11 wins from 19 remaining games to make playoffs

Discussion in 'Coventry City General Chat' started by covcity4life, Jan 11, 2019.

  1. covcity4life

    covcity4life Well-Known Member

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    Bored at work so worked it out. 70 pts in last 6 years is enough for playoffs. We currently have 38 so require another 32. 19 games remaining so 11 wins will do it.

    But CAN we do it? we need to take out wimbledon first and really go into each game as the aggressors

    2 wins from every 3 will do it.

    tough ask but doable!
     
  2. fernandopartridge

    fernandopartridge Well-Known Member

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    It is do-able, key also to try and take points off competitors
     
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  3. Sky Blue Pete

    Sky Blue Pete Well-Known Member

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    Interesting certainly do able
     
  4. block16

    block16 Active Member

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    Thats a massive ask. Don’t think we’re capable of it but would love to be proven wrong
     
  5. Liquid Gold

    Liquid Gold Well-Known Member

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    Sitting where we are at this point in the season we're definitely not out of the running, big task but hopefully we give it a go. Should keep in mind that it's our first season back though and finishing top 10 would be a massive achievement and somewhere to build for next season.
     
  6. JamesCCFC

    JamesCCFC Well-Known Member

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    I wouldn't go as far to say it's doable as that is a big big ask given how inconsistent we are. Our current record over the course of the season stands at one win every 2.4 games. Which is a decent record in itself. But if you look at Doncaster they're pretty much getting exactly one win in two. We'd have to become far more consistent to achieve a play-off spot as well as rely on a club dropping off. If we suffered another fairly severe winless steak (which if last season proves anything is a possibility) as we did throughout November and December that would end any play-off hopes.
     
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  7. PVA

    PVA Well-Known Member

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    It is doable, but unlikely of course.

    I may be in the minority here and there are seemingly lots of fans who expect instant success, but given that we are a newly promoted team I think it's been a good season so far.
     
  8. covcity4life

    covcity4life Well-Known Member

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    The worry is that we cant be sure we will be allowed to build on a mid table finish next year. We might sell everyone and budget be slashed by SISU, or we might not exist next year! need to try take this chance. Much harder to kick us out of ricoh if we became a championship team the month prior
     
  9. Dimi_Konstantflapalot

    Dimi_Konstantflapalot Well-Known Member

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    Definitely possible but I can't see any of the current top 6 dropping off, as long as they hang on to their key men. Think the main challengers from the rest will be us, Peterborough, Burton and Blackpool, don't really see the others as much of a threat although there will inevitably be a surprise package emerging from somewhere, possibly Shrews under Ricketts or Scunny at a stretch with the players they've brought in.

    For comparison purposes, our record from our final 19 games last year was:

    W9
    D4
    L6

    Giving us 31 pts. At this stage last year we had 44 pts and 2 more wins than we currently do this season. Need to hope we start scoring more goals and the team starts to click and eradicate the inconsistencies we've seen thus far.
     
    Last edited: Jan 11, 2019
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  10. CanadianCCFC

    CanadianCCFC Active Member

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    Could do with another 5 game winning run
     
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  11. fatso

    fatso Well-Known Member

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    It’s possible, but not for us with the current squad.
     
  12. Liquid Gold

    Liquid Gold Well-Known Member

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    If we made the playoffs I'm sure we'd get spanked anyway.
     
  13. I was eleven in 87

    I was eleven in 87 Active Member

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    I always live in hope!!
     
  14. shmmeee

    shmmeee Well-Known Member

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    Not saying we haven’t had a good season wherever we finish, but still don’t buy this “something to build on” idea in L1. The squad and the league changes too much season to season, you get out through luck, investment, or momentum IMO and we have the latter right now.

    End of the season we will lose Thomas, Sterling and likely Bayliss as well as possibly a few others like Burge, Willis, etc. Given that, what exactly are we supposed to be building on when in all likelihood next seasons squad will look very different?

    If it was the Championship for the Prem I’d understand as there’s a huge gap between top and bottom to traverse, I just don’t see that at this level.

    Personally I think if we don’t get there this year we will finish lower next season. Just to stick my neck out.
     
  15. Otis

    Otis Well-Known Member

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    Yeah, agree.I

    Don't think we have any chance unless we improve the squad further.

    Too many weaknesses I feel.

    A top 10 finish would be great.
     
  16. CanadianCCFC

    CanadianCCFC Active Member

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    I agree with this there’s a lot on the line for the rest of this season, especially with the new possibility of a championship team pushing a Ricoh deal to happen
     
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  17. steve cooper

    steve cooper Active Member

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    there is definitely an outside possibility. Our goals conceded is similar to Charlton, Peterborough, and Doncaster. If we could somehow address the goal scoring issue. Maybe if Wilson is sold and we get some money to spend?
     
  18. covcity4life

    covcity4life Well-Known Member

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    The future is "bright"

    I can feel it
     
  19. Johhny Blue

    Johhny Blue Well-Known Member

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    If we beat Wimbledon that will be one in a row
     
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  20. mark_ccfc

    mark_ccfc Active Member

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    Anything can happen in football, look at last season. We struggled to get in the playoffs and I thought we didn't stand a chance of promotion, but we hit some form just at the right time. I think we have an outside chance of making the playoffs, once there you just never know! A few injuries to some of the top teams key players, and a run of form for us could turn things round completely.
     
  21. fernandopartridge

    fernandopartridge Well-Known Member

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    We were 3rd this time last season in the automatic spots. We were in and around the play off places all season until we had a wobble in the early part of 2018. We recovered and were back in the play offs by March, as far as I recall we stayed there.
     
  22. Great_Expectations

    Great_Expectations Well-Known Member

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    Completely agree re the significant changes we’ll likely see between the end of this season and the start of next. We pretty much know for certain Sterling won’t be back, and it’s unlikely Thomas will be, so that’s two of our better players gone and a new right side required.

    Plus, if Bayliss goes that’s our midfield creativity gone, as is our defensive pace if Willis leaves.

    Which is why it’s even more important we go for it for the reminder of the season. 2/3 wins is a tough ask, but it’s do able. However there is a reliance on MR not to be cautious; we need to play to win, not to avoid defeat.

    Despite the personnel changes, a top 10 finish still gives the club as a whole something to build on, and IF Bayliss, Burge and Willis stay, then 8/11 of our regular starters this season will be here next.
     
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  23. Londonccfcfan

    Londonccfcfan Well-Known Member

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    Very doable!
    But problem is this season the top 6 finish may be higher than 70/72 points. More likely to be 74 points with form shown by top 7.
     
  24. Stuart123121

    Stuart123121 New Member

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    Doncaster (who are 6th) average 1.73 pts per game. If they and everybody above them keep up their ratios then Doncaster finish 6th on 79 pts. All of a sudden we need to win 14 from 19 to overtake them. Fortunately for us football is not played by mathematicians.
     
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  25. skyblue025

    skyblue025 Active Member

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    Luton have lost there manager. Who's to say how well the new bloke will do. They could plummet quite easily with the wrong appointment.
     
  26. Gazolba

    Gazolba Well-Known Member

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    Either:
    11 wins, 0 draws, 9 losses - highly unlikely
    10 wins 3 draws 6 losses - unlikely
    9 wins, 6 draws, 4 losses - possible
    8 wins, 9 draws 2 losses - unlikely
    7 wins, 12 draws 0 losses - highly unlikely

    I'd say we need to win at least 8 and not lose more than 6.
     
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  27. TewkesburySkyBlue

    TewkesburySkyBlue Active Member

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    I agree this could have a bad effect on Luton and surely fatty Evans at Peterborough will be found out soon ?
    I seriously think we are in with a chance. Whilst we would be underdogs who knows at that stage ?
     
  28. mds

    mds Well-Known Member

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    If at the half way point of the season you had said win 14 from 23 for 70odd pts then probably would of said no chance, win 3 in 4 since then and its ooh, err maybe, win 11 from 19, very doable but highly unlikely we are way too inconsistent, we dont beat the lower positioned poor playing teams often enough, always seem to lower ourselves to their standard and lose.
     
  29. Otis

    Otis Well-Known Member

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    Only about 3 weeks ago the talk on here was of a relegation dogfight.
     
  30. steve82

    steve82 Well-Known Member

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    Give it another two weeks....


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  31. oucho

    oucho Well-Known Member

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    The playoff slots look a long way off at present. I'm far from saying that we have definitely missed out, but it seems like a tall order looking at the league table.
     
  32. stupot07

    stupot07 Well-Known Member

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    8 point gap between us and 6th place and they have a game in hand on us.

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  33. higgs

    higgs Well-Known Member

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    I said it a few weeks ago based on the teams occupying those spots that I can't see anyone breaking into the top 7 they are all good teams with the consistency we lack

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  34. stupot07

    stupot07 Well-Known Member

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    I agree. I also think 6th might be a bit higher at 73-74 points this season.

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  35. higgs

    higgs Well-Known Member

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    Could very well be they are all going well

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