Recent content by Calista

On the face of it, Leicester had the easiest fixture of the relegation-threatened teams, and failed to take any advantage.

Following the Boro / Millwall result, I reckon our chances are climbing well above 80% now 😉

If I've worked it out right, 3 wins and a draw would be enough for us now?

18 blocked.

Good result IMO. The chances Boro missed in this match were scarcely believable.

I never jinx anything to do with CCFC by getting involved with betting. But I definitely get what bookies are up to, which is why yesterday purely out of interest I had an exchange with Ladbrokes which hopefully when promotion has been assured, I will share on here. It completely reinforces what...

Had my licence revoked for incompetence!

Surely the opposite Pete? According to Opta's flawless maths there's less than a 1 in 1600 chance of us failing to be promoted. It's nailed on, making 1/500 brilliant value for promotion, so I presume a number of people on here are grabbing the chance for their free tenner by betting £5000 on it.

What if the next couple of rounds of results weren't to go our way (hardly unimaginable) and the gap went down to about 5 points with 5 games to play? I can just picture the panic on here. I maintain that there's something wrong with that modelling.

Find me odds anything like 1600 to 1.

Garbage in, garbage out...

My maths isn't brilliant, but I make that less than one chance in 1600 that we miss out on promotion? I don't know how their modelling works, but I can't take that seriously. To save anyone the bother of going through all the fixtures again to try and persuade me, there's no need - I agree that...

Your grammar is unforunate there FP 😂

As and when promotion is achieved I imagine you'll say "told you so", which would be completely missing the point 🤷‍♂️ Edit: Opta's prediction implies less than a one in 700 chance of missing out. That's silly.

Yes, I agree it's highly likely. It ain't Opta's 99.5% though IMO.