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3 games to go (1 Viewer)

  • Thread starter AFCCOVENTRY
  • Start date Apr 18, 2025
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AFCCOVENTRY

Well-Known Member
  • Apr 18, 2025
  • #1
Need 9 points to make sure
 
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Speedies_Chips

Well-Known Member
  • Apr 18, 2025
  • #2
AFCCOVENTRY said:
Need 9 points to make sure
Click to expand...
Genius.
 
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MikeyMoo

Well-Known Member
  • Apr 18, 2025
  • #3
Well that can't be true. We play Middlesborough on the last day. Even if they have 69 and better GD coming in, with a draw, we'd need 4 points from the previous 2 games. No-one else can get to 71. So 5 points to make sure.
 
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Bad Boy

Well-Known Member
  • Apr 18, 2025
  • #4
AFCCOVENTRY said:
Need 9 points to make sure
Click to expand...
Stating the bleedin' obvious me thinks
 
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We'll_live_and_die

Super Moderator
  • Apr 18, 2025
  • #5
6 cup finals now to end the season
 
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Evo1883

Well-Known Member
  • Apr 18, 2025
  • #6
AFCCOVENTRY said:
Need 9 points to make sure
Click to expand...
Well i think 7 would make sure , as long as the draw was against boro
 

bigfatronssba

Well-Known Member
  • Apr 18, 2025
  • #7
If we beat Boro we only need to win one of Luton or Plymouth
 
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baldy

Well-Known Member
  • Apr 18, 2025
  • #8
bigfatronssba said:
If we beat Boro we only need to win one of Luton or Plymouth
Click to expand...

Well it's Plymouth & Luton first before Boro Marty McFly
 
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Cally Fedora

Well-Known Member
  • Apr 18, 2025
  • #9
If we can squeeze 10 points from the last 3 we’ll be OK.
 
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bigfatronssba

Well-Known Member
  • Apr 18, 2025
  • #10
baldy said:
Well it's Plymouth & Luton first before Boro Marty McFly
Click to expand...

What I mean is we can afford to lose one of Plymouth or Luton and it still be completely within our own hands
 

Sky Blue Heaven

Well-Known Member
  • Apr 18, 2025
  • #11
So, if we beat Boro we only need 1 point from either Plymouth or Luton to make the playoffs.
 

covcity4life

Well-Known Member
  • Apr 18, 2025
  • #12
It's a big bow that Boro scored but we must move on. 3pt gap not 5

We really don't want it to go to last game but that might be unavoidable.

Can we win our next 2? Yes. But will both Boro and Bristol fail to win theirs?

Be better needing a point last day than a win though so let's stay ahead of them at very least

But looks let's stay positive. If Boro do drop PTS in a shock to sheff wed and we get something at Plymouth it's pretty much clinched.
 

bigfatronssba

Well-Known Member
  • Apr 18, 2025
  • #13
Sky Blue Heaven said:
So, if we beat Boro we only need 1 point from either Plymouth or Luton to make the playoffs.
Click to expand...

I think so

If we beat Boro, the most they can get is 69 points? We would have 69 if we beat them. Their GD is better so we just need a point
 

DawlishSkyBlue

Well-Known Member
  • Apr 18, 2025
  • #14
Bristol won't get anything at Leeds surely
 

ExmouthNeil

Well-Known Member
  • Apr 18, 2025
  • #15
MikeyMoo said:
Well that can't be true. We play Middlesborough on the last day. Even if they have 69 and better GD coming in, with a draw, we'd need 4 points from the previous 2 games. No-one else can get to 71. So 5 points to make sure.
Click to expand...

Let's hope we don't have to 69 Middlesbrough....
 

stevefloyd

Well-Known Member
  • Apr 18, 2025
  • #16
bigfatronssba said:
If we beat Boro we only need to win one of Luton or Plymouth
Click to expand...
Fuck it let's beat them both
 
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jto123

Well-Known Member
  • Apr 18, 2025
  • #17
Bad Boy said:
Stating the bleedin' obvious me thinks
Click to expand...
If we win every game, we will get promoted.
 
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play_in_skyblue_stripes

Well-Known Member
  • Apr 18, 2025
  • #18
Need five or seven or nine points to guarantee to make playoffs.

Stranglely six points does not guarantee it.

Five points guarantees not losing to Middlesbrough. We would finish on 71.
Middlesbrough maximum would be 70.

This is my calculation after a long day.
 
Last edited: Apr 18, 2025
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SBT

Well-Known Member
  • Apr 18, 2025
  • #19
One win and two debacles should be enough…
 
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Robinshio

Well-Known Member
  • Apr 18, 2025
  • #20
7 points guarantees
A win v boro and 1 more point guarantees
 
S

skyblue_55

Well-Known Member
  • Apr 18, 2025
  • #21
Nothing to fear , especially after such a good performance today .
Plymouth had a defender sent off , so one less against us .
Luton , a season of under performing, but a win there & a chance to send them down …… poetic justice !
Boro won’t fancy getting anything , from their “ bogey team “
Then on to our extended 2 game season & near compulsory Wembley excursion ……
Oh to be a SKYBLUE.
 
P

PVA

Well-Known Member
  • Apr 18, 2025
  • #22
Skybet have us 2/7, which is implied probability of 78%.
 

Alkhen

Well-Known Member
  • Apr 18, 2025
  • #23
Game 1
Plymouth V Cov
Luton V Bristol
Sheff Wed V Middlesbrough

Game 2
Luton V Cov
Leeds V Bristol
Middlesbrough V Norwich

Game 3
Cov V Middlesbrough
Bristol V Preston

Tight as a gnats arse. I'd say Boro are almost guaranteed 6pt by the time we play them, they have got lucky having two teams with zero to play for. Wonder if there is a scenario where we both just need a draw by the time we meet?
 
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SBT

Well-Known Member
  • Apr 18, 2025
  • #24
Alkhen said:
Wonder if there is a scenario where we both just need a draw by the time we meet?
Click to expand...
 
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Alkhen

Well-Known Member
  • Apr 18, 2025
  • #25
SBT said:
View attachment 42639
Click to expand...
Wasn't it Bristol City we had a 'fortuitous' draw against, ironic if we shafted them to ignite a decades long grudge
 
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DawlishSkyBlue

Well-Known Member
  • Apr 18, 2025
  • #26
Alkhen said:
Game 1
Plymouth V Cov
Luton V Bristol
Sheff Wed V Middlesbrough

Game 2
Luton V Cov
Leeds V Bristol
Middlesbrough V Norwich

Game 3
Cov V Middlesbrough
Bristol V Preston

Tight as a gnats arse. I'd say Boro are almost guaranteed 6pt by the time we play them, they have got lucky having two teams with zero to play for. Wonder if there is a scenario where we both just need a draw by the time we meet?
Click to expand...
Yes and it's possible... Bristol lose next two, Boro win next two, and we take 4 points. Go into final game with us on 70, Boro 69, Bristol 67. A draw would have us finish 5th and Boro 6th unless Bristol won by 5 goals
 
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Cally Fedora

Well-Known Member
  • Apr 18, 2025
  • #27
DawlishSkyBlue said:
Bristol won't get anything at Leeds surely
Click to expand...
This is the championship - it’s entirely possible.
 
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Skyblue Bangkok

Well-Known Member
  • Apr 18, 2025
  • #28
Cally Fedora said:
This is the championship - it’s entirely possible.
Click to expand...
Think they play at home
Did anyone see the non existent pen the regf awarded to Middlesbrough in the 93 rd min, awful decision and he gave the Plymouth player a red card.
 

fatso

Well-Known Member
  • Apr 18, 2025
  • #29
DawlishSkyBlue said:
Bristol won't get anything at Leeds surely
Click to expand...
Don't call me Surely
 
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Macca

Well-Known Member
  • Apr 18, 2025
  • #30
Pretty convinced we will need to beat Boro last game which I'm sure we can
 

shepardo01

Well-Known Member
  • Apr 18, 2025
  • #31
DawlishSkyBlue said:
Yes and it's possible... Bristol lose next two, Boro win next two, and we take 4 points. Go into final game with us on 70, Boro 69, Bristol 67. A draw would have us finish 5th and Boro 6th unless Bristol won by 5 goals
Click to expand...
Leeds can be promoted on Monday I think.
Means their game Vs Bristol City could mean "nothing"/have less riding on it for them.... Unless they want to go up as champs!?!!
 
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steve cooper

Well-Known Member
  • Apr 18, 2025
  • #32
Alkhen said:
Game 1
Plymouth V Cov
Luton V Bristol
Sheff Wed V Middlesbrough

Game 2
Luton V Cov
Leeds V Bristol
Middlesbrough V Norwich

Game 3
Cov V Middlesbrough
Bristol V Preston

Tight as a gnats arse. I'd say Boro are almost guaranteed 6pt by the time we play them, they have got lucky having two teams with zero to play for. Wonder if there is a scenario where we both just need a draw by the time we meet?
Click to expand...
It would be really weird / strange / full circle if it was their near neighbours Sunderland.
 

Shannerz

Well-Known Member
  • Apr 18, 2025
  • #33
Alkhen said:
I'd say Boro are almost guaranteed 6pt by the time we play them, they have got lucky having two teams with zero to play for. Wonder if there is a
Click to expand...
It's not just who teams are playing, though, it's also how teams handle the pressure.

Nobody's guaranteed anything.
 
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Johhny Blue

Well-Known Member
  • Apr 18, 2025
  • #34
skyblue_55 said:
Nothing to fear , especially after such a good performance today .
Plymouth had a defender sent off , so one less against us .
Luton , a season of under performing, but a win there & a chance to send them down …… poetic justice !
Boro won’t fancy getting anything , from their “ bogey team “
Then on to our extended 2 game season & near compulsory Wembley excursion ……
Oh to be a SKYBLUE.
Click to expand...
We don’t have bogey teams
 
Last edited: Apr 19, 2025
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HerneBayGaz

Well-Known Member
  • Apr 18, 2025
  • #35
AFCCOVENTRY said:
Need 9 points to make sure
Click to expand...
Your maths work is up with the best
 
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