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Madness.

Time HAS run out now

Overthinking it I think. I think it will just be still no clarity so any decision delayed yet further. League One clubs frustrated by further delay until June 8 to find out how season will be decided

The Leicester point only damages your statistical analysis. At a similar point of the season, 9 games to play, they were 14 points behind 14th place where they ended up finishing so then Southend could argue they should stay up too as they're only 16pts off safety? Not sure even the most ardent...

Delayed again

You could just as easily lose to the teams immediately above you & then you'd be cut well adrift. The momentum argument is out of the window now having not played since March. Our game at St Andrews was one of the biggest smash & grabs I've ever witnessed, it wouldn't have flattered us to win...

I've asked Nicola Palios on Twitter a couple of times for the data further back as she said they'd modelled as far back as 10 years but nothing forthcoming.

Agree on the 3 years - mighty suspicious but it's not a clubs individual results over the 3 years it's ALL clubs tbf.

Essentially. They are saying that the stats suggest a margin for error in PPG of + 6.3% or – 5.4% based on actual outcomes over the last 3 years. The cynic in me immediately wonders why just 3 years when the competition has existed for hundreds... possibly as 3 years gives Tranmere the best...

You can't just apply the model to the bottom end of the table & not the top. Listen, it has no effect on us as we will win the league whatever method is used. I have no beef with Tranmere or Peterborough & sympathise with both in this scenario but straight PPG is the method that will have...

They'd need to win 11-0 to get out of relegation spots so whenever someone trots out the "3 points from safety" line as Nicola Palios has done repeatedly they immediately lose some credibility.

You'd also end up with a 7 team playoff in League 1 & 11 in Championship if they can't compete etc. This in itself is a logistical nightmare with an odd number of teams & having to stage extra games. Not to mention the team finishing 2nd potentially losing out to a team who finished in the...

I totally get it & it would be harsh to be relegated on PPG but causing such huge upheaval to the entire football pyramid just to stop you being relegated won't be given the time of day. Can you answer why the % Margin proposed is over last 3 years if you've supposedly modelled it over 10...

I've changed my mind, hope they get relegated on PPG :emoji_laughing:

Further analysis & trawling through other posts on Twitter etc & it is clear that this would cause a huge raft of issues that will be ongoing for years; 13 team playoffs - odd number of teams making format difficult, will take a long time to complete when we're trying to say playing on isn't...

Would be a gamble for sure.

From my understanding, we're promoted regardless so can't be accused of bias but... By the calculations somebody else posted earlier, we'd end up with approximately 13 teams in the playoffs - EFL have already (rightly) stated there will be no extended playoffs. If we went with their no...

It was simulated on Football Manager which historically under rates our players & coaching team massively.

No, it's basically double counting. It's like Matt Hancock's 50,000 nurses claim!

Anyone see MacAnthony's latest Twitter rants? Essentially saying other clubs (and renowned Football Finance guy Kieran Maguire) are exaggerating & true cost to resume is circa £250k