14 win countdown to promotion (25 Viewers)

[AFCCOVENTRY]

25 games left

A requirement for 1.72ppg to get to 90 points will be enough to get the autos.

Approx what we need in the last 25:

1) 14 more wins and 1 draw and 10 lost or
2) 13 wins and 4 draws and 8 lost or
3) 12 wins and 7 draws and 6 lost

The countdown is on!

 

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[alexccfc99]

I think a bit less than 90 points could do us but that hinges on whether Ipswich find some consistent form

I do not think PNE and Millwall will sustain keeping in touch with the Top 2, infact I am a little bit miffed as to how Millwall are doing so well as every time I have watched them they have looked really poor

I believe there is a possibility where us and Middlesbrough start to run away with it

 

[skybluelee]

3) should be 12 W, 6 D, 7 L

 

[AFCCOVENTRY]

3) should be 12 W, 6 D, 7 L

Don’t think it is. The magic total we need over 25 games is 43 points to get to 90.

 

[AFCCOVENTRY]

1) Our current PPG is 2.23

2) Boro 2
3) Preston 1.66
4) Millwall 1.66
5) Ipswich 1.61
6) Hull 1.61
7) Stoke 1.57
8) Foxes 1.47
9) QPR 1.47
10) Saints 1.42

 

[Londonccfcfan]

87 will be more than enough..with a good GD to boot.

Cant see many teams getting. Close to that as its a very competitive league apart from Shef Wed.

 

[SkyBlueChris]

Don’t think it is. The magic total we need over 25 games is 43 points to get to 90.

Number 1 and 2 only gets us 42 points!

 

[Brighton Sky Blue]

1) Our current PPG is 2.23

2) Boro 2
3) Preston 1.66
4) Millwall 1.66
5) Ipswich 1.61
6) Hull 1.61
7) Stoke 1.57
8) Foxes 1.47
9) QPR 1.47
10) Saints 1.42

When you look at it that way it's two standout teams with a very closely bunched chasing pack a fair way behind.

 

[skybluelee]

3) should be 12 W, 6 D, 7 L

1 and 2 are wrong then

 

[skybluelee]

Middlesbrough are in decent form. Lets see if they can maintain it. Ipswich might hit proper form over an extended period although they have been dogshit way from home recently.

Leicester should get their deduction to make them zero threat and Southampton would have to be exceptional for 25 games to get anywhere close to us..

The rest will drop off I have no doubt about it. Millwall, Stoke, Preston etc are not averaging anywhere close to 2ppg from here.

This is our moment. As long as we don't royally shit the bed then its difficult to see how we don't go up.

 

[sc1940]

We obviously could win all our home games and at least half our away games, but looking at it as negatively as I possibly can, I'm expecting this as a minimum.
Home: I think we should win against Swansea, Millwall, Oxford, Stoke, Preston, Derby, Wednesday, Portsmouth, Wrexham, and draw 2 of the other 4
Away: I'm expecting wins against Charlton, Norwich, Swansea, Blackburn, and 4 draws.
If my maths is correct that should be 92 points.

 

[SonofErnie]

We achieved 13 wins and 4 draws from the first 18 games. Can that be repeated to take us to (effective) promotion by 39 games? Or is that over optimistic?

 

[sc1940]

We achieved 13 wins and 4 draws from the first 18 games. Can that be repeated to take us to (effective) promotion by 39 games? Or is that over optimistic?

It's optimistic but very possible as we have already proven

 

[Evo1883]

Im hoping the season will have a kind of 21/22 feel to it where 83 was enough for promotion for the top 2

 

[skybluecam]

At the current ppg rate 77 points would be enough for autos. Opta is predicting 75 might be enough, given Preston and Millwall are outperforming their underlying stats.

To get to 77 would be 30 from our next 25 games, 1.2 points a game. Something silly like W9 D3 L13.

I think it'll probably be more than that, but don't think 90 will be needed. Might only be 82-83. Lowest ever for 2nd place is 79 I believe?

 

[wingy]

At the current ppg rate 77 points would be enough for autos. Opta is predicting 75 might be enough, given Preston and Millwall are outperforming their underlying stats.

To get to 77 would be 30 from our next 25 games, 1.2 points a game. Something silly like W9 D3 L13.

I think it'll probably be more than that, but don't think 90 will be needed. Might only be 82-83. Lowest ever for 2nd place is 79 I believe?

Yes but that's just the raw numbers, it's not us and I sincerely hope that is not, Game state across the season is fairly crucial?