This just isn’t true.
Look I would answer immigration should be lower. But there’s a huge gap between that and “refuse all asylum seekers and spend billions rounding up immigrants and maybe kick a few out who are here legally”.
As I said it’s like Corbynites who saw say nationalising utilities was popular but then when you ask if it’s more important than their tax bill they say no, or should we spend money on that over the health service they say no.
What a majority of the public believe according to the data we have is:
- We should reduce immigration
- Most immigration is illegal
- Most illegal immigration is from boats
The reality is that 2 and 3 aren’t true. So to achieve 1 you have to reduce elsewhere and that’s where no one agree with you. People say they’re fine with students and fine with people who are working and even fine with people with genuine asylum claims. Well that’s the system we have right now. If you ask if they want to pay more tax or allow industries to fail they say no.
It’s a belief that the majority of immigrants are illegal and not working that separates the two.
Like any system if you want zero fraud and zero bad examples in the news then you’re going to have to shut down the system entirely because that just isn’t a realistic aim.
This is a straw man argument because Points 2 and 3 still feed into point 1. In fact, it’s irrelevant if their perceptions of how people got here if the gut feeling is that immigration is too high.
Net migration was 50k pre-1997 pretty consistently. So 2000-2025 levels of migration is historically unprecedented.
It’s easy to see how you’re manipulated by the ‘data’ you’ve seen:
1) Working migrants. Not all work is equal, and the public sees migrants working in high paying professional jobs v Deliveroo riders. The key point picked up in YouGov was that they ‘pay tax’, specifically put in more than take out and the OBR did analysis last year that showed any migrant earning less than £35,000. The only exception is NHS workers here.
2) Students. Fine with them arriving and studying but not ok with them overstaying their visa conditions, transitioning into low paid work and/or claiming asylum. Additionally, they don’t support bringing their dependents either. In 2024, of 108k asylum claims, 16k had student visas. In 2023, 47% of student visa holders stayed in the UK permanently and about half of those on working visa chose the social care route.
Again, I don’t think the public backs 392k students as of Sept 2024 (most of whom will stay permanently) coming annually.
3) genuine asylum claims. This lacks definition and is a subjective question on a poll. For example, the public views women and children as genuine asylum seekers, less so for ‘fighting age’ males. If you define this as ‘accepted’ claims of asylum, it’s not the same thing as ‘genuine’. An important distinction. Likewise, the public doesn’t support 80% of asylum claims being approved and desires failed asylum seekers to be deported, which they’re not.
It just seems like you seen a poll that said ‘Britons don’t mind student immigrants’ but didn’t really look into how that visa route is being used as a means for permanent settlement (and to bring over non-student dependents) in low-skilled sectors.