Coronavirus Thread (Off Topic, Politics) (19 Viewers)

djr8369

Well-Known Member
It won't be easy when clubs are hammering the legal action. Look how much teams in the Championship will miss out on when not going up.

And what about the teams who want to avoid going down or have nothing to play for and don’t want to risk their staff?


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Nick

Administrator
And what about the teams who want to avoid going down or have nothing to play for and don’t want to risk their staff?


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They will be the ones shouting for it to be voided and forgotten about.
 

djr8369

Well-Known Member
They will be the ones shouting for it to be voided and forgotten about.

Exactly. If it goes to a vote it’s going to be very tight and the teams with nothing to play for will ere on the side of the caution.

I doubt there will be any legal action. You wouldn’t have a leg to stand on if the decision has been made in the interest of public health and your gripe is losing out of profit. Plus, if the government shut down sporting events legislation will be introduced so you won’t be able to contest it.


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larry_david

Well-Known Member
Season will continue. Sod the calendar. So what if next season starts in Oct. So we cancel the league up and efl trophy next season. Or the fixtures are differently placed.

I said before there's 5 games played over 12 days at Xmas. Teams have 9 games to play. How on earth can anyone justify cancelling 7.5 months of play and how can that be seen as easiest option?
 

PVA

Well-Known Member
It won't be easy when clubs are hammering the legal action. Look how much teams in the Championship will miss out on when not going up.

But it works both ways.

If it's kept as it is then there will be plenty of teams launching legal action to say we were denied the chance promotion/avoiding relegation.
 

djr8369

Well-Known Member
Season will continue. Sod the calendar. So what if next season starts in Oct. So we cancel the league up and efl trophy next season. Or the fixtures are differently placed.

I said before there's 5 games played over 12 days at Xmas. Teams have 9 games to play. How on earth can anyone justify cancelling 7.5 months of play and how can that be seen as easiest option?

It depends what the choice of options are. If this is going to continue for months, as the government stated last night, you’re not going to fit the games in. It’s then a choice of rolling into next season which opens a can of worms. So you’re left with ending the season as it is now, estimating points from the remaining games or voiding. IF it comes to those being the options voiding is a possibility.


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duffer

Well-Known Member

Indeed, and for the vast majority that’s what it will probably be like.

However, if this is an attempt to suggest it’s not serious, then there’s an abject failure to understand the simple, basic arithmetic of the issue.

In very straightforward terms, even if it’s a minor illness for 99% and only 1% develop symptoms that need hospitalisation, then given the likely size of the infected population it’s still going to swamp the NHS.

That’s why it’s important to treat it seriously now, and try to slow down the spread as much as possible whilst improving the structures that can deal with it.

That isn’t panic or hyperbole, that’s simple cold logic that saves lives. It won’t be like a mild cold for everyone.
 

PVA

Well-Known Member
Indeed, and for the vast majority that’s what it will probably be like.

However, if this is an attempt to suggest it’s not serious, then there’s an abject failure to understand the simple, basic arithmetic of the issue.

In very straightforward terms, even if it’s a minor illness for 99% and only 1% develop symptoms that need hospitalisation, then given the likely size of the infected population it’s still going to swamp the NHS.

That’s why it’s important to treat it seriously now, and try to slow down the spread as much as possible whilst improving the structures that can deal with it.

That isn’t panic or hyperbole, that’s simple cold logic that saves lives. It won’t be like a mild cold for everyone.

Yep.

It's amazing how many people don't seem to get this.

Actually it's not amazing, it's quite frightening.
 

Grendel

Well-Known Member
There are three PL teams self isolating. Do you think the decision to delay games is due to hysteria?




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Most certainly - the Chelsea guy who has it is laughing on a Video link that he had to stay at home - do you honestly think not a single player had swine flu in the UK in 2009?
 

Grendel

Well-Known Member
Yep.

It's amazing how many people don't seem to get this.

Actually it's not amazing, it's quite frightening.

Whats amazing is you are actually suggesting blocking NHS beds and cannot see why
 

Grendel

Well-Known Member
Indeed, and for the vast majority that’s what it will probably be like.

However, if this is an attempt to suggest it’s not serious, then there’s an abject failure to understand the simple, basic arithmetic of the issue.

In very straightforward terms, even if it’s a minor illness for 99% and only 1% develop symptoms that need hospitalisation, then given the likely size of the infected population it’s still going to swamp the NHS.

That’s why it’s important to treat it seriously now, and try to slow down the spread as much as possible whilst improving the structures that can deal with it.

That isn’t panic or hyperbole, that’s simple cold logic that saves lives. It won’t be like a mild cold for everyone.

Chris Smith is a senior virologist and says exactly the opposite to you and that a staggering of infections is essential management and that it is impossible to slow down a spread as eventually 100% WILL contract the virus
 

David O'Day

Well-Known Member
Chris Smith is a senior virologist and says exactly the opposite to you and that a staggering of infections is essential management and that it is impossible to slow down a spread as eventually 100% WILL contract the virus
Yeah to have most the infections now when the NHS is still dealing with the regular glue season is madness

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Grendel

Well-Known Member
I suggested nothing of the sort. Please point out where I did.

You are going against a senior virologists expert view that all mass gatherings should continue until a peak is reached as if you do not you will create a huge spike in elderly and vulnerable cases rather than stagger them
 

PVA

Well-Known Member
You are going against a senior virologists expert view that all mass gatherings should continue until a peak is reached as if you do not you will create a huge spike in elderly and vulnerable cases rather than stagger them

You need to take actions and put measures in place to flatten the curve. By doing nothing, as we basically are, we are doing nothing to flatten the curve.


How canceled events and self-quarantines save lives, in one chart



flattening_the_curve_final.jpg
 

djr8369

Well-Known Member
Most certainly - the Chelsea guy who has it is laughing on a Video link that he had to stay at home - do you honestly think not a single player had swine flu in the UK in 2009?

You seem to miss the point. The teams have self quarantined so the fixtures cannot be fulfilled. Whether a player laughed or swine flu went unnoticed is irrelevant.


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Grendel

Well-Known Member
You seem to miss the point. The teams have self quarantined so the fixtures cannot be fulfilled. Whether a player laughed or swine flu went unnoticed is irrelevant.


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Well it is - are you a virologist? He disagrees with this - why do you?
 

Grendel

Well-Known Member

duffer

Well-Known Member
Chris Smith is a senior virologist and says exactly the opposite to you and that a staggering of infections is essential management and that it is impossible to slow down a spread as eventually 100% WILL contract the virus

Except that other senior virologists in Europe and elsewhere seem to disagree with how that approach is being managed. The UK, or more technically England and Wales is pretty much the only place in Europe that isn’t taking more stringent measures to try to slow the spread.

Even previous government health specialists have come out against the current relaxed approach, what’s your level of expertise to discount all of their theories?

I hope it’s better than your statement that you can’t slow the spread down because that’s patently not supported by the evidence.
 
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shmmeee

Well-Known Member
You are going against a senior virologists expert view that all mass gatherings should continue until a peak is reached as if you do not you will create a huge spike in elderly and vulnerable cases rather than stagger them

That is not their view. Their view is it needs doing to flatten the curve, the behavioural psychologists view is that if we do it too soon people will get bored and stop listening. It’s not an epidemiological argument, it’s a psychological one.
 

David O'Day

Well-Known Member
Except that other senior virologists in Europe and elsewhere seem to disagree with how that approach is being managed. The UK, or more technically England and Wales is pretty much the only place in Europe that isn’t taking more stringent measures to try to slow the spread.

Even previous government health specialists have come out against the current relaxed approach, what’s your level of expertise to discount all of their theories?

I hope it’s better than your statement that you can’t slow the spread down because that’s patently not supported by the evidence.
What's your level of expertise to discount the theories of the medical experts at phe

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PVA

Well-Known Member
Do you have more knowledge that the senior virologist Chris Smith - yes or no?
You do realise this is why he is suggesting this don't you - this

No I don't.

Do you have more knowledge than the senior virologists across the world who are advocating putting in measures in place?

No you don't.

We are pretty much the only country without any significant measures in place. You say that we need to flatten the curve... yet advocate doing nothing to flatten the curve.
 

Brylowes

Well-Known Member
Interestingly, I've just spoken to someone who is a relation of a board member at a fellow L1 club. Apparently this suspension was agreed last week but only announced today.

Also, 3 Championship clubs, are apparently in grave danger of not making it to the end of the season now due to lack of cash flow. This could actually create one or more 'Burys' by the time the season finishes.

Worrying times.
By the time this is over many businesses and jobs will have gone to the wall,
there is bound to be a number of football clubs not healthy enough to survive it.
 

Grendel

Well-Known Member
That is not their view. Their view is it needs doing to flatten the curve, the behavioural psychologists view is that if we do it too soon people will get bored and stop listening. It’s not an epidemiological argument, it’s a psychological one.

The peak is flattened by not taking action - that is the point so through natural infection it manages the capacity unlike in Italy when they rapidly became overloaded
 

Grendel

Well-Known Member
Except that other senior virologists in Europe and elsewhere seem to disagree with how that approach is being managed. The UK, or more technically England and Wales is pretty much the only place in Europe that isn’t taking more stringent measures to try to slow the spread.

Even previous government health specialists have come out against the current relaxed approach, what’s your level of expertise to discount all of their theories?

I hope it’s better than your statement that you can’t slow the spread down because that’s patently not supported by the evidence.

Which government health specialists?
 

Grendel

Well-Known Member
I see Jeremy Hunt thinks we aren’t taking drastic enough measures, which gives me renewed optimism that, in fact — we are!

I assume he is the health "specilaist"
 

David O'Day

Well-Known Member
No I don't.

Do you have more knowledge than the senior virologists across the world who are advocating putting in measures in place?

No you don't.

We are pretty much the only country without any significant measures in place. You say that we need to flatten the curve... yet advocate doing nothing to flatten the curve.
As the deputy cmo said thst in the greatest of the respects to them they don't have access to uk data.

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djr8369

Well-Known Member
Just a few points for the several posters falling over themselves to try and sound smart by repeating what the government experts said last night or saying the whole thing is hyperbole.

Most of us saw the press conference last night and understand what the plan is so please stop condescendingly explaining it to everyone on the thread.


Look at the bigger picture. No country is following the strategy we are. Our strategy is unorthodox and high risk. They’re all listening to their own experts who are coming to different conclusions. Our plan may prove to be the best course of action in the long term, only time will tell, but even if that’s the case things aren’t that straight forward.

Firstly, the day after the government announced the new phase they’re already losing control as organisations are shutting things down anyway. You might consider that “hyperbole” but almost every other affected country is doing similar things, sports seasons cancelled etc. The league can’t function with teams having to go into self isolation. Delay fixtures for two weeks and you’ll just have other teams in isolation.

Secondly, there is going to be huge political pressure on this strategy. Journalists were already asking awkward questions last night. What do you think the public reaction will be when pensioners are dropping by the hundreds and the government are saying “herd immunity”?

The strategy might have been “war gamed” by a nerd with a PPE degree playing at being a tech entrepreneur but that doesn’t mean it’s going to survive contact with reality.

I actually think the broad idea is smart but it’s going to take balls of steel and the public reaction to it is going to be intense as people start dying in higher numbers.


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Grendel

Well-Known Member
Just a few points for the several posters falling over themselves to try and sound smart by repeating what the government experts said last night or saying the whole thing is hyperbole.

Most of us saw the press conference last night and understand what the plan is so please stop condescendingly explaining it to everyone on the thread.


Look at the bigger picture. No country is following the strategy we are. Our strategy is unorthodox and high risk. They’re all listening to their own experts who are coming to different conclusions. Our plan may prove to be the best course of action in the long term, only time will tell, but even if that’s the case things aren’t that straight forward.

Firstly, the day after the government announced the new phase they’re already losing control as organisations are shutting things down anyway. You might consider that “hyperbole” but almost every other affected country is doing similar things, sports seasons cancelled etc. The league can’t function with teams having to go into self isolation. Delay fixtures for two weeks and you’ll just have other teams in isolation.

Secondly, there is going to be huge political pressure on this strategy. Journalists were already asking awkward questions last night. What do you think the public reaction will be when pensioners are dropping by the hundreds and the government are saying “herd immunity”?

The strategy might have been “war gamed” by a nerd with a PPE degree playing at being a tech entrepreneur but that doesn’t mean it’s going to survive contact with reality.

I actually think the broad idea is smart but it’s going to take balls of steel and the public reaction to it is going to be intense as people start dying in higher numbers.


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You think we will have a higher death rate than Italy? Wow
 

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