wins each of these fixtures then Forest can get still - potentially - get 18 of 18 points. Us, Donny and Bristol can get 15 of 18 and Pompey 12. I'm sure there's a more mathematical way of working the implications of 6 pointers, but I'm not a statistician.
While the results may not turn out like that, what it suggests to me is today's results mean Forest with their 2 home 6 pointers are looking good to escape and Millwall with their 2 away 6 pointers (us and Pompey) are catchable. It would be great to drag another team into the business end of this fight.
The round of fixtures after the next ones look crucial. We've got Bristol away, Millwall goes to Pompey and Forest go to Peterborough, who are probably safe but we could potentially catch them if us and Forest both beat them as their last 4 are Leeds, Soton, Watford and Derby.
Final 6 games for the bottom 6:
Millwall: Hull, Pompey, Leicester, Coventry, Ipswich, Blackpool
Forest: Bristol, Posh, Blackpool, Reading, Hull, Pompey
Sky Blues: Posh, Bristol, Burnley, Millwall, Donny, Soton
Bristol: Forest, Coventry, Brum, Hammers, Barnsley, Burnley
Portsmouth: Soton, Millwall, Donny, Palace, Derby, Forest
Doncaster: Leicester, Burnley, Pompey, Boro, Coventry, Ipswich